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Emmanuel Caprais

Thank you, Luca, and good morning.
We ended 2024 with a strong performance across the board in orders, revenue, margin, EPS and cash. Our teams delivered 6% organic revenue growth from higher volumes and price realization. IP grew 22% in pump projects and 7% in short cycle, while Svanehøj added 16 points to IP's total growth. Just to note, for the year, IP projects grew 19% organically after 31% in 2023.
CCT grew 9%, thanks to strong defense and industrial connected deliveries, both of which were above 40% this quarter. While kSARIA contributed over 29 points to total growth, fully offsetting the Boeing work stoppage impact. In MT, KONE grew 12% on share gains and cloud conversion in real, while Friction OE outperformed global automotive production by 410 basis points.
On profitability, operating income grew 16%, more than double the organic sales growth rate primarily driven by higher price, productivity and volume despite the loss of earnings from the Wolverine divestiture. MT margin exceeded 19% and with 220 basis points of margin expansion and a 120 basis point improvement sequentially to close out 2020. Notably, despite roughly $40 million less in revenue due to the Wolverine divestiture, MT was able to increase operating income. Once again, MT over delivered.
Moving to IP. The team drove 60 basis points of expansion to overcome 280 basis points of dilution from the Svanehøj acquisition. Legacy IP expanded margin 340 basis points, driven by higher volume leverage, more favorable price cost and continued sourcing and supply chain productivity.
Finally, in CCT, excluding temporary M&A dilution, CCT margin would be up 60 basis points, driven by higher pricing actions and volume. The price renegotiations in aerospace continue with more to come in 2025.
With the volume growth and price realization this quarter, we drove double digits earnings growth to $1.50 of EPS, overcoming roughly $0.07 of earnings loss from the Wolverine divestiture and $0.08 from higher interest expense related to M&A.
Lastly, on free cash flow, our performance accelerated sequentially, thanks to the efforts of our team to reduce inventory and drive stronger elections as well as contributions from our acquisitions. This resulted in a 42% increase year over year and over 20% free cash flow for the quarter.
Let's turn to the full year EPS bridge on slide 6. Here, you can see the main drivers of our performance, which are similar to Q4. Operational performance from volume growth, price cost and productivity compounded by accretion from our acquisitions allowed us to overcome headwinds from temporary amortization, the Wolverine divestiture and higher interest expense. Keep in mind that most of these impacts were not considered in our initial guidance for 2025.
We also continued to fund strategic investments for future growth, including our geopolymer brake pad formulation, our high-performance brake pad business and the embedded motor drive. We delivered a strong performance with 12% EPS growth that previews the value creation potential of ITT's portfolio.
With this in our rearview mirror, let's turn to Page 8 to discuss 2025. We entered 2025 with a robust backlog that is up 34% in total, fueled by our acquisitions and growth in legacy pumps and connectors. The large pump awards from 2023 and 2024 should start shipping in a meaningful fashion in 2025, while friction, rail and connectors should continue to outperform. We expect this will drive revenue to over $3.7 billion with organic revenue growth of 3% to 5% and the strongest growth expected in IP and CCT.
We expect that our ability to continually reduce costs to our growing revenue will drive further margin expansion of 90 basis points to 18.6% at the midpoint. Contributions from our acquisitions are expected to increase considerably in 2025 to roughly $0.20. This will be driven by (inaudible) growth on new fuel vessels due to a 26% order increase in 2024.
On kSARIA, the team continues to execute our plan with several large new orders expected in the first half of 2025 that will support our growth outlook. This results in EPS growth of 8% at the midpoint, even while absorbing an incremental $0.09 headwind from foreign currency given the stronger US dollar. Furthermore, if you exclude the roughly $0.17 of temporary intangible amortization, which will end by end of the year, EPS growth will be over 10%.
Finally, on cash, we expect to generate free cash flow of roughly $475 million at the midpoint, amounting to a 12% to 13% free cash flow margin for the year.
Let's turn to slide 9 to discuss our outlook in each business. Beginning with Connect and Control Technologies. Increased global spend on defense modernization platforms, coupled with a gradual Boeing ramp beginning in Q2 to drive strong demand in CCT, we expect kSARIA to add roughly 15 points of growth to the total. Industrial process, is expected to convert its record backlog of more than $900 million, powered by large project awards, which should generate mid-single-digit organic growth.
In Motion Technologies, we expect Friction to outperform global automotive production driven by share gains in all regions, while growth in the aftermarket is expected to be in the low single-digit range. Longer term, Friction's high-performance business will be another catalyst for profitable growth. On Rail, we expect mid- to high single-digit growth on strength of share gains in Europe and China, continued public investment mass transit in North America.
Let's turn to slide 10 to review our EPS bridge for 2025. Once again, most of our earnings increase is expected to come from organic growth and margin expansion in our core business. This will drive 8% EPS growth for the year at the midpoint. Importantly, we're absorbing $0.30 from the loss of earnings from the Wolverine divestiture a higher effective tax rate and unfavorable FX.
I'd like to briefly discuss the phasing of our 2025 outlook. EPS is expected to be flat to slightly up in Q1. We anticipate a revenue decline in the low single-digit range, driven mostly by MT due to the reduction in global vehicle production, while IP and CCT should be roughly flat.
Operating margin should expand 90 basis points to just shy of 18%. Excluding the loss of earnings from the Wolverine divestiture and higher interest, EPS would be up approximately 6% in Q1, more in line with our full year outlook, and we expect growth to ramp throughout the rest of 2025.
Before we wrap up, I wanted to share our thinking on tariffs. Our 2025 guidance does not include any anticipated impacts from tariffs. We are working diligently with our teams and supply chain organization to evaluate different scenarios and are developing granular action plans. We're looking to mitigate any impact to commercial and operational actions.
Let me turn the call back to Luca to wrap up.

