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Q4 2024 Agree Realty Corp Earnings Call

In This Article:

Participants

Reuben Treatman; Senior Director of Corporate Finance; Agree Realty Corporation

Joey Agree; CEO; Agree Realty Corporation

Peter Coughenour; CFO; Agree Realty Corporation

Ki Bin Kim; Analyst; Truist Securities

Smedes Rose; Analyst; Citigroup

Michael Goldsmith; Analyst; UBS

Rob Stevenson; Analyst; Janney Capital

Spenser Allaway; Analyst; Green Street

Paul Ridzon; Analyst; KeyBanc Capital Markets

Presentation

Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Agree Realty fourth-quarter 2024 conference call. (Operator Instructions)
Note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Reuben Treatman, Senior Director of Corporate Finance. Please go ahead, Reuben.

Reuben Treatman

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for Agree Realty's fourth-quarter 2024 earnings call. Before turning the call over to Joey and Peter to discuss our results for the quarter, let me first run through the cautionary language.
Please note that during this call, we will make certain statements that may be considered forward-looking under Federal Securities Law, including statements related to our 2025 guidance. Our actual results may differ significantly from the matters discussed in any forward-looking statements for a number of reasons. Please see yesterday's earnings release and our SEC filings, including our latest annual report on Form 10-K for discussion of various risks and uncertainties underlying our forward-looking statements.
In addition, we discuss non-GAAP financial measures, including core funds from operations or core FFO, adjusted funds from operations or AFFO, and net debt to recurring EBITDA. Reconciliations of our historical non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found in our earnings release website and SEC filings.
I'll now turn the call over to Joey.

Joey Agree

Thanks, Reuben. And thank you, all, for joining us this morning.
I'm very pleased with our performance in 2024 as we maintained our strategic discipline through a year of significant market volatility. Approximately 16 months ago, we introduced our do-nothing scenario, demonstrating that even in the absence of conditions that facilitated external growth, we can deliver meaningful AFFO per share growth.
We resisted the temptation to move up the risk curve or deviate from our core investment strategy. Instead, we remain steadfast in our commitment to investing in the strongest retailers were superior risk-adjusted returns, and focused on our objective of being a valued partner to the largest retailers in the country. Quite simply, our disciplined paid off.
As the market shifted, we quickly capitalize on opportunities and proactively strengthened our fortress balance sheet, decisively pre-equitizing with $1.1 billion of forward equity during the year, including $423 million in the fourth quarter alone. We concluded 2024 with over $2 billion of liquidity, including $920 million of outstanding forward equity. Paired with no material debt maturities until 2028, our balance sheet management philosophy has put us at a tremendous position to execute.
As we enter 2025, we find ourselves, once again, navigating a volatile, higher interest rate environment. This underscores the importance of our disciplined and prudent approach to both capital allocation and capital raising. By proactively fortifying our balance sheet last year, we provided ourselves with ample liquidity to execute on this year's investment guidance without the need for additional equity capital. At year end, leverage stood at just 3.3 times pro forma net debt to recurring EBITDA. We can deploy over $1.5 billion this year, while staying within our targeted leverage range of 4 to 5 times net debt to EBITDA without raising any additional equity.
I would note that we've had a very strong January to start the year and remain extremely confident in our ability to invest between $1.1 billion and $1.3 billion in 2025 across all three external growth platforms. It could, in fact, turn out to be conservative. So, we are committing to updating the market in regular courses we gave incremental visibility. This outlook supported by a fortress balance sheet and combined with our best-in-class portfolio, gives us conviction in achieving our AFFO per share guidance of $4.26 to $4.30 for the full year 2025. This represents approximately 3.5% year-over-year growth in the mid point.
I would note that given our significant and forward equity position, this includes assumptions for dilution via the treasury stock method if the stock continues to trade in the 70 plus range, I have repeatedly said that I don't care about a penny or two of earnings in any given year due to accounting methodologies, but more importantly, value of the balance sheet flexibility enabled by forward equity and other risk mitigation tools. Peter will provide more details on our guidance momentarily.
Turning to our three external growth platforms we set out last year to further enhance and deepen our relationships with our core retailers, I'm pleased to report this (inaudible) led by Craig Erlich, our Chief Growth Officer, was a success.
Today, our retail partners truly understand the value proposition of partnering with Agree Realty. We are a one-stop shop for acquisitions, development and developer funding solutions. This unique value proposition is unmatched in the industry. Our private peers don't have the liquidity, cost or access to capital. While our public peers lack the real estate development and operational capabilities ingrained in our organizations.
For the fourth quarter, we invested approximately $371,000,127 high quality retail net lease properties across all three platforms, this include the acquisition of 98 assets for over $341 million. The properties acquired during the quarter, will be used to leading operators in the auto parts, off-price, farm and rural supply, home improvement, tire and auto service as well as crafts and novelties sectors.
The fourth quarter mark both the highest volume and highest quality quarter of the year, evidenced by the longest weighted average lease term, as well as the highest investment grade and ground lease percentage of any quarter in 2024. Notable transactions included a Walmart and Home Depot ground lease, as well as a sale leaseback of the top relationship tenants with which we enjoy a very strong relationship.
The acquired properties at a weighted average cap rate of 7.3% and a weighted average lease term of 12.3 years. Approximately, 10.5% of annualized base rents acquired were derived from ground lease assets, while investment-grade retailers accounted for over 73% of the annualized base rents acquired.
For the full year 2024, we invested $951 million in 282 retail net lease properties, spanning 45 states and 28 retail sectors. Approximately $867 million of our investment activity originated from our acquisition platform. The acquisitions were completed at a weighted average cap rate of 7.5% and had a weighted average lease term of 10.4 years, with roughly two-thirds of rents coming from investment grade retailers. As a reminder, we do not impute credit ratings for non-rated retailers.
Switching to our development in DSP platforms. We had a record year with 41 projects either completed or under construction, representing approximately $180 million of committed capital. We're continuing to see increased activity across both platforms as we work with our retail partners to help them execute their store growth plans, and provide struggling developers with liquidity to fund their pipeline.
During the fourth quarter, we commenced a new development and DFP projects with total anticipated costs of approximately $45 million. For new projects or with leading retailers, including all the T.J. Maxx and Marshalls, Hobby Lobby, Boot Barn, Sherwin-Williams and Starbucks. Construction continued during the quarter on 14 projects with anticipated costs totaling approximately $67 million. Lastly, we completed construction on 9 projects through the quarter with total costs of $31 million.
On the asset management front, we executed leases, extensions or options and over 530,000 square feet of gross leasable area during the fourth quarter. For the full year 2024, we executed new leases, extensions or options on approximately 2 million square feet of gross leasable area. We are very well-positioned for 2025 with only 41 leases or 120 basis point of annualized base rents maturing.
During the year, we, opportunistically, dispose of 26 properties for total gross proceeds of over $98 million, including 8 properties that were sold during the fourth quarter. The weighted average cap rate for dispositions in 2024 was 6.7%.
At year end, our best-in-class portfolio include 2,370 properties and spans all 50 states. The portfolio includes 229 ground leases, comprising nearly 11% of annualized base rents. Our investment grade exposure year-end stood at 68.2% and occupancy remained strong at 99.6%.
With that, I'll hand the call over to Peter and then we can open up for questions.