Q4 2024 P10 Inc Earnings Call

In This Article:

Participants

Mark Hood; EVP, CAO; P10 Inc

Luke Sarsfield; Chief Executive Officer, Director; P10 Inc

Amanda Coussens; Chief Financial Officer, Chief Compliance Officer; P10 Inc

Arjay Jensen; EVP, Head of Strategy and M&A; P10 Inc

Ken Worthington; Analyst; J.P. Morgan Securities LLC

Nick Benoit; Analyst; Barclays

Chris Kotowski; Analyst; Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

Aidan Hall; Analyst; Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc.

Stephanie Allen; Analyst; Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC

Presentation

Operator

Hello, and welcome to the P10 fourth-quarter 2024 conference call. My name is Lateef, and I will be coordinating your call today. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, today's conference call is being recorded.
I will now hand the call over to your host, Mark Hood, EVP and Chief Administrative Officer. Mark, please go ahead.

Mark Hood

Thank you, operator, and thank you all for joining us. On today's call, we will be joined by Luke Sarsfield, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Amanda Cousins, EVP and Chief Financial Officer.
Additionally, in the room with us today are RJ Jensen, EVP head of strategy and M&A, and Sarita Jarrett, EVP Global head of client solutions.
Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that this conference call, as well as the presentation slides, may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Federal securities laws, including the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1,995. Forward-looking statements reflect management's current plans, estimates, and expectations, and are inherently uncertain. Actual results for future periods may differ materially from those expressed or implied. By these forward-looking statements due to a number of risks and uncertainties that are described in greater detail in our earnings release and in our periodic reports filed from time to time with the SEC.
The forward-looking statements included are made only as of the date hereof. We undertake no obligation to update or otherwise revise any forward-looking statements as a result of new information or future events, except as otherwise required by law.
During the call, we will also discuss certain non-gap measures which we believe can be useful in evaluating the company's future performance.
A reconciliation of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure is available in our earnings release and our filing with the SEC.
I will now turn the call over to Luke.