Luca Savi

Thank you, Emmanuel. Before moving to Q&A, let me summarize the key points from an outstanding year. We accomplished a lot in 2024. We grew.
We executed. We transformed. We grew orders and revenue brought by double digits. We executed expanding our margin and surpassing our long-term target two years ahead of plan. We transformed with two strategic acquisitions and divestiture shifting our portfolio to higher growth and higher-margin businesses.
Moving forward, the formula remains the same for ITT. Our value creation through organic growth and margin expansion is here to stay, and now we're compounding to add even greater value through M&A.
Finally, it is my pleasure to invite you to our next Capital Markets Day taking place on May 15 in New York City. A lot has happened since our last event in 2022. And importantly, there is much more to come. You will see our differentiation through execution, innovation and now M&A brought to life. In addition, you will miss some of the ITT-ers who differentiate us from the competition and who drive our results day in and day out.
I look forward to speaking with you throughout the year and seeing many of you in May or before.

Question and Answer Session

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Joe Ritchie, Goldman Sachs.

Joseph Ritchie

Congratulations on another strong year. I guess maybe where I'll start is just the guidance for 2025. I know you guys historically have tended to guide fairly conservatively. But maybe, Emmanuel, if you can just kind of step me through how are we thinking about the cadence for this year from an earnings standpoint? And are there any things that we need to be aware of, particularly like in the first quarter, just that could potentially impact Q1 and maybe gets better as the year progresses?

Emmanuel Caprais

Yeah. So as I mentioned, Joe, the cadence is a little tilted towards the second half of the year. So we have an unusually soft Q1. And so let's think about a little bit what the puts and takes here. So we expect Q1 to be -- from an EPS standpoint, to be roughly flat to 2024. We have to keep in mind that the main impact here is the Wolverine divestiture, which results in less revenue and income, and that's about $0.06 of EPS.
We also expect organic revenue declines of mainly 1% to 2%, driven by MT, which is expected to outperform original equipment production, but overall, will still decline due to lower auto demand. IP and CCT sales would be flat to slightly up. And so overall, Q1 will be -- in terms of sales would be the lowest quarter by quite a bit.
However, all businesses are expected to expand margins. Excess CTC will be up 150 basis points, if it wasn't for the kSARIA margin dilution, which is around 400 basis points. We will be impacted by higher interest expense and this is due to the kSARIA acquisition that happened last September in 2024.
And then in Q1, Svanehøj and kSARIA do not contribute meaningfully to EPS. This is due to the temporary intangible amortization, and that will disappear in Q2 for Svanehøj and in Q4 for kSARIA. So overall, we expect Q1 to still weak, but a nice recovery than in Q2 and Q3 and Q4 with continued margin expansion and also organic revenue growth.

