Q4 2024 Morgan Stanley Earnings Call

In This Article:

Participants

Edward Pick; Chief Executive Officer, Director; Morgan Stanley

Sharon Yeshaya; Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President; Morgan Stanley

Glenn Schorr; Analyst; Evercore ISI

Ebrahim Poonawala; Analyst; Bank of America

Brennan Hawken; Analyst; UBS

Michael Mayo; Analyst; Wells Fargo Securities

Steven Chubak; Analyst; Wolfe Research, LLC

Chinedu Bolu; Analyst; Autonomous Research

Devin Ryan; Analyst; Citizens JMP

Daniel Fannon; Analyst; Jefferies & Company Inc.

Gerard Cassidy; Analyst; RBC Capital Markets

Presentation

Operator

Good morning. Welcome to Morgan Stanley's fourth quarter and full-year 2024 earnings call. On behalf of Morgan Stanley, I will begin the call with the following disclaimer. This call is being recorded. During today's presentation, we will refer to our earnings release, financial supplement, and strategic update, copies of which are available at morganstanley.com.
Today's presentation may include forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially. Please refer to our notices regarding forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures that appear in the earnings release and strategic update.
Within the strategic update, certain reported information has been adjusted as noted. These adjustments were made to provide a transparent and comparative view of our operating performance. The reconciliations of these non-GAAP adjusted operating performance metrics are included in the notes to the presentation or the earnings release. This presentation may not be duplicated or reproduced without our consent.
I will now turn the call over to Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Ted Pick.

