In This Article:
Participants
David Constable; Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Fluor Corporation
Andy Wittmann; Analyst; Baird
Presentation
Operator
Good morning and welcome to Fluor's fourth quarter and full year 2024 results conference call. Today's call is being recorded. (Operator Instructions)
A replay of today's conference call will be available at approximately 10:30 a.m. eastern time today, accessible on Fluor's website at investor.fluor.com. The web replay will be available for 30 days. A telephone replay will also be available for 7 days through a registration link, also accessible on Fluor's website at investor.fluor.com.
At this time for opening remarks, I would like to turn the call over to Jason Landkamer, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Mr. Landkamer.
Thank you, operator, and welcome to the Fluor's 2024 quarter earnings call. David Constable, Fluor's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Joe Brennan, Fluor's Chief Financial Officer; Jim Brewer, our Chief Operating Officer; and John Regan, our current Chief Accounting Officer and soon to be CFO are here with us today. Fluor issued its fourth quarter earnings release earlier this morning, and a slide presentation is posted on our website that we will reference while making prepared remarks.
Before getting started, I would like to refer you to our Safe Harbor note regarding forward looking statements, which is summarized on slide 2. During today's presentation, we'll be making forward looking statements, which reflect our current analysis of existing trends and information.
There is an inherent risk that actual results and experience could differ materially. You can find a discussion of our risk factors, which could potentially contribute to such differences in our 2024 Form 10-K, which was filed earlier today.
During this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of these amounts to the comparable GAAP measures are reflected in our earnings release and posted in the Investor Relations section of our website at investor.fluor.com. I'll now turn the call over to David Constable, Fluor's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.
David Constable
Thank you, Jason. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today.
Please turn to slide 3. I would like to start by discussing the CEO transition announcement issued earlier this morning. It has been just over 4 years since we launched our Building a Better Future strategy and set our long-term financial targets.
In 2024, we achieved the goals under this strategy with strong cash flow and a robust capital structure, supporting a backlog that is not only majority reimbursable, but one that reflects our portfolio approach to our end markets. Importantly, we have met and in most cases, exceeded our strategic targets, bringing the fix and build portion of our strategy to a close.
Consistent with our long-term succession plans and with the full support of Fluor's Board, it is now the right time for me to transition into the role of Executive Chairman and pass the Chief Executive Officer role on to Jim Brewer.
Starting on May 1 in my new role, I will be supporting Jim as he builds upon his relationships with clients and engages more fully with our stakeholders. In Jim's new role, he will be focused on developing the storylines for the next chapter of our strategy, which is thematically refocused on grow and execute. This will include revised growth targets and a laser focus on project delivery.
We look forward to sharing our view of the markets over the next 4 years at our upcoming strategy update event on April 2, at one of our major ATLS sites.
On a personal note, back in 1982, when I first started at Fluor as an engineer in our Calgary office, I had no idea of the incredible experiences and opportunities that awaited me and my family over the next 5 decades. I'm filled with gratitude for the experiences, traditions, and proud moments that defined my journey with the corporation, and I'm really looking forward to seeing our new management team build upon Fluor's legacy.
Now, please turn to slide 4.
Our revenue for the year was $16.3 billion, marking a 5.4% increase from 2023. In 2024, we recorded new awards totaling $15.1 billion, achieving a book to burn ratio of just under 1. New awards for the year were 150 basis points above new award margins last year, and we supports our established margin corridor of 4 to 6%.
Importantly, our 2024 net gross margin book to burn ratio was a healthy 107%. Through our disciplined contract pursuits, 85% of new awards for 2024 were reimbursable, and our total ending backlog is now approximately 80% reimbursable.
Moving to the new US administration and the rapid pace of announcements that are coming out of the executive branch, we are tracking the executive orders closely. While it's still too early to be definitive about the long-term impacts, we are focusing on the broad economic themes of the administration's agenda, which are to promote capital investment and job creation.
Considering the underlying themes of pro-domestic energy, key minerals production, and AI infrastructure development in the executive orders, we see these directives as favorable to nuclear and thermal sources of energy, favorable to LNG exports and expedited permitting, favorable to increasing domestic mineral production, and favorable to significant data center buildouts. Therefore, we see positive elements across all of Fleur's business segments and stand ready, as we always have to support our clients.
Before I turn the call over to Jim, I want to thank Joe for partnering with me through this journey and for playing an instrumental role in strengthening our financial stability and positioning Fluor for long-term success. Jim will now take us through the fourth quarter highlights and prospects for 2025. Jim?
Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone. Let me start by saying that I'm very excited to assume the role of CEO in May, and would like to thank the board for entrusting me with this responsibility and honor.
Over my 31 years of tour, I've learned to appreciate and share the values that define this great company. I've seen firsthand the amazing work that we do around the world to support our clients and the many communities where we work.