Luke Sarsfield

Thank you, Mark. Good morning everyone and thank you for joining our fourth quarter and full year 2024 earnings call. We are extremely encouraged by what our team accomplished in 2024, and we are very well positioned to advance our strategy further in the quarters ahead.
On today's call, I will provide an overview of our financial highlights for the quarter in the year, reflect on our record performance, review our 5 year guidance, share our 2025 outlook, update you on the Qualitos funds acquisition, and discuss ongoing strategic imperatives that will support our growth plan.
Amanda will also provide additional detail on our financial performance for the quarter and the year and key considerations for the year ahead.
In the fourth quarter, P10 made meaningful and demonstrable progress around our strategic initiatives, including adding key members to the leadership team to position P10 to drive growth. We ended the year in a position of strength, exceeding the financial and operating guidance we provided in February of 2024, in which we committed to deliver over $2.5 billion in gross fundraising, double digit revenue growth.
Margins in the mid 40% range and a reinvigorated M&A process.
To put some numbers around our outperformance for the full year 2024, fee paying AUM increased by 10%.
Revenues increased by 23%.
Adjusted IITA rose by 17%, and we generated $3.8 billion in gross fundraising.
Notably, Bon Accord Capital Partners, our GP stakes strategy, closed Fund2 with a record $1.6 billion. It is our first fund to attract more than $1 billion in capital, and we believe LP interest speaks to the attractiveness of our differentiated middle market focus.
Additionally, fee related revenue grew by 14%, excluding the effects of direct and secondary catch up fees, while full year FRE margins were 48.8%. In early 2024, we committed to reinvigorate our M&A engine, and in September we announced our acquisition of Qualitass funds, a leading European private equity fund of funds manager based in Madrid. The firm provides fund to funds, direct co-investing, and NAV financing opportunities in the European lower middle market. We remain on track to close the transaction in the 1st quarter.
Additionally, at our September 2024 investor day, we shared our longer term vision, which included our target of more than doubling fee paying AUM over the next five years through 2029.
This equates to growth from $23.8 billion to $50 billion of fee paying AUM.
While we expect the vast majority of growth to be organic, we also expect to execute on value creating M&A that meaningfully advances our strategy and delivers additional fee paying AUM.
Turning to margins, there are 3 key dynamics that are going to impact our FRE margin outlook. First, the key investments we are making in the business, which are largely focused on human capital in areas like distribution.
We expect these investments to drive accelerating growth and provide a high ROI.
Second, the ongoing mix shift within our portfolio of strategies. Some of our newer and faster growing strategies have lower core FRE margins than some of the larger and more established parts of our business.
And third, a dynamic that we think is really attractive is the inherent operating leverage in our model, particularly as we scale assets and revenues over the longer term.
The net aggregate effect of these three dynamics, excluding any impact from M&A is that we see FRE margins expanding from our current near and intermediate term target of the mid-40% to closer to 50% in the out years.
Looking at our strong momentum in 2025, we remain on track to meet or exceed our five-year goals. For 2025, we expect gross fundraising of at least $4 billion.
This 2025 guidance reflects a 60% increase over our 2024 guidance $2.5 billion.
The guidance excludes the approximately 1 billion of incremental fee paying assets we expect to receive following the close of the Qualitros fund's transaction.
In addition, we plan to have 19 commingled funds in the market at various times in 2025. This includes 4 Qualitass commingled funds.
We expect step downs and expirations to be in line with 2024 numbers between 5 and 7% of fee paying AUM.
As it relates to our revenue outlook, we expect double digit growth excluding direct and secondary catch up fees and including revenue contribution from Qualitass funds once the transaction closes.
And finally for 2025 we expect FRE margins to be in line with our investor day guidance with core organic FRE margins excluding M&A in the mid-40s%.
The Qualitas funds business will put some modest downward pressure on 2025 margins, which is already baked into our mid-40s percent guidance.
Our confidence in our future performance and our ability to execute is rooted in a number of compelling factors.
Our platform is composed of elite high quality underlying strategies with long track records of delivering durable alpha.
We continue to have a vast and growing global LP base with over 3,800 relationships, and with the addition of Qualitas funds to our platform, we anticipate that number will increase to approximately 5,000, further expanding our European investor base and high net worth channel.
We believe we are well positioned as a world class platform to serve clients while expanding our product set and the ways in which we can engage LPs through our investment offerings.
With over 2 decades in the middle and lower middle market, PPEN is a trusted partner with a unique competitive advantage from our very robust proprietary data platform.
We also have a firm conviction that we are an acquirer of choice and an excellent partner to strategies looking to join a larger platform.
Finally, the plan we put in place last year functions as the North star that guides our actions. I would like to unpack each of these imperatives, what we achieved in 2024, and how we are thinking about 2025.
First, we committed to optimizing our leadership team and corporate organizational structure.
We made tremendous progress in 2024 by hiring key top level corporate professionals such as RJ Jensen, head of strategy in M&A, Sarita Jarrett, global head of client solutions, Melody Kraft, general counsel and Chief Compliance Officer, and Mike Goodwin, Chief Information Officer.
We also elevated our governance framework and appointed Tracy Benford as our first lead independent director in June.
As we think about 2025, we are working to strengthen the all important middle layers of our organization and institutionalize our platform by enhancing our capabilities and skills across the organization.
Second, we are committed to driving increased organic growth. We will find ways to accelerate our trajectory and increase the depth and breadth of our services by expanding our existing client franchise and delivering innovative products and solutions.
Third, we committed to re-accelerating M&A by implementing a robust, disciplined, and process-driven approach to inorganic growth.
The Qualitas funds acquisition demonstrates our commitment to this strategic pillar, and inorganic growth continues to be a key focus in 2025 and beyond.
We believe we have built the right team and processes, and we will look to execute on strategic value creating transactions with franchises that complement our platform.
4th We committed to generating operational efficiencies through incentivizing collaboration and leveraging data insights. This work is underway in earnest, and we are evaluating a host of attractive opportunities. Our mission remains to operate more as one cohesive enterprise and generate the requisite efficiencies and cost savings that will position our teams for success.
Our data insights are a key competitive advantage, and we plan on leveraging this in a thoughtful and appropriate way to the benefit of our clients.
5th, we committed to enhancing our shareholder communications with an eye to greater visibility and transparency.
In 2024 we made tremendous progress.
We established the 5 strategic pillars, held an investor day, offered clear financial guidance, and disclosed additional KPIs that make it easier for the investment community to draw a comparison to our peers.
In 2025, we will build upon our efforts to more broadly communicate P10's capabilities to investors, LPs, and others, and highlight our aspiration to be the category killer in the middle and lower middle market.
Before I hand the call off to Amanda.
I want to touch on our capital allocation efforts.
We believe our stock represents a compelling entry point for investors who are looking for access to a diversified alternatives platform focused on the lower and core middle market.
In the fourth quarter, we repurchased 815,327 shares at an average price of $12.72 leaving $3.5 million available on the current buyback authorization.
For the full year of 2024, we repurchased 6,641,827 shares at an average price of $8.88.
In total, the 2024 buyback amounted to $59.1 million.
We continue to see sharer purchases as an important tool for us to return capital to shareholders. With today's announcement, the board has authorized an additional $40 million for sharer purchases, bringing the total available for repurchases to approximately $43.5 million.
With that, I'll hand the call over to Amanda to provide a deeper look at our financials.

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