Joseph Ritchie

Super helpful and detailed. And then maybe the longer-term question, and I'm sure we'll get a lot more at the Investor Day in May. Look, you guys have done a great job on the margin expansion piece, getting to your targets a couple of years in advance. The commentary around the price renegotiations on CCT is interesting. I'd be curious if you can maybe talk a little bit more about what's going on there and ultimately, the opportunity potentially within that segment.

Luca Savi

Sure. Joe, this is Luca. I think that price is definitely a good lever in CCT. It has been a good level in 2024 and we're going to see more of that also in 2025. So we talked about our -- some big contracts have been renegotiating right now and we are still in that process and the signs are positive. I would say the price/cost equation overall has been positive for the entire ITT in 2024, and it will be the same as well in 2025.

Operator

Mike Halloran, Baird.

Michael Halloran

Could you just talk about what you're seeing from an order pattern on the IP side of things, both from the short cycle side as well as the project activity? Obviously, strong backlog coming into the year, how is that backlog feeling? I know you commented on robust short cycle there. What are you seeing kind of sequential dynamics and anything worth noting in some of the end markets?

Luca Savi

Thanks, Mike. Orders were good in Q4. So let's leave the acquisition on a side for a second. If we look on an organic perspective, the orders grew 12% in the quarter. Projects were up 25% and short cycle, Mike, was up 8%, 2% was price, 6% was volume. And particularly good in Q4 was service parts and valves. Now if we look at Q4, our weekly run rate of orders was the second highest on record. Q4 was actually the best ever. So Q4 has been really good on the short cycle.
On a full year basis, our organic orders were up 5%. Projects were 13% up year over year. And this on a tough compare. Last year was a very good year and up 20%. Short cycle, like you asked, was 2% for the full year, 1% price and 1% volume. If you add to that, and that will be my comment on Svanehøj. Svanehøj had a book-to-bill of 1.3 for the full year. And their orders grew 26%. So a very good performance from another perspective on Svanehøj as well.

Michael Halloran

And I suppose, how are you expecting that to roll through to this year from a trend perspective? I mean is that front log of opportunities still really strong. And what are the customers are saying? And so maybe just kind of roll through the momentum and how you think that plays out?

Luca Savi

So the audio is -- so I hope I got the question. You tell me if I'm not answering your question, Mike. So in terms of the funnel and the opportunities, it stays rich. I have to say with the book-to-bill considerably higher with this performing in orders. Our funnel came down a little bit.
At the end of January, it was probably down 8% or 10% year-over-year, but it's still very high. And good opportunities are across different regions, particularly when it comes to the Middle East, the (inaudible) in Latin America is even higher than last year. And of course, there are customers talking about further investment because also some changes that are happening with the new administration.

Operator

Jeff Hammond, KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc.

Jeffrey Hammond

I just wanted to understand the temporary intangible amortization. Because last quarter, you called out $0.21 going away, maybe that is, but you had a footnote with $0.17 intangible. So just trying to understand the delta because, I guess, I look at your (inaudible) this year plus that $0.21 is kind of your starting point, and that would imply just kind of limited earnings growth in the guide?

Emmanuel Caprais

No. So in 2024, we had $0.17 of intangible amortization temporary. And we expect that number to be roughly the same in 2025, around $0.16. So we don't really get any benefit from intangible amortization disappearing. We will start getting a benefit for Svanehøj in Q2, but that is compensated by the kSARIA intangibles that will run -- the amortization will run until end of Q4.