David's leadership during these last 4+ years, our company is healthier financially and poised to meet the demand-driven growth we see around the world. As Fluor embarks on the next chapter of our strategy, I look forward to working closely with our employees, partners, and other stakeholders to continue to serve our clients through excellence and project delivery.
Now, moving to the results of the quarter and full year, please turn to slide 6.
Beginning with Urban Solutions, the segment reported a profit for the quarter of $81 million versus $147 million a year ago. New awards for the quarter totaled $1.4 billion and ending backlog for the full year grew by 20% to $17.7 billion up from $14.8 billion a year ago.
Please start to slide 7.
In ATL, we received an incremental award of $243 million for our ongoing efforts at Lilly's LP1 project in Lebanon, Indiana. This project has grown from 200 to 1,000 personnel in 2024 and continues to progress with the installation of the facility's central utilities building along with steel and concrete placement at the peptides, small molecule, and tank farm areas of the facility. The workforce is expected to increase in size in the first half of 2025.
On the semiconductor front, based upon our project performance, a major semiconductor manufacturer in Arizona has awarded for more tool installation work. Growing our experience in to install scopes like this one, positions does well for future semiconductor opportunities in the United States.
For 2025, we see a robust slate of opportunities, including the next expansion phase of Lily's Indiana project and another major peptide manufacturing facility in the US. In addition, we've recently signed a master agreement with a leading technology provider and have received initial data center work under this agreement. This builds upon our extensive data center project experience in Asia and Europe.
Specific to the data center market, in addition to the opportunity I just mentioned, we're in conversations or have agreements with the Top 4 data center developers. We continue to see this market as a significant contributor to the grow and execute phase of our strategy.
Please turn to slide 8.
In mining and metals, we received an award for a port the bottlenecking project in Australia for a major mining company. This project will support increased production capacity across the clients' mines, rail, and related port infrastructure assets. The expected completion date is 2028.
For 2025, we see a continued focus by our clients on developing additional capacity for key resources including copper, green steel, lithium, and iron ore. We're currently tracking mining and metals opportunities that represent tens of billions in awards over the next few years.
Please start the slide 9.
Our infrastructure business continues to make good progress on the Gordie Howe project. Construction is now 94% complete, and handover of the US port of entry is in progress. Substantial completion is targeted for Q3 of 2025.
Next, the LAX Automated People Mover project is now 93% complete, and the forecasted substantial completion date remains on track for Q4 of 2025. On the I-635 LBJ project, construction is now 70% complete. Substantial completion is forecasted for Q2 of 2026. For this business line as legacy projects wrap up, we are selectively pursuing opportunities and markets where we have strong client relationships and an appropriate risk profile. These include Texas, North Carolina, and the Netherlands.
Moving on to slide 10.
Energy Solutions reported 1/4 quarter segment profit of $63 million a significant increase from the $26 million recorded in 2023. Quarterly results from last year included $33 million of cost growth for the Penguins Legacy project.
In the fourth quarter, new awards total $406 million which included additional scope on a revamp project in Sweden, full release on engineering for a regasification and power plant in Indonesia, and a front end award for the units 3 and 4 at the Chernovoda nuclear power plant in Romania. This award marks a significant milestone in Romania's efforts to enhance sustainability and energy security in the region.
Pending backlog for energy solutions was $7.6 billion compared to $9.7 billion a year ago. During the quarter, we helped support key accomplishments for our clients, including the TCO project in Kazakhstan Achieving First Oil, the BASF project in China, achieving 50 million hours without a loss on injury, and the recently completed lithium hydroxide project in China for Aldemar, which was named a 2024 Global Best Project by Engineering news record.
At LNG Canada, the project has surpassed the 95% completion mark overall, with 771 of 838 systems having achieved mechanical completion. Additionally, the main refrigeration compression systems on train one are in final commissioning and preparation for cool down. The project is experiencing some challenges with the installation of insulation on piping and equipment.
Additional skilled labor has been mobilized to site in order to expedite completion. However, we are on track to support the client's target to ship first cargoes by the middle of 2025. This project continues to track to management expectations.
To date, our joint venture in decline have not yet fully resolved certain outstanding issues for COVID-related impacts to the project. We believe that the client and our joint venture will resolve these items fairly and equitably during 2025, similar to resolutions reached on previous changes on the project.
Looking ahead to 2025, our energy solutions business will be focused on reloading with front end engineering and design packages to support future EPCM work, including large chemicals facilities in the Middle East, carbon capture, and decarbonization.
We're seeing opportunities in the LNG space, including additional interest in mid-scale LNG facilities. On the power front, we are actively deploying our strategy in both nuclear and thermal solutions to support additional energy demand from data centers and other broad power needs.