Edward Pick

Good morning, and thank you for joining us. First, we would like to acknowledge our colleagues, clients, shareholders, friends, and family in Los Angeles. Our hearts go out to all those impacted and dealing with the horrific devastation from the wildfires. We're grateful to all the firefighters and first responders. We are thinking of you.
Over the last several years, we've been faced with two central themes: one, the end of financial repression, namely the passing of the era of ultra-low interest rates and the re-emergence of inflation; and two, the end of the end of history with the resumption of geopolitical uncertainty. These paradigm shifts juxtapose against renewed investor and corporate confidence, present opportunities to support clients with exceptional advice and market access.
Morgan Stanley is well positioned to execute against these opportunities. The firm's consistent execution is demonstrated by the cadence of top line and bottom line in 2024. Revenues across the four quarters of $15.1 billion, $15.0 billion, $15.4 billion, and $16.2 billion. And earnings per share of $2.02, $1.82, $1.88, and $2.22. The fourth quarter was a top line record with the highest earnings per share in over 15 years, capping off one of Morgan Stanley's strongest years.
For the full year, the firm delivered a return on tangible of 19% and earnings per share of $7.95, making significant progress toward our long-term goals. The results reflect consistent durable earnings across the firm, evidencing that Morgan Stanley can deliver during this period of continued macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty. As we do every January, let's begin with our 2025 strategic update entitled four pillars of Morgan Stanley, the Integrated firm. The slides can be found on our website.
On slide 3, we introduced the four pillars of Morgan Stanley to support our Integrated firm, strategy, culture, financial strength, and growth.
Strategy is about consistently serving our clients and raising, managing and allocating capital. Culture is about rigor, humility and partnership. Financial strength is about strong capital and liquidity alongside durable earnings. And growth is about smart strategic investments across the firm, which generate new opportunities to capture client share. The investment thesis for Morgan Stanley rests on our ability to deliver the Integrated firm supported by these four pillars.
Slide 4. First, to reiterate Morgan Stanley's clear strategy to raise, manage, and allocate capital for corporations, individuals, asset managers, and asset owners around the world. In the past year, our engagement advice across the full range of institutional and individual clients drove results.
Slide 5. Morgan Stanley culture is defined by rigor, humility, and partnership. The leadership group on the operating and management committees have an average tenure at the firm of more than 20 years, many of them across business segments and regions. More broadly, our leadership body of 2,312 managing directors, 173 of whom we recently promoted to the partnership have been with Morgan Stanley for an average of 15 years.
30% of our managing directors have been at the firm for two decades. Our partnership is defined by Morgan Stanley leaders who embody this homegrown culture, joined by acquisition and lateral talent who bring an incremental skill set to the platform. Morgan Stanley's culture of first-class business in a first-class way forged over many years of trial and success is a competitive advantage and will contribute to the success of the Integrated firm.
Slide 6 highlights our position of financial strength, the third pillar of the Integrated firm, and is the output of a clearly defined strategy and a tightly knit culture. Our consistently strong capital position over recent years is a standout.
In 2024, we accreted over $5.5 billion of CET1 while continuing to return capital to our shareholders. We will continue to prudently grow the dividend, continue to invest in each of our three businesses and across our infrastructure, and continue to opportunistically repurchase the stock. In 2024, we effectively deployed capital to support clients and translated that into earnings growth. High capital levels protect us in challenging climates and sustain us for long-term growth.
Slide 7 brings us to the fourth pillar of the strategy, revenue and earnings growth. Earnings expansion in 2024 reflects a return on multiyear investment to support clients. We will continue to invest heavily across the firm; in our talent; our clients; in E*TRADE; and in Parametric; in our bank, across resiliency in technology and infrastructure; and in the development of the Integrated firm.
In the past year, expense growth was tempered by our focus on rolling off initial integration spend and taking opportunities to consolidate our real estate footprint. Investments for growth will continue to be supported by ongoing disciplined prioritization of our expense base.
Slide 8. The last six years show a step function change in the firm's growth across our businesses. In the Wealth and Investment Management segments, combined revenues have grown from $20 billion to $34 billion, and total client assets have nearly tripled to $7.9 trillion. This growth has been achieved both by way of acquisition and through organic execution.
You will also note that Institutional Securities wallet share has grown by nearly 100 basis points. These results reflect not only constructive markets, but also a sharpened focus on key client relationships and an expanded coverage of corporates and asset managers.
Morgan Stanley scale positions us over the long term to deliver growth in each of our three business segments. We win both through an expanding denominator of global securities, banking, Wealth and Investment Management activity and by increasing our numerator as in our wallet share in each segment. In short, we seek to gain durable share in the secular growth businesses in which we participate.
Slide 9 goes a level deeper into Institutional Securities. First, the growth in Institutional Securities has been both broad-based and crucially is global. It is important that we are relevant in all the major regions around the world.
Amidst geopolitical and interest rate uncertainty, each region grew revenues by roughly 20% in 2024. These results follow multiple years of investment in talent and leadership as well as efficient and disciplined RWA growth.
In 2024, we saw Institutional Securities deliver an operating margin of 31% and revenue growth that was significantly higher than our RWA growth. We are in a leadership position and can offer trusted advice and market access into the Investment Banking, new issue, and M&A cycle, which just lies ahead.
Slide 10. In Wealth Management, investments in our self-directed and Workplace channels drive our differentiated client acquisition funnel. Today, with our expanded offering, we reach over 19 million relationships and have added net new assets of over $250 billion in each of the past two years on track to delivering $10 trillion-plus of total client assets.
An important indicator of Wealth Management momentum is fee-based flows, which reached an exceptional $123 billion in 2024. Delivering on new relationships and net new asset growth creates opportunities for our team of world-class financial advisers to tap into the Integrated firm for their clients.
Slide 11 highlights the breadth and tenure of Wealth Management's client relationships as 60% of adviser-led assets are associated with clients who have an average duration of 20 years. We retain 99% of our clients, reflecting their enduring trust in Morgan Stanley.
The slide illustrates our multichannel model, which continues to drive new assets to the platform. 30% of our adviser-led assets are associated with clients who have a Morgan Stanley relationship of less than 10 years, and 10% of adviser-led assets are with clients of less than two years. The client acquisition funnel supports durable growth, namely as clients mature with our financial advisers, they become the foundation for the continued growth of recurring fee-based revenues.
Slide 12. In Investment Management, we continue to focus on the secular growth areas of customization and alternatives. Our industry-leading Parametric platform, inclusive of overlay has grown to $575 billion. In alternatives, our investable assets have more than doubled in size to $240 billion. Investments in these secular growth areas have brought more balance to our Investment Management business and supported fee-based revenues.
Additionally, the Integrated firm, particularly the relationship with Wealth Management continues to benefit the Investment Management platform with the enhancement of retail-oriented distribution offerings and additional product capabilities.
Slide 13. An area of investment is in the incremental growth of our US banks. Since 2018, the firm has significantly grown deposit balances and continues to source deposits from Wealth Management clients with an expanded product offering.
On the asset side, we will continue to grow our Wealth Management lending capability by covering clients holistically as their financial needs evolve. In addition, we will continue to utilize the bank platform to support growth in eligible institutional businesses. As we continue to grow our capabilities across the Integrated firm, we are well positioned to provide a full suite of solutions to our clients.
Slide 14. A dividend that is aligned to the growth of fee-based earnings has been a leading priority. Our durable results demonstrate consistent execution of our strategy, and we have raised our quarterly dividend by $0.075 for three years in a row to $0.925 per share.
Slide 15. As you've heard us discuss during the past year, the Integrated firm brings together our world-class wealth and Investment Management franchises with our world-class Institutional Securities franchise.
We are consistently strengthening the pillars underlying the Integrated firm to deliver on our strategic goals. Across the Integrated firm, Morgan Stanley is relevant to our clients, spanning from the advice dispensed in corporate boardrooms to our financial wellness programs for that company's employees.
We are also the premier holistic partner to asset managers, partnering with them to grow their businesses and to generate alpha. We can deliver institutional capabilities to our clients alongside sophisticated Wealth Management advice and distribution in an Integrated service model and in so doing, be mindful of potential conflicts.
To open 2025, we have formalized the Integrated firm by positioning leadership talent at the center of client coverage, Integrated data, risk management and infrastructure to drive growth as we serve more clients across their full suite of needs. This effort will be led by Mandell Crawley, a three-decade Morgan Stanley executive and a member of our operating committee. Together with Co-Presidents, Dan Simkowitz and Andy Saperstein, the Integrated firm organization is aligned to scale client opportunities across Morgan Stanley.
Slide 16. The Morgan Stanley investment thesis is robust. In 2024, we delivered top line and bottom line strength and consistency. The full-year results are strong relative to our long-term firm-wide goals. We ended 2024 with total client assets at $7.9 trillion, Wealth Management pretax margins of 27%, a firm efficiency ratio of 71%, and a return on tangible of 19%.
Of note, we added a new goal to achieve durable wallet share gains in Institutional Securities. The additional metric for Institutional Securities is an appropriate reflection of the expected contribution of this business segment to the firm's growth narrative.
The key word is durable. There will always be market and business cycles in each of these businesses. Morgan Stanley's trusted relationships over the very long term lead to superior results. Against the four pillars of strategy, culture, financial strength and growth, delivering the Integrated firm is foundational to durable earnings growth and 20% returns through the cycle.
Thank you. Now Sharon will review our fourth quarter and annual results. Then together, we will take your questions.