Jeffrey Hammond

Okay. Maybe give us a sense of core -- these acquisition -- these moving pieces as it makes it messy, but core incremental margins in the fourth quarter for IP CCT, it looks like underlying margins were really good, but again, masked by the deal. And then just on '25, I think the midpoint is 90 basis points of margin expansion. Just I don't know if order of magnitude where you see the segment's lining up. Again, I know there's noise segment by segment, given the deals.

Emmanuel Caprais

Yes. So on the incrementals in IP, we had a really good performance 64% in Q4 and then 45% for the full year. That's excluding the impact of acquisitions. And for CCT, for the full year, we were around 20%. And then if we look at 2025, we expect really good incrementals to continue at around 60% -- between 50% and 60%, and also CCT pretty good incrementals as well. In Motion Technologies, obviously, the incrementals don't really work because we are increasing the OI and reducing the revenue. And that's why Motion Technologies is expected to be at 20% in 2025.

Operator

Scott Davis, Melius Research.

Scott Davis

Congrats on a great year. Slide 18, you guys just referenced the M&A muscle, and I think you said it a couple of times in the prepared remarks, but what does that really mean functionally? Is that diligence and integration? Is it more that you beefed up the diligence side? Kind of walk us through the changes you've made at least and what that really -- what that means to you guys?

Luca Savi

Okay. Scott, I think that when you see it in the results of 2024, right? And you see in the capital deployment that has happened in the last couple -- in the last five years, where roughly $1.2 billion is through M&A. Now when you look at right now what it means there is a lot of cultivation. So there is a lot of cultivation going on between the businesses and also the enterprise with our target.
So if you think about both Svanehøj and kSARIA and Habonim that are the last three acquisitions. Those were cultivated. And in a couple of those, we were able to get to an exclusive deal.
Now I'm not saying that this is going to happen always -- but today, we are busy in cultivating and developing the relationship as well as some due diligence in some of the deals. Obviously, you hear only the one that we are executing. But in the last few months, also, we walked away from some opportunities where we had the due diligence.

Operator

Damian Karas, UBS.

Damian Karas

So I wanted to ask you about your guidance for Motion Technologies kind of up low single digits for the segment. Could you maybe spell out a little bit more what you're baking in, in terms of global auto production? How much you're expecting Friction to outperform as well as KONE and the Rails business?

Luca Savi

Sure. So when you look at 2024, obviously, auto production had a tough year in 2024. North America and Europe were down China showed the residence went up. So when it comes to -- and the picture deteriorated in the second half compared to the first half, Q4 probably being the worst.
So when it comes to 2025, on the positive side is we see that the inventories are down worldwide as well as in Europe and in China, but we project the production to come down to roughly 89 million vehicles produced.
So it's a little bit of a decline worldwide. And we have China flat our assumption and Europe and North America down with Europe probably being worse. When it comes to the -- we continue to think that we will outperform the market, and we're thinking roughly 400 basis points of outperformance in the market. And this is for auto. When it comes to Rail, we have a good backlog, and we had two years of outperformance in Rail with KONE and (inaudible).
So we think that we will continue to outperform that as well.

Emmanuel Caprais

And if I can slip one point on profitability. So as I mentioned, we expect Motion Technologies to be at 20% in 2025. And a lot of it is going to be driven by productivity. Motion Technologies is an engine for productivity, and we expect around 150 to 200 basis points of margin impact coming from productivity.
We will also be -- we will have a positive impact on price because we continue to be able to offset the cost inflation that we received in '22 and '23 by not giving it back entirely in 2024 and in 2025. So we are very attentive to this because it's important for us, as we said many times, to overall over several years to recover the entire cost inflation that we suffered from starting in '22.

Damian Karas

That's very helpful. And sticking on the Motion Technologies business, could you possibly give us an update on how Friction is doing in the high-performance market? Any trends that you're seeing there? As well as are there any possible strategic changes this year? I know in the past, you've talked about exploring, maybe opening up into some of the aftermarkets in Asia, China specifically, or maybe moving a little bit into the light vehicle trucking side of the Friction market. We appreciate any perspective on that.