Lastly, on new scale, we continue to negotiate with our strategic investor to reach an agreement on a long-term monetization and revenue stream to flu while moving new scale closer to commercialization. We believe our current path is the best way to bring value to shareholders and maximize our long-term investment in new scale.
Moving to Mission Solutions, please turn to slide 11.
Mission Solutions reported a segment profit of $45 million in the fourth quarter compared to 31 million a year ago. New awards for the quarter were $429 million which included an eight-month extension for the Portsmouth decontamination and decommissioning program and FEMA task quarters for Florida, Georgia, and Virginia.
Our ending backlog for Miss Solutions was $2.7 billion compared to $3.9 billion a year ago. And as a reminder, backlog does not include approximately $5 billion in annual revenue for projects related to our equity method investment where we don't fully or partially consolidate our results.
Finally, we're well positioned with our Department of Defense and Department of Energy customers on recompees or extensions of existing contracts, including work for the Army on our LA 5 contract in Africa and at the Portsmouth site.
With that, let me turn the call over to Joe for the financial update. Joe?
Thanks, Jim, and good morning, everyone. This morning I'd like to discuss an overview of our financial performance and provide an update on the progress we have made in strengthening our capital structure.
Please turn to slide 13.
For the full year, floor reported revenue of $16.3 billion. And a net income of $2.1 billion or $12.30 per diluted share. Results for the year reflect the favorable impact of the new scale deconsolidation and subsequent fair value accounting.
During the quarter, we recognized a $116 million provision related to a jury verdict against a floor joint venture on an infrastructure project completed over 12 years ago. The client sued over alleged incorrect designs performed by a subcontractor. We believe that the jury verdict does not accurately reflect the evidence at trial, and we are evaluating all options that may eliminate most, if not all, of the provision taken. The provision does not reflect any offsetting recoveries that we believe are owed to the joint venture. Our 2024 Form 10k filed today contains additional discussion on this matter.
Segment profit for the year was $635 million and adjusted EIA was $530 million. On an adjusted basis, our 2024 results were $2.32 per diluted share. Corporate GNA expenses for the year were $203 million compared to $232 million a year ago. The improvement over 2023 can be attributed to an ongoing focus on overhead optimization. And a reduction in performance-based compensation for the full year we reported net interest income of $150 million as our cash management team invested floors cash and high quality interest bearing assets which more than covered the $46 million in low cost fixed rate interest expense on our outstanding debt. Please turn to slide 14.
Cash and cash equivalents combined with marketable securities worth $3 billion representing a 14% increase from 2023. Our operating cash flow for the year of $828 million including meaningful distributions from two large joint ventures and IRS refunds, but also reflects strong core cash generation. This was our best year for operating cash flows since 2015.
During the year, legacy projects required $81 million in funding. We believe that these late stage legacy projects will require up to $200 million of funding in 2025.
Over the course of 2024, we communicated our intent to restart our capital allocation program. Based on our strong financial footing and confidence and sustained cash flow generation, we started our share repurchase program with $125 million or 2.3 million shares purchased in the fourth quarter.
Under this initial phase of our share repurchase program, we are targeting targeting an additional $300 million in repurchases during 2025. Changes to our plan for share repurchases will hinge on potential proceeds from further monetization activities. Our performance over the past 4 years provides flexibility on capital allocation, including reinvesting in the business organically, the size and timing of our share repurchases, reinstating a dividend, and the ability to make select bolt on acquisitions to support the continued growth in the business.
Before we discuss our guidance for 2025, I want to review a few additional items. Please turn to slide 15.
Last year we purchased $57 million of our outstanding 2028 notes. We will continue to chip away at these notes opportunistically at or below par. Last month we closed the sale of our Stork UK operations, which essentially completes our transition to an asset-like model. Led by our transaction of stork and right sizing our office in Houston, we have been able to reduce our real estate footprint by more than half to 3.7 million square feet.
Next, our investment in new scale was deconsolidated in October of 2024, resulting in a $1.6 billion dollar pre-tax gain. Subsequent mark to market gains based on its prevailing stock price through 12,231 resulted in an additional pre-tax gain of $604 million for the fourth quarter of 2024.
Since this will be my final earnings call, I wanted to introduce John Regan as my successor. John has worked side by side with me over the past 4 years and was a key part of the finance leadership team that led to the rebuilding of Flo's capital structure. John, I'll turn the call over to you.
Thanks, Joe. What Fluor accomplished with the first chapter of our strategy has restored investor confidence and established the foundation for the next chapter. I'm excited to support the business as we pivot to the grow and execute phase. Back in December, I had the opportunity to speak with the analyst community, and I look forward to meeting our investors in the days ahead.
Please turn to slide 16.
Looking to 2025, our EBA dog guidance is 575 to $675 million. Which lends itself to an operating cash flow range of $450 to $500 million. Our estimated cash flow reflects the underlying operational performance and working capital needs under a largely reimbursable profile. We expect our full year EPS to range between $2.25 to $2.75 per diluted share.
We currently don't see any material items that need normalizing from our GAAP earnings other than FX and Newscale, which is now mark to market to their screen price across our 126 million shares. These expectations are based on our ability to successfully execute our strategic priorities, as well as capturing the demand for our services across the markets we serve.
To provide a bit more granularity on the outlook for 25, our assumptions include a new awards book to burn ratio well above 1. Revenue growth of approximately 15%. Net interest income of approximately $80 million GNA expense of around $180 million and despite a potentially wide range of outcomes, we also see an effective tax rate of approximately 30 to 35%.
Our expectations for 2025 segment margins are approximately 4 to 5% in urban. 3.5% to 4.5% in energy and 5 to 6% in mission. For 2025, we expect the normal shaping of quarterly cash flow. For IEA, we expect an acceleration in the second half of the year as we ramp up execution activities, particularly on our urban solutions portfolio. As a housekeeping matter, we'll file an S3 later today solely to refresh our ability to capitalize on expedited financing opportunities in the future.
Lastly, once Newscale files their 10k, we will file an amended 10k to incorporate their financial information into ours as required under the security laws.
Operator, with that, we're now ready for our first question.
Question and Answer Session
Operator
(Operator Instructions)
Michael Dudas, Vertical Research.
Good morning, gentlemen. Good Morning.
Mike. Good morning, Mike.
First, maybe for David or Jim, as you put together your outlook for 2025 and some of the crosscurrents that you've highlighted in your prepared remarks, On the book to bill that could be well above one, maybe a little bit more thought on timing in the areas. Certainly, you highlighted Energy Solutions reloading, but in the urban side, which has really been a big driver in the last couple of years, maybe some a little bit more visibility on how that will be booked and the margins that you're seeing on some of these opportunities in the Urban Solutions area relative to the mixture business?
David Constable
Yeah, good morning, Mike. Maybe I'll start and and ask Jim to comment as well.
As you look at the backlog at the end of the year, in '24, obviously we've seen urban solutions, kick up dramatically as we had laid out and planned for in our strategy to drive growth across the portfolio. So you see that backlog sitting at $17.7 billion energy solutions coming down as we expected as well and mission solutions holding firm so we expect that to continue. We do see a book to build significantly above 1 in 2025 just to emphasize that. And and the margins we guided, we're comfortable, certainly comfortable with so where it's coming from specifically, Jim, some comments on that, please.
Sure. Thanks, David. And thanks, Mike, for the words there. And looking forward to working with you and your colleagues going forward. Yes, so the book to bill is significantly above one.
A lot of good opportunities in ATLS. If you look at pharma and the market that we would have been very successful on in previous years, it's going to continue to be a good growth market for us. If you look at what we call the advanced technologies projects that includes semiconductors and data centers. Data centers is a market we're focusing on very strongly and we've already had some recent success on that in addition to building on our experience that we had in Europe and Asia. Mining has a significant slate of opportunities, some of them in front end work, some of them converting to EPCM.
And then of course in government, we have a very strong position in with DOE and we expect some of those significant awards to come from that client. So it's urban and it's mission primarily with a lot of front end work and energy preparing for subsequent years.
Yes. Just to Mike, just to kind of big picture support what Jim has just mentioned. We've got about in the next twelve months, we've got prospects just in the larger EPC, EPCM project, not the front end work, but just the full EPC awards, prospects of about $46.5 billion, with again, urban being about almost $24 billion of that and then evenly split between energy solutions and mission for the other 2 22 billion. So, that kind of supports where we're heading with our bookings in the coming year.
It might just just to add, you asked a little bit about timing, I think. It's encouraging to see some of the announcements through the mining group this early in the year and also through kind of the data center activity that we're we're kind of we've got some inroads at the beginning of the cycle, so it should help and support the burn curves as we move through the year.
Maybe how when you look at the maybe upcoming data center cycle relative to say your let's say life science or semi cycle and like where are we in in maybe early inning or what innings you're in and the magnitude and scope of what you would be providing and what those numbers would look like when you you heard those kind of.
Prospects of the bookings.
Mike, we missed the sorry, what was the specific area we missed the beginning of.
I'm sorry, I apologize. On the data center site, maybe compared to like your life science or semiconductor electronic space and what we're in and what when you convert those prospects, what type of size of projects and what scope that you'd be providing as you move through this looks like a long cycle of build out on the AI front.
Yeah, thanks, Mike. I'll start that. This is Jim.
We're in early phases. If you just if you look at the projections by just the big 5 data center hyperscalar here in the United States. They're talking about several $100 billion worth of announced investments, and I think given that the size of these projects is growing. They lend themselves to Fluor's project delivery expertise and model.