Luca Savi

Damian, so let me start -- address the second question first. So as of today, no, we keep on exploring and we keep on talking strategically, but there are no strong action put in place that will change the strategic direction of Motion Technology infliction. When it comes to the high performance, the project is progressing well.
As a matter of fact, two weeks ago, Daniel and the team send me a video of all the automation in actions in the plant and the photo of the first brake pad for our customers being produced. So we are ramping up production. We will be able to launch the program, the platform that we're supposed to launch in Q1 and in Q2 perfectly on time.
And then we also took our Board of Directors there in October to monitor -- to witness the investment that they authorize and to monitor the progress and the level of automation that we have on the plan. So very good progress.
Now what you will see in 2025, we are ramping up these programs. We are winning what we had in the plan. So the business case stands and it probably is also a little bit better. You will not necessarily see a lot in 2025 because, of course, we are launching you will start seeing more sizable impact in '26 and '27. But remember, you will see probably more on the profitability side than on the growth side because of the business that high performance is.

Operator

Nathan Jones, Stifel.

Nathan Jones

I guess I'll start on the tariff side of this because you guys have some fairly material operations in Mexico. So obviously, there aren't any tariffs yet, but there may be. So a couple of questions around those. Firstly, I would imagine the Motion Technologies business, the business in Mexico primarily sells to OEMs in Mexico. So any tariffs on those brake pads would actually be on the OEM rather than on you. Is that the correct way to think about the -- at least the brake pad business?

Luca Savi

Okay. So Nathan, you are on the right track there. In terms of -- you really need to look at case by case. So if you take specifically our (inaudible) plant in Mexico, you really need to be surgical and super granular. Let me give you an example. If you take one platform, where we are on the front and the rear, the front axle brake pad that gets delivered to a Tier 1 in Mexico. So that's -- it's not going to be impacted by the tariffs.
Now if you look at the rear axle. The rear axle brake pad comes to the US to a Tier 1 plant in the US. But then after it has been assembled, but the majority of it goes back to Mexico to the OEM assembly plant where they assemble the vehicle and a small portion stays in the US. So you really need to go -- to be surgical, go contract by contract, platform by platform, front-rear axle and even within the relaxes a example, you have some split. So you really need to do this work.
And what I can tell you that our business, our supply chain leader, are already working on this front, and we have our action plans to be ready to be executed. And so -- but that's the case for Motion Technologies.

Nathan Jones

Well, let me ask it this way. You guys obviously had some issues with auto OEMs passing through inflation during COVID and are still recovering that now. But you have commented that some of those contracts have been changed so that inflation passes through on a bit more of a real-time basis to the OEMs.
Would that be the case if you saw a tariff? Or would you need to pursue pricing? And then I guess, saying as part of my follow-up question, I'll ask you to talk about the potential impact of tariffs on the CCT business as well.

Luca Savi

Sure. So when it comes to the OEMs and Tier 1s, you really need to look at it case by case, Nathan. And so we are working both and we have actions here, both on the operational side as well as the commercial side, and we've already started talking to our customers on that front.

Emmanuel Caprais

Yes. And then, Nathan, if we talk about CCT, so you know that we have a large footprint in Nogales with our (inaudible) plant there. And this is -- and Nogales is one of our best performing plants. You heard earlier that this is a plan that had five years without any safety incidents and achieved a record profitability and growth in Q4. So we'll need to address the eventual tariff impacts both commercially that means through price and also operationally by driving more productivity.
So I think that in CCT, one thing that is important to note is that, similar to IP, there is a lot of the business that goes through distribution. And so for those customers, we've already started sending letters to inform them of the situation. So that would be pretty straightforward.
The other piece is we have defense contracts also and we'll need to talk it with our customers. So I would say also here a very complex subject, and we are obviously driving a lot of the actions right now in order to be ready when tariffs take effect.