Now we're going to remain diligent and methodical in taking on this work, but building on our track record of recent data center projects like I said in Europe and Asia. We believe we're well positioned for this big wave of data centers that is projected for the United States.
And as I said in the prepared remarks, we signed a major, we signed a master agreement with a major data center company. We're kicking off the initial stages of the first project under this agreement. This project is a co-location data center which is on the smaller scale. Call it between half a billion dollars and a billion dollars in scale. But this agreement allows you to build and work on data centers of all sizes, including hyper scalers that now you're talking about multiple billions of dollars.
Now, those jobs take a little more time to mature and and and develop, but the neat thing about this agreement is that it allows us to build a longer term relationship with this client on multiple projects and therefore, take advantage of the benefits of replication of efficiencies, lessons learned on previous projects. So, I think we're in the to answer specifically your question, we're on the early stages of the cycle.
We're going to approach the market methodically and with a proper project and pursue discipline, but we do believe that data centers will be a significant engine for our for our growth in this next chapter of the strategy.
Yeah, and just adding to that, right. As Jim said, a significant contributor to our grow and execute phase, not only for the in the facilities data center facilities themselves, but also where Fluor can add value on the. Power demand side of the equation, right? Our expertise in power generation, both thermal and nuclear is going to play a key role in supporting our clients' needs, and we're already currently ramping up our capabilities further on the power side. The numbers are just astronomical for power demand for data centers.
We've got 26,000 megawatts installed in the US right now. That's going to go to 90. They say 92,000 is required by. By the end of the decade, and then the numbers are even larger globally, but the US is about 40% of the market, so a big focus here on, data centers combined with power generation, which is obviously in our wheelhouse.
Operator
Sangita Jain, KeyBanc Capital Markets.
If I can ask one on new scale, I believe that there was a due date to execute a term sheet for the strategic virus. I'm just wondering if that is still the case or if there's a change in your thinking on the timing of the monetization.
As Jim mentioned in his prepared remarks, we're in detailed negotiations right now with our strategic investor to reach an agreement on a long-term monetization and revenue stream to floor while at the same time moving new scale closer to monetization or commercialization.
And we continue to believe that our current path is the best way to bring value to floor shareholders to the strategic investor and also to new scales and for that the business strategy to be successful, we need all three parties to win. So, the timeline to monetization has been slower than desired.
However, as you can imagine, anything in the nuclear space that is in a startup pre-commercialization mode does take patience and you know we want to get this right for decades to come. Not just for the next few years, so the overarching objectives are threefold here. First, to ensure the successful commercialization of the new scale technology with our strategic investor, and then second to drive maximum value for shareholders on monetization.
And third, ensure Fleur's execution services are considered. For new scale installations on a global basis wherever we can add value to an opportunity. So, on a related note, as you, I think you may know, Fleur's executing front end design work for ROE Power's SMR project in Romania, and that is utilizing new skills, skill industry leading technology.
And Jim also talked about conventional work in nuclear power, which you've probably seen in the news recently. We've just kicked off with our joint venture partners on some front end design scope for conventional nuclear power, which is our scope on that program is being executed on a reimbursable basis. So work continues and we're positive about new skills, monetization. In fact, I'll be personally in a meeting later this week to to continue the discussion. We'll give you more information as it becomes available.
Great, I appreciate that, and I know you guys mentioned in your prepared marks regarding the new administration and the EO, but there's also been a lot of confusing news regarding spending freezes, so maybe you can give us an update on where you stand with your federal government contracts, whether it's FEMA or NNSA or the Department of Defense, and if you're seeing any movement there.
Yeah, I'll also ask Jim to to comment here from what we can see because we primarily in the mission solution space and based on our, where we play in Department of Defense and Department of Energy two of our key clients plus FEMA at this point which is still firmly in place so you when you're talking about national security.
And energy and nuclear cleanup plus nuclear support in the nuclear deterrent space, all that work that we're doing in mission solutions really is top priority and we've we've got indications that most of the work that we're focused on will. We'll continue because of of that type of work that we do for the for the for the country.
Jim, anything else you're..
Right, David. I think we believe that the work we do and the support work we do for the government is tied to their very critical missions on these respective missions, so we expect the work to continue. There has been a lot of A news coming out of Washington Sana, but it seems like a lot of it's been updated and refreshed soon thereafter.
So then when it's all said and done, these programs are going to continue because they are mission critical, and we feel good about continuity of them and we feel good about our future opportunities and mission also with these two big departments with FEMA and other civil agencies that we're pursuing work for.
Operator
Jamie Cook, Truist Securities.
I guess my first question just on LNGC, JGC announced cost increases I think last week in conjunction with their earnings, and you mentioned some stuff in your prepared remarks. So can you just give us more color there? Were there any cost increase that you guys incurred in the quarter associated with that project and your margins for ES next year 3.5 to 4.5%, so. At the low end, the margins are lower than what you're expecting this year at the low end of the range, so does that.