Luca Savi

And if I may add, Nathan, in your note, you were asking also about differences with the competitors, right? As a matter of fact, when you look at the CCT and the connector business, and you move across the board that you will see the footprint -- the connector footprint of ITT for sure, as you said, of many of our competitors, too. So it's an industry-wide issue that need to be tackled.

Operator

Joe Giordano, TD Cowen.

Joseph Giordano

Just going back to the IP side. When you think about your guidance mid-single digits, it feels fairly conservative just given the level of orders that you've won. I'm just curious how -- when you build that out, is it -- are you kind of layering in potential elongation of project time lines due to like geopolitical type stuff? Just curious how you came up with that? It just feels like maybe there's upside to that number, where the orders are?

Emmanuel Caprais

Yes. So when you think about the sales guidance for IP, I mean, we are in the mid-single digits. So you're talking 5% to 6%, which is really strong in addition to the 8% we grew in 2024. So I just want to set the record here because I think those are pretty strong numbers. And definitely, the market is not growing by those percentages.
I think one thing to keep in mind is that you're right. Our orders have been up and our project orders have been up. But keep in mind that a project takes around 12 to 18 months before it converts. And those are for like the small- to medium-sized projects.
If you talk about some of those (inaudible) projects that we got, it's more like 24 months. So we will start seeing some of those projects convert in 2025, but it will be towards the latter part of the year. And as a result, we won't get as much growth as the level of orders could imply.

Luca Savi

And if I may build on what Emmanuel said, Joe, is that what -- you may remember a couple of years ago, the -- our backlog was made of 60% offshore cycle and 40% of projects. If you look at today, our backlog is 57% project and 43% offshore cycle. So has been shifting. So this is one point, which makes the improvement in terms of the profitability of IP even more outstanding because the projects are generally not as profitable as the short cycle.

Joseph Giordano

Okay. Yes, that's all fair. I'm still probably going to take the over on your growth there, but I appreciate the comments. Luca, just given what's going on politically now, does it change -- you've done so well with some of these international deals. Does it change your strategy on acquiring businesses that are based outside the US, just given what's going on with tariffs and all those -- all the rhetoric there?

Luca Savi

Well, if you look at the last three acquisitions that we have made, they've been very successful, and they will be successful in the foreseeable future also with the geopolitical situation that we have. Now think about Svanehøj is a global business, absolutely, but it plays an incredible role in the energy transition. So we're talking about what the new administration is doing with LNG, that plays in our field. What is happening with LPG, that plays in our field. So Svanehøj is a great success.
If you look at kSARIA, kSARIA is the connectors, we focus particularly on the air and defense. This automatically is in -- mainly in North America, so this is good. The only thing that I would say we might have been impacted geopolitically with happening because it's our valves business, great global business and with our factory in Israel. So now the team has been incredibly resilient. The results have been good even with extra cost that we put in the business just to protect our people.
Now -- so our focus on flow, on connectors, when it comes to connectors, mainly aero and defense, I think is not really changing. And on top, I would say bear in mind that our strategy is always to be in the region for the region, and therefore, trying to reduce some of the challenges that we could have.
I think about also the divestiture on the other side, I would say that now we are in a better position than we were in 2018 regarding tariffs because we divested Wolverine, which was a business that was most impacted by it.

Operator

Brad Hewitt, Wolfe Research.

Bradley Hewitt

So maybe sticking with IP, just curious within the mid-single-digit organic growth outlook there for 2025 and how does that break down between projects and short cycle? And then from a margin perspective, it looks like you're implying about 100 basis points of margin expansion ex Svanehøj. So just curious if you could kind of break down the drivers of that 100 basis points kind of on the left IP business there?

Luca Savi

So let me address the improvement in terms of margin in IP. If you look at -- we expect our legacy business to continue to improve the margin, absolutely right. And this is even more outstanding you think that project will be -- will play a bigger role. Now some of it will come by -- with price. We will have a price cost equation that is going to be positive.
Some of it will be on the supply chain. I think there is a lot of work that we can do on the purchasing side to gain profitability on that front. And then there is also a lot on the productivity side in our operations. I was in Seneca Falls together with (inaudible) and with [Biotech].
And we know that we have a productivity in the way that we can bring home in the way that we run our machine. And I would say that is on a legacy point of view. And then we also have an improvement with the acquisition.

Emmanuel Caprais

Yes. So a few things to keep in mind. So you're right, Brad, the margin is expected to -- in IP is expected to increase by a little bit more than 100 basis points. That is including this Svanehøj dilution. But given the fact that Svanehøj started mid-January, that dilution is pretty low, right? So we expect strong -- as Luca was saying, strong volumes, strong price and very positive price cost.
Now if you think about Svanehøj as it compares to 2024, we're going to continue to see margin expansion and super strong growth, right? We're expecting Svanehøj to grow in the double digits from a revenue standpoint and EBITDA to also expand and we're going to be closer to the 20% mark, a little bit below the 20% mark. So we're doing well. The team is performing well and we're making sure that we -- as ITT, we can add value to their business model.

Bradley Hewitt

Okay. That's helpful. Appreciate that. And then maybe as we think about CCT margins it sounds like margins for 2025 ex kSARIA should be around 20.5%. So just trying to think about as the kSARIA amortization winds down a year do you still think the 22% margin target in 2026 could be in play for CCT?

Emmanuel Caprais

That's correct. You nailed it. 2025 without kSARIA will be above 20% for the full year. kSARIA will be around 300 basis points of dilution impact. And so that sets us well given the fact that we'll be between 20% and 21%, probably closer to 21%. That sets us well for us achieving. So that's 22% margin target in 2025, excluding kSARIA.

Operator

Vlad Bystricky, Citi Group.

Vladimir Bystricky

Thanks for squeezing me in here. So just following up and digging in on some of the questions around backlog and visibility. I guess just going into the year with $1.6 billion of backlog, can you give any color on how you're thinking about how much of that converts actually within the year versus the portion that might be longer dated tied to some of those longer projects?

Luca Savi

Vlad, now I think that the order performance has been fantastic. You see it in the book-to-bill of Svanehøj. You see it in the legacy business of IP. You see it with KONE and Rail that orders that went up 37%. And now when you look at all these businesses, they tend to be more long term. Think about in Rail, you win an award, you win a platform and you might win that platform for the next 20 years.
We talked about the product backlog in IP. Two years ago, 60% was short cycle and 40 projects. Now it's the reverse. Almost 60% is projects and 40% short cycle. And those projects in IP tend to have an execution of two to three years.
In the prepared marks when we talk about Riyas project or the (inaudible) project, those projects are a project that will last two years. And some also of the green project that we won for with (inaudible) carbon capture. Those are projects that have lasted two, three years, and we are going to close in 2025. Now another data point, I will say when we look at IP, probably today, our sales coverage is above 40% for 2025.

Vladimir Bystricky

That was helpful color. I guess just one last follow-up for me. Just on the CCT mid-single-digit organic growth, I know you mentioned in the slides Boeing expected ramp beginning in 2Q. I guess, can you talk about how material that Boeing ramp is to your outlook and how you're thinking about or how we should think about any potential risks to that growth if there are operational challenges there linger more than what's baked into your outlook?

Emmanuel Caprais

Yeah. So if you look at our aerospace expected revenue, we're still expecting this to be down in the low single digits in 2025 compared to '24. So I think that with what we know that has been communicated by the customer, we think that our forecast is appropriate. As we mentioned in the past, Boeing represents roughly $10 million in terms of revenue per quarter. So it is meaningful.
But I think that given what's happening in defense, for instance, and what's happening in (inaudible) in our connectors business, we expect that we're still going to be able to deliver roughly 4% to 5% in terms of growth for CCT in 2025.

Luca Savi

And Vlad, I just want to make sure you and everyone else saw the mention of the Capital Markets Day on May 15. So you'll be able to see a lot of stuff we talk about sort of come to life, and I hope you and everyone else can join us then.

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude today's conference. Please disconnect your lines at this time, and have a wonderful day.