Reflect LNGC and then just my second question on the guide for the year, I think you mentioned that it would be more back end loaded if you could just help us, how we think about first half versus second half just so this street calibrates estimates correctly. Thank you.
Morning, Jamie. Thanks for the question and I'll ask Jim's been spearheading all of our discussions at LNGC, and I'll ask him to comment on that, and then Joe could comment on the ES margins and and and Reagan can talk about the back end load and how we see the ramp up for the year.
So as everyone knows, LNG Canada is obviously an important project for us, and we're working closely with our JD partner and our client in this final stretch. The commission efforts, as I said, are progressing well and are very advanced, and as I indicated, Train one is in advanced stages of commissioning and preparation for cool down.
Now, despite the fact that we have had to expend additional resources on the installation work, we are still on track to meet the client's objective of first cargo middle of this year. The project continues to perform. Jamie, tracking to management expectations. And we expect it to be a very successful project when it's all said and done. We continue our conversations with the client on the on the final commercial resolution. We we've had some good fruitful discussions in recent weeks and days. And again, we're confident this is going to be a successful project at the end of the day tracking to our expectations.
So Joe, do you want to comment on how that weaves into margin guide for energy solutions?
Yeah, if we look at kind of the burn off of some major programs flowing into kind of a reload. A situation for energy solutions around feed work. What you're seeing is kind of the pivot of a lot of those resources as we move over to the demand driven growth side of the model. So you'll see a little bit of a drag in the beginning of the year, and I think you'll see better strength in that margin performance as we get to the end of the year. But really this is kind of the pivot as we as we shift over to the urban solution side of the model. In terms of where we see the demand driven growth and the types of teams that we need in order to support that and open the aperture to that opportunity within and our backlog growth, so that's really where it's at right now. It's kind of the trail. Off of the projects that we're executing and as we pivot into pivot some of those resources over to the urban solutions.
And I think a little bit of a testimony to the portfolio approach that, as you're coming off these big projects in the ES you really see a ramp in the urban side. In the back half of the year, so, I'm not going to give you too much color on the shaping, but, I'll say, we'll see a really high exit velocity from an even as we get into the second half of the year.
Operator
Andy Whitman, Baird.
Andy Wittmann
Yeah, great, and thanks for taking my questions. Maybe Joe, one for you. I just kind of looking at the cash flow guidance here 45 $500. That's that or maybe slightly above the net income guidance, which is a pretty good outcome. It's particularly concerned here. You've got, I guess $237 million of burn associated with these legacy projects, yet a pretty good OCF number. So I guess my question is, got a couple parts to it. Which is what are the offsets that are leading to maybe, considering you've got this burden for legacy, what's the offset on the positives that are there more JV cash distributions that are kind of propping up the
The OCF guidance that you give here, are you expecting in 2024 you came into the year expecting to burn a lot more on the legacy projects than you actually did because during the year you got some you got some relief on those projects. I'm thinking about Gordy. I'm thinking about LEX. Of those things I think helps offset some of the cash. So are you looking for some of these offsets in 25 to deliver this number, or can you just talk maybe about some of the moving parts inside of that?
Thanks. No, I think you laid it out pretty correctly, as we're looking at, the bar that we set relative to the funding of the legacy projects at the beginning of the year, we had a similar number in 2024 and we drove that number down.
This is what the planning basis has laid out for us, so the 450 to 500 cash flow guide that we're providing absorbs that $200 million into that discussion, and we will fight obviously as we did in 2024 to bring that number to the lowest possible common denominator, and I would suggest there's maybe 20% to 30% of that guide. That is wrapped up into some of the additional dividends that we're repatriating in, not so much from Mexico, but principally probably from from our operations up in Canada at this point. But yeah, there's a piece of it. It's probably a smaller piece, 20 to 30%. I would suggest the 450 to 500 probably represents is a better representation of what the ongoing business is going to present. And generate over the over the course of the planning period coming up.
Andy Wittmann
Okay, appreciate that, and then I guess maybe David, one for you talked about the.
The potential to attach power generation, including thermal to the data center and being a more holistic solution. I think obviously that makes a lot of sense and stands to reason, just as it relates to the thermal side. I mean this is a business obviously you guys have had a long issue you mentioned that, but from investors' point of view, this was a business that was kind of shut down because of the fixed price nature of the business.
I would imagine that the experts that you had in the company might not any longer be with the company. How do you position the business rebuilding a team? Presumably you'd only do it on a reimbursable basis? How do you credibly rebuild that team? To deliver that solution, and can you just, as per the answer to that question, can you just talk about how advanced any discussions on the power generation side are for you on the thermal side.
Yeah, it's exciting. The utility tell me it's exciting in electric times in the in the power generation world right now. Everyone out there is scraping and scratching for where they can get power generated, including coal to gas, fired SMRs, and thermal. Thermal power. I had the opportunity to run our power business back in the mid 2000s. I had a great run there with with thermal power buildup and some clean coal facilities as well. So definitely we do know how to execute. That was all fixed price back then, but you're right. We want to move into this space, strategically and follow our, risk processes, risk management processes as we look to build up a power generation.
To support the broad power demands going forward. So we're rebuilding the capabilities, when you see our traditional, I think of our traditional clients, the likes of Chevron and ExxonMobil. Just announcing this this quarter, both of them that they're developing power solutions for US data centers and we've got our traditional clients looking at that so which helps us obviously with our relationships and how to get involved with those projects, but we do need to look at a deal shaping and. And either reimbursable or hybrid models where the risk is put in the right places on these generators. So I'll ask Jim to comment a little more because he's close to having a Chief Operating Officer working closely with Energy Solutions and what they're doing to get ready.
And you brought up some interesting points in your question, stuff that we are discussing internally to make sure we are approaching this the right way. Let me just first say we've not forgotten the lessons of the past. And when we pursue power work, we're going to be very deliberate in our approach to the market. I think there are great opportunities out there driven by data centers, but in general just driven by greater demand for power for a variety of reasons.
Today we're currently involved selectively in several power projects, both nuclear and natural gas. We've entered these projects early at the front end, working closely with our clients, looking for the best technical solutions, and during the front end we're shaping the EPC EPCM faces to a commercial profile that makes sense for everyone.
So we are doing that today, like I said, nuclear and thermal, and we're going to follow the same process for future opportunities as David said, we're in discussions with several utilities about their project needs, and we believe we have a lot to add there in terms of our execution and project management capabilities.
And let me add our expertise in supply chain. So much of the success of a project today is driven by supply chain, not just the main equipment, but all the other ancillary equipment and making sure all that gets delivered on time both for engineering and for the construction. So I think there's a lot of floor can add value in this market without having to go to a competitive lump sum bidding process, late conversions, partially reversible hybrids. There's a lot of models we can implement and the clients today are more amenable to follow these more innovative creative models given that they know there's limited capacity out there and that project delivery certainty is what they need.
Yeah, there's a lot of the existing power EPC service providers are stretched right now in their execution capabilities, so that brings opportunity for floor as Jim said, we need to be very careful and have patience, right?
One of the bigger issues in this in this space is that the turbine. The turbin OEMs are sold out till 2028, so that's that's another challenge that we've got on our projects to make sure we can get the supply chain right and the timing right, but we're going to be very careful and measured in this space.
Operator
Steven Fisher, UBS.
But thanks, good morning and congratulations to to all of the new roles. Just wanted to follow up on the new scale discussion. I'm just curious data, I mean, has anything changed in terms of of the negotiations? I mean, are you actually making progress? I know investors are kind of sitting a little bit anxiously hoping you're able to lock in some of the value in the marketplace, so I understand it's probably hard to discuss negotiations that are ongoing, but I'm just wondering if there's any other comfort you can offer investors that that you are actually making tangible progress towards some monetization.
As you said, we're we're in negotiations, not a lot I can say other than these are detailed discussions and which, as I said, I'll be participating in later in the week. So as I said, it takes patience in the nuclear space and you know we're at the very front end, we're in the first inning on on SMRs and commercialization of the new scale technology.
But the demand and the interest in that type of business model going forward is really off the charts.
As soon as soon as some power purchase agreements get signed up, I really think the floodgates are going to open up wide. So I'm very positive on on the the opportunity for floor and for our strategic investor and for new skills supporting with their technology and like I said, we're we're in detailed discussions and hope to have some news for you soon.
Okay, that's helpful. And then just to follow up on Jamie's question about the energy solutions margins, I guess I'm still a little unclear about why the first half at least is a little bit low, given that it sounds like the mix should be. Much higher in terms of engineering services, which should be higher margins. Is it it was the point that you basically there's just an under absorption of the project management resources and staffing that you have and that offsets that the higher engineering mix.
And then I guess more broadly, David, I think during a lot of your tenure, the the message has really been about a focus on putting higher margins into backlog. And I'm wondering if if that under Jim and John, is that going to be sort of still the ongoing message here or is anything kind of changed in in that regard?
Yeah, I'll talk a little bit about what I'm trying to describe is the pivot as we came off the back end of some of these bigger programs. We have a significant amount of infrastructure that was in place to support those big programs, and as they start to trail off and we pivot to demand driven growth, there is a little bit of friction in that process as we get the right people in place in order to open the aperture into what we see is a fairly robust opportunity slate within an urban solutions.
So it's just a bit of the friction that's going to occur in the beginning of the year through the first quarter into a portion of the second quarter, but as that starts to shift, you'll start to see better leverages coming through energy solutions and you'll start to see better backlog growth into urban solutions, and that'll help normalize your margin profile across the spectrum of the segments that we have.
Right, and then on on higher margins and the focus on higher margins and the healthier backlog going forward and also moving to primarily reimbursable backlog as part of that, our strategic priorities which we'll talk about in April with you, have not changed. We've got a little more focus on on project project delivery.
Because we're growing and we have to make sure we cover all our bases and execute with excellence as we grow and not get stretched, so the strategic priorities are pretty well the same that you'll hear about and when we talk about fair and balanced contract terms.
And getting paid properly for the value we provide that is still firmly in place going forward and again that's what you'll be hearing more about here in April, so I guess I should turn it to to. Jim and Regan, because you've asked them the question as well.
That's right, David. There's going to be a focus on the proper returns on a risk adjusted basis. The fact that the portfolio is majority reimbursable helps with that.
Yeah, there is a, there is a pivot in energy solutions and that's a market I know well because I ran that business for several years and we're reloading with a lot of significant work including the power discussion we had a minute ago.
But there's other opportunities, LNG and decarbonization and downstream and chemicals, so we expect that market, probably in the 26th time frame to start picking up. In the meantime, urban is going to be our primary edge in the growth.
So yeah, there is a lot of focus on margin, but there's also a lot of focus on risk and making sure the margins we are getting are are proper for the risk profile so. The priority is going to be the same in a methodical and a rigorous manner like that.
I just echo that. It'll continue to be a focus. I think the phenomenon of The absorption issue that you raise is real. I think, as Jim pointed out that will normalize as we get closer to 2026, and we'll see some of the leverage to the margins in as as we get into that latter half of the year. So your question was intuitive and a bit leading, but I think you you've heard us all echo the continued focus on on the margins coming into the backlog.
Operator
Brent Thielman, D.A. Davidson.
I just had a question on the financial guidance inputs and specifically just around the interest income expectation of 80 million in 2025. I think you realized $150 in 2024. It just, it, can you bridge the difference there? Are there any other cash outflows you need to be aware of, understand you're going to have some share repurchases in there, but. I want to understand that.
So as you think about it, your intuition is again spot on. You are seeing a little bit of the impact of the share repo, which kicked off and will remain, in progress in earnest across all of the 25. The biggest thing that maybe you're not thinking about is the cash that we've held at a couple of our significant joint ventures, notably in Canada and in Mexico, and so we had significant repatriation of those dollars back into Fuller court and out of the JV.
And so you wouldn't have necessarily seen that cash, but it has now come back into To the corporate portfolio and so we were kind of generating interest on cash you couldn't see because of the nature of the JB accounting. So the biggest difference there in addition to a little bit lower interest rates across the balance of the year, but the biggest thing is really the JB cash that has now been redeployed back to the JB partners. And we're we're returning and we're returning shareholder and and we're buying back shares too right?
Understood. Yeah, and I guess just to follow up and all the conversation around the stronger book to Bern, I think, well understood urban solutions is going to continue to be a nice driver here. I guess I'm more curious on the timing and energy solutions as we advance through 2025. Are you so cautiously optimistic or optimistic, we might see an inflection in this kind of downward trend and backlog. It's developed more recently I'm just trying to get a sense of when you think some of these these opportunities start to accelerate there.
Yeah Brent, this is Jim. Yeah, 2025 is the reloading year, so, and look, we don't always control the timing of awards. We can get ready for the projects. We develop the teams, the proposals, the execution plans. Sometimes these front end efforts drag on because their clients.
It's interesting the crimes in the energy market. Have been a little more careful and prudent in launching their FID and the clients we see in other markets that are more time to market and are willing to jump the gun earlier. So when you ask when will the inflection point turn upward. It depends a little bit on these FIDs.
I would say '26 is a higher chance for sure than '25, but, perhaps even the second half of 26. So we're doing everything we can to set up the projects for success, doing quality front end work, helping the clients maneuver the challenges of the supply chain.
Helping them maneuver the challenges of potential tariffs and other issues. So there's a lot of good work that happens on the front end to set these projects for success. The exact timing of them, it's up to the clients and specifically to your question, I'm probably looking at a 26 time frame.
Operator
Due to time constraints, this concludes our Q&A session. I will now turn the call back to David Constable, Chief Executive Officer, for closing remark.
David Constable
Thank you, operator, and many thanks to everyone for participating on our call today.
As we close out the 2024 financial year, really pleased with our cash generation trajectory and our ability to return capital to shareholders. In addition, we have significant near term prospects that will support further revenue growth and broad-based industry diversification for the company. So we appreciate your interest in Flu Corporation and thanks again for your time today.
Operator
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect.