In This Article:
Participants
Hamza Fodderwala; Investor Relations; Palo Alto Networks Inc
Nikesh Arora; Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer; Palo Alto Networks Inc
Dipak Golechha; Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President; Palo Alto Networks Inc
Lee Klarich; Executive Vice President - Product Management, Chief Product Officer; Palo Alto Networks Inc
Saket Kalia; Analyst; Barclays Bank PLC
Brian Essex; Analyst; JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Keith Weiss; Analyst; Morgan Stanley & Co LLC.
Joseph Gallo; Analyst; Jefferies Financial Group Inc.
Gabriela Borges; Analyst; The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
Matthew Hedberg; Analyst; RBC Capital Markets
Shaul Eyal; Analyst; TD Cowen
Joel Fishbein; Analyst; Truist Securities, Inc.
Andrew Nowinski; Analyst; Wells Fargo & Company.
Presentation
Attackers are coming up with newer techniques. So you need to work with the security vendor who can keep pace with the attackers, and they keep on constantly making sure that they evolve the solution.
AI introduces an entirely new threat factor when it comes to securing our products through prompt injection attacks, through quantum moderation, through hallucinations and a bunch of these other things that did not exist in a world pre-AI.
Palo Alto Networks currently has the strongest solution in the market and a very compelling road map when it comes to agentic security.
The most exciting thing for us is ensuring that our customers have access to the most secure AI system inside the enterprise, and with our partnership with Palo Alto Networks, the prospect of continuing to lead in terms of providing the most secure and performing AI system for our customers that are some of the biggest organizations operating in 100 plus countries, that is what excites us.
Hamza Fodderwala
Good day, everyone, and welcome to Palo Alto Networks fiscal third quarter 2025 earnings conference call. I'm Hamza Fodderwala, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations, and Strategic Finance. Please note that this call is being recorded today, Tuesday, May 20, 2025, at 1:30 PM Pacific Time.
With me on today's call to discuss our fiscal third quarter results are Nikesh Arora, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Dipak Golechha, our Chief Financial Officer. Following our prepared remarks, Lee Klarich, our Chief Product Officer, will join us for the question-and-answer portion.
You can find the press release and other information to supplement today's discussion on our website at investors.paloaltonetworks.com. While there, please click on the link for quarterly results to find the Q3 '25 supplemental information and Q3 '25 earnings presentation.
During the course of today's call, we will be making forward-looking statements and projections regarding the company's business operations and financial performance. These statements made today are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ from these forward-looking statements. Please review our press release and recent SEC filings for a description of these risks and uncertainties. We assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements made in the presentation today.
This presentation contains non-GAAP financial measures and key metrics relating to the company's past and expected future performance. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered a substitute for financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. The most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and reconciliations are in the press release and the appendix of the investor presentation.
Unless specifically noted otherwise, all results and comparisons are on a fiscal year-over-year basis. We also note that management is scheduled to participate in the Bank of America Technology Conference this quarter. I will now turn the call over to Nikesh.
Nikesh Arora
Thank you, Hamza. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our earnings call. I'm delighted with our Q3 results. We continue to make progress on our platformization strategy while releasing a number of unique innovations in Q3 that set the pace for our industry. It is becoming increasingly clear that as organizations aspire to simplify and modernize their security architectures in the age of AI with data at the center our strategy is resonating, resulting in larger deals.
Most notably, we crossed an important milestone of $5 billion in next-generation security ARR up 34% year-over-year, delivering industry-leading growth at scale. Our net new ARR growth also showed positive momentum in the third quarter.
We believe we've reached an inflection point in our next-generation security story. As a growing majority of our incremental growth this year is derived from our AI-powered XSIAM, Sassy and software firewalls. These offerings with large TAMs should help underpin your confidence in the sustainability of our NGS AR growth as we march towards our $15 billion ARR target for FY30.
On profitability front, Q3 continues to show the leverage in our business model. As we drive efficiencies from our scale and benefit from the economies of larger, multiproduct deals in addition to continuing to drive AI efficiency benefits slowly and steadily. We also generated healthy free cash flow while continuing to manage our transition from a billing focus to RPO. As such, we remain confident in achieving our adjusted free cash flow margin targets over the next few years.
Let's be clear, you can't walk around a street corner or conference without hearing the words AI. The urgency adopt AI is omnipresent in all of our customers. It no longer seems to be a choice. It is becoming a strategic imperative for every customer as the risk of an action is too high. During every conference, every customer conversation, the topic of AI transformation is more and more frequent and now the conversation is shifting to Agentic AI.
What's fascinating is this is actually creating a higher sense of urgency amongst our customers to undertake their technology transformation, transformations that require a fundamental change in the infrastructure. Traditional IT architectures won't build scale, speed, or complexity of AI to truly capitalize on the AI's potential, enterprises need modern cloud-delivered platforms that can ingest vast amounts of data and operate in real time at scale.
We've seen customers who are previously delaying their cloud migrations are now reaccelerating their investment. This is good news for cybersecurity. And as the AI becomes more deeply integrated into our customers' businesses, the need to protect the underlying data models and infrastructure will become parallel.
Over the next year, an estimated more than $300 billion will be spent on AI infrastructure alone. That kind of spend on just power models. You saw the video of we opened with Glen and we're hard at work enabling secure adoption of this next wave AI-powered applications. This is precisely why industry must change the paradigm, shifting away from today's fragmented security landscape and to consolidation. The cost of fragmentation is friction.
Friction causes latency. Latency is the enemy of real-time cybersecurity. Now more than ever, bringing data together into a unified platform is critical. At its core, security is a data problem. We believe our depth and breadth of data is amongst the largest in the industry and is something that point solutions simply cannot access. This leads to superior threat detection efficacy, reduce false positives and faster incident response times. All critical metrics for our customers and key drivers of our market leadership.
The volume and complexity of threats are not slowing down either. Bad actors using AI to move faster than ever. Recently, our Unit 42 team was able to simulate an entire ransomware attack in under 25 minutes using AI at every stage of the attack chain. That's a staggering increase in speed, powered entirely by AI.
Over a year ago, we doubled down on our platformization strategy. We're pleased with the large deal momentum we've had since and the endorsement of our strategy broadly across the industry. Our platform approach is working well with customers slowly and steadily.
Our approach, which favors better and speedier security outcomes and lower cost of membership is being adopted by more and more of our customers. In Q3, we delivered over 19 net new platformization deals and now have a total of approximately 1,250 platformization within our top 5,000 customers.
Digging deeper, the number of customers of multiple platformization grew nearly 70% earner in Q3. In particular, the number of customers platformize on Cortex was up nearly three times, reflecting strong momentum with XSIAM.
Teal-roll growth and largest customers also reinforces our success. We had 130 customers with over $5 million in NGS ARR in Q3, up over 40% year-over-year and 44 customers is over $10 million in NGS ARR, up over 60%. To give more color on what these platformization look like, I want to take a look at a few examples from Q3.
Of particular note, beyond the size and scope of our deals is the customer's ability to consolidate a significant number of products with Palo Alto Networks, a leading global consulting firm signed a transaction worth over $90 million in Q3. This customer platformized on Cortex for XSIAM, replacing a legacy incumbent SIM provider. Our differentiated value was centered in our ability to materially reduce mean time to respond.
We also reduced costs by consolidating a total of four products in this deal. As a result, our NCR as customer nearly doubled year-over-year. A leading financial services company signed a $46 million transaction with us. The customer recognized the value of XSIAM and consolidated four products with us, including the displacement of their well-established EDR and SIM vendors. Beyond XSIAM, the customer also expanded and extended their platformization on our network security program in the quarter.
Our US financial services firm signed a $32 million transaction with us. This customer platformize our network security and consolidated cloud security vendors, driven by a company mandate to consolidate their security tools and reduce complexity in their cybersecurity stack. In this deal, they consolidated four products.
Now moving on -- so an update on Cortex. As you can tell from earlier comments, I'm particularly excited about the momentum we're seeing with XSIAM, which saw accelerating growth in Q3. XSIAM is not only our fastest-growing product ever, it is now more impactful to our overall growth rate. I believe that from a strategic perspective, XSIAM has the potential of being the game changer for both the industry and Palo Alto Networks.
In the first innings, of baseball, not Cricket of transforming the cybersecurity industry with XSIAM. By consolidating security data into a single AI-driven SOC platform, XSIAM is modernizing and disrupting the traditional SIEM market, we're continuing to see amazing milestones including customers mean time to respond from weeks to minutes. As security teams face growing complexity and talent shortages, we believe XSIAM is well positioned to be operating system for modern SecOps.
The numbers speak for themselves. We now have approximately 270 customers in XSIAM and the average ARR per customer is over $1 million. This already makes it one of the most successful products in the history of cybersecurity. What's even more remarkable is that we've generated -- reached this level of adoption and impact just 30 months after XSIAM was made available to customers.
XSIAM ARR grew over 200% year-over-year in Q3, nearly twice as fast as our closest next-generation SIEM competitor. On a trailing 12-month basis, XSIAM bookings are now approaching $1 billion.
About three years into our XSIAM journey, our sustained strong momentum bolsters our confidence in a long growth runway as we increasingly tap into this estimated $40 billion SecOp STAM. Last quarter, we unveiled Cortex Cloud, our breakthrough in unifying cloud posture and stock operations. Over the last three months, we have seen strong early customer interest in Cortex Cloud, the nine-figure pipeline, spanning hundreds of customers.
This quarter, we also announced two products that will enhance our ability to further expand XSIAM and its capability. XSIAM once deployed, has become the foundational security data platform for customers. We now understand the data we're capturing in this -- is the data you actually need for a whole variety of use cases. In April, we launched advanced e-mail security to help stop threats before the resin box and our exposure management capability was launched as well designed to cut through the noise and focus security teams on the risks that truly matter.
That's not all. Think of XSIAM is our data to market engine. Every bit on nearly 12 petabytes of telemetry in just daily around cloud identity endpoints in e-mail and more act as high octane fuel. This massive data stream isn't just powering XSIAM, it's igniting our ability to identify and accelerate our entry into entirely new markets, unlocking additional TAM in the tens of billions, we're now uniquely positioned to address. Through our comprehensive understanding of data sources and broad data ingestion capabilities or beginning to deliver solutions using multiple content capabilities of XSIAM.
Every piece of telemetry we ingest makes our platform smarter. The more data we put in, the further our engine can go and the smarter it gets. The faster we can build an trillion capabilities on top of it. We're encouraged by the early customer feedback and look forward to continuing to discuss this more in the future.
Now shifting our focus to network security. We continue to lead the market in security and in share across all three best-to-breed form factors. As enterprises into securely increasingly secure hybrid workforces and IT environments spanning headquarters, branch offices, data center on the cloud, we're uniquely positioned with a consistent security architecture.
In Q3, our product revenue grew 16% year-over-year. This growth was broad-based, with software continuing to increase in the overall mix. We also saw stable demand in the appliance market. So the firewall ARR grew approximately 20% year-over-year in Q3 with public cloud deployments continuing to be the primary driver. AI is accelerating cloud adoption, and we believe this trend will expand the long-term need for software firewalls that scaled modern workloads.
Shifting to SASE, which continues to be our fastest-growing forte in network security and a strong contributor to our overall growth. As customers transform their network to keep pace with delivering first-class security capabilities for remote users and branch offices, we continue to see robust growth for SASE.
Many SASE projects are large and comprehensive, which is well suited to our rich offering and enterprise focused sales expertise. In Q3, our SASE ARR grew 36% year-over-year, more than twice as fast as the overall market and ahead of our key SASE competitors. Furthermore, 40% of new SASE customers were net new to Palo Alto Networks in Q3. We now have approximately 6,000 SASE customers, up 22% year-over-year.
Meanwhile, the drivers of our SASE momentum are broadening. This quarter, we saw particularly -- particular strength in Prisma Access browser, which again accounted for a third of our Prisma Access seats sold in the quarter. In just 18 months since our talent acquisition, we have now sold approximately 3 million license seats on Prisma Access Browser, up more than 10x from a year ago and we have a healthy nine-figure pipeline.
As AI drives more data and applications to the cloud, the browser is becoming the primary interface to accessing these resources, acting as the application runtime environment. The operating system in this scenario becomes less about local resources and more about securely connecting to and managing cloud-based services. And as more and more critical applications, data reside within the browser environment, it naturally becomes the target of cyber-attacks.
Prisma Access Browser's native controls and real-time visibility are designed to help ensure that sensitive data remains safeguarded during browsing sessions regardless of the user location or the application they're accessing. And we believe Prisma Access Browser is strategically positioned to be the future OS and enabling secure and productive work in an evolving AI-driven world.
Now shifting to our newly launched Prisma AIRS or AI On Time Security. As I mentioned earlier, it's more important than ever to bring data together in order to leverage AI and enable customers to stay ahead of the attackers. We're also seeing customers demand for us to help them secure their AI transformation journey.
In this mad rush for AI in the industry, many of our customers are experimenting with the AI. At Palo Alto Networks itself, our teams are leveraging over 35 models across multiple products, each of which and the artifacts need to be discovered, scanned, constantly tested and protected against.
Prisma AIRS allows for just that. It helps enterprises discover, scan, and test all the artifacts to ensure they're safe. It allows for a world-class data security posture deployment and once in production, it ensures that applications using AI are constantly monitored and any security flows are both protected against as well as remediated across the enterprise.
Prisma AIRS extends our existing capability in posture management and runtime security and will add security for AI agents in the future. And we recently announced the intent to acquire Protect AI, an early innovative leader in security for AI providing AI model scanning in the red teaming to further bolster our capabilities. Customer interest has been strong. We currently are in conversation with hundreds of prospects and already have an eight-figure pipeline since making the announcement last month.
In summary, we see strong momentum heading into our fiscal year-end, driven by continued transformation, and we look for our first north of $4 billion quarter. We see strong desire for consolidation and the desire to implement AI securely, including a robust Q4 pipeline.
We continue to take share across multiple security categories driving strong growth in NGS ARR at an industry-leading scale. Our strategy translates into tangible business benefit for customers, including a strong security posture and improved operational efficiency throughout -- through vendor consolidation.
As our relentless focus on innovation, we believe Palo Alto Networks is the ideal partner to help organizations achieve and secure their AI transformation goals. I'm particularly proud for our teams for driving phenomenal success in the Q3, which was fraught with geopolitical discussion state discussions yet our teams kept our heads down and continue setting up for what we hope will be a great Q4.
Let me hand it over to Dipak to review the quarterly results in detail.
Dipak Golechha
Thank you, Nikesh, and good afternoon, everyone. To maximize our time spent on Q&A, I will provide you with highlights of Q3. You can review the details within our press release and the supplemental financial information on our website.
In Q3, total revenue was $2.29 billion and grew 15% at the high end of our guided range. Within total revenue, product revenue grew 16%, while total services revenue grew 15%. Within total services, subscription revenue grew 18% and support revenue rose 10%.
On a trailing 12-month basis, the proportion of our product revenue from software is approaching 40%, driven by our growth in our virtual form factors and SD-WAN. We continue to see stable demand for firewall appliances with market growth in the 0% to 5% range as we have discussed previously.
Moving on to geographies. We saw double-digit growth across all theaters with the Americas growing 12%, EMEA up 20% and JPAC growing 23%. Our remaining performance obligation, or RPO, grew 19% to $13.5 billion. Our current RPO was $6.2 growing 16% year-on-year. The average duration of new contracts remained at approximately three years, contract duration decrease slightly on both the year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter basis.
Customers continue to make significant commitments to Palo Alto Networks through our platformization deals, particularly when adopting XSIAM to transform their security operations center. We continue to see increasing demand for annual payments, particularly deals over $1 million, but we are absorbing this transition while maintaining the high end of our fiscal year 2025 annual adjusted free cash flow margin guidance, as well as reiterating confidence in our adjusted free cash flow margin targets of 37% plus in fiscal year '26 and '27.
In line with what we talked about earlier in the year, we saw a year-over-year increase in bookings went into annual billings in Q3 and a decrease in deals leveraging with a neutral impact on cash flow.
Turning to next-generation security ARR. As Nikesh highlighted, we surpassed the $5 billion mark in Q3 and ended the quarter at $5.09 billion in NGS ARR, a growth of 34%. Within NGS ARR, we continue to see significant momentum around our Cortex platform and our AI ARR is now approximately $400 million in Q3, up over 2.5 times year-over-year.
I'm particularly excited about trends driving the NGS ARR, and I wanted to provide some additional insights around the evolution of our net new NGS ARR. We've made a number of significant investments over the last several years to both continue to lead the network security market as well as build leadership positions in new markets. You've seen the results of this effort in our NGS ARR.
Over the last several years, in network security, we invested in advanced cloud-delivered versions of our subscriptions that attach to our appliances. We saw strong adoption of these advanced subscriptions as customers saw the value of adding these to their existing network security deployments, and this is meaningful -- and this has driven meaningful NGS ARR growth.
In addition, we have NGS product offerings beyond those advanced subscriptions in new markets across network security, cloud security and security operations. We refer to those as our new market offerings as they are also fueled our NGS ARR growth.
We continue to see momentum from our advanced subscriptions of fiscal year '25, driving a healthy and relatively consistent level of net new ARR compared to prior years. At the same time, we've seen our net new NGS ARR from new market offerings grow significantly and these are becoming a larger proportion of our total net new NGS ARR dollars. This is a result of our strengthened position in these markets.
Our La Dale's team becoming more adept at selling these offerings and platformization taking hold with our customers and in the industry. As we look forward, we expect to see the new market business to be the stronger driver of net new ARR dollars. It is this dynamic that gives us confidence in our long-term targets.
Moving down the income statement. Total gross margin was 76%. Product gross margin was 78.4% in the quarter. As a reminder, we have been transitioning to a contract manufacturing facility in Texas as our primary manufacturing and performance center to benefit from scale and innovation as well as to take advantage of a foreign trade zone that can help us mitigate tariffs in products that we ship to international destinations.
As we said on our previous call, we continue to believe that we differentiate ourselves by being the only pure-play cybersecurity firm at scale to assemble all of our hardware in the USA. As a result, tariff impact to our business has been immaterial. We expect product gross margins to remain in the high 70% or low 80% margins in Q4.
Our total services gross margin was 75.4%. We are excited to see continued strong adoption of our SaaS offerings. We continue to execute on cloud cost efficiencies, including engaging with our key cloud service providers to negotiate favorable procurement arrangements as the scale of our cloud-hosted products continues to increase.
Encompassing those gross margin dynamics, we continue to focus on executing our operating margin targets, which delivered year-over-year improvements in operating margin. As I have often said, our business scales well across every single line item of the P&L.
On an operating expense as a percentage of revenue basis, we saw 340 basis points of year-over-year leverage this quarter as we drove scale and efficiencies across sales and marketing, R&D and G&A. We delivered $0.80 of diluted non-GAAP EPS and diluted GAAP EPS of $0.37, our 12 consecutive quarter of positive GAAP EPS. We generated $578 million in adjusted free cash flow in Q3.
Turning to the balance sheet. You will see that our debt balance came down by $151 million as we continue to see early conversion of our convertible debt, which occurred at the discretion of the debt holders and were settled by us in cash and equity. As a reminder, our convertible notes reached final maturity in June and our convertible notes can no longer be early converted. We will settle the remaining convertible debt in cash and equity in Q4.
As Nikesh mentioned, we announced our intention to acquire PROTECT AI for a total consideration of $700 million in cash and replacement equity awards. We expect the transaction to close by our first quarter of fiscal year 2026. We did not repurchase any shares in Q3 and our buyback strategy remains opportunistic. We have $1 billion in authorization remaining through December 2025.
With that, let me turn to guidance. For the fiscal year 2025, we expect NGS ARR to be in the range of $5.52 billion to $5.57 billion, an increase of 31% to 32%. Remaining performance obligation of $15.2 billion to $15.3 billion, an increase of 19% to 20%. Revenue to be in the range of $9.17 billion to $9.19 billion, an increase of 14%, operating margins to be in the range of 28.2% to 28.5%, our diluted non-GAAP EPS to be in the range of $3.26 to $3.28 per share, an increase of 15%. Adjusted free cash flow margin in the range of 37.5% to 38%.
As we noted last quarter, we do expect a higher Q4 contribution to our annual free cash flow and for Q4, specifically, 80% of the collections are from deals that have already been booked. Our annual cash flow seasonality is more second half and Q4 weighted this year influenced by the timing of deferred payments from customers that signed deals in prior periods and the timing of bookings within the year.
For the fourth fiscal quarter of 2025, we expect NGS ARR to be in the range of $5.52 to $5.57, an increase of 31% to 32%. Remaining performance obligation of 15.2% to 15.3%, an increase of 19% to 20%. Revenue to be in the range of $2.49 billion, $2.51 billion, an increase of 14% to 15%. And diluted non-GAAP EPS to be in the range of $0.87 to $0.89, an increase of 16% to 19%. We've included our typical modeling points in the presentation for your review.
With that, I will turn it back to Hamza for the Q&A portion.
Question and Answer Session
Hamza Fodderwala
Okay. Great. Thank you. To allow for broad participation, I would ask that each analyst ask only one question.
Saket Kalia; Brian Essex, JPMorgan.
Saket Kalia
Okay. Great. Congrats Hamza on the move over. Nikesh, maybe for you. Lots of things.
Nikesh Arora
There's life after, you can see.
Saket Kalia
Absolutely. Nikesh, maybe for you. Lots of things to be excited about with XSIAM. I wanted to dig into one part of that opportunity, in particular, which is the QRadar on-premise customer base. Clearly, a big base there that you can upgrade.
Maybe the question is how are customers thinking about that upgrade? And how big of an ARR opportunity could that be for Palo Alto Networks on that path to $15 billion?
Nikesh Arora
Saket, first of all, thank you for the question. But, I think we had this debate last quarter, how big is XSIAM I am going to be versus Prisma Access Browser because we believe they are both new trends in the industry, primarily driven by the AI way we're seeing around us. And whilst we started the XSIAM journey, and then we did the deal with IBM, where the first set of conversion we saw solar from where people who were already adapted SaaS already in the sort of cloud-delivered SIAM market, we saw that conversion.
But we've had a phenomenal partnership with IBM where we have been able to go with them to many of their large customers and work them through the transformation of going from an on-premise so to what is effectively now a cloud-delivered SOX. So the on-prem transition is not just moving XSIAM also moving from an on-prem delivered solution to cloud-based solution.
And clearly, you've seen the uplifts. We announced the large deal -- one of the largest deals $90 million day, which had XSIAM component to it. The second largest deal we had also had XSIAM component. So clearly, large deals on XSIAM are possible. I mean you think about you've been covering security for a long time, which is the last product that came out where the average ARR was 1 million year, right?
There are companies out there in security to start and say, claim, they have 10 million customers or you say every customer XSIAM is a $1 million our customers. So I think the opportunity is huge. If you go back historically, and I've said this in cybersecurity, certain swim lanes reach inflection points where the next set of products are so much better that everybody has to be shaken out of their super and their old solutions to go replace.
I mean you saw that happen in the endpoint market where we had players who had to be replaced over time. You saw that historically when we came out of the next-generation firewall, and I think this is the moment of the SIAM market.
It's a $40 billion TAM. I think in the next three to five years, it will get replaced. It will be replaced by new age players. The legacy players will drive their darndest to hang on to it, but the architectures are fundamentally different and the architectures of yester years, and it's not their fault. If you designed a product 17 years ago.
It was designed where data was expensive to store. Latency was high, things got on offline. Today, we'll revert with low latency. as you see hyperscalers announcing real-time translation this morning. So you can see that we can process data at immense speeds and deliver results immensely.
If you can catenate that with what I said, we were able to regenerate a caring and some were attack in 25 minutes, right? If that's the base of the bad guys, the pace of the good guys has to be faster. So there's no way to get to the other side from an incident response and a management perspective if you don't transform what is fundamentally a legacy technology.
So I think XSIAM is a huge potential one, and I apologize for taking longer than I should for your answer. But I said this in my prepared remarks, I want to make sure I emphasize is that what we've discovered is once we ingest all the data in an enterprise, we can actually go and make peace time products better.
So our launch of e-mail is actually a multi-context launch. E-mail security products are traditionally swingly products. I look at your e-mail, I protect you. We're able to look past e-mail in the SIAM and say, wait, when somebody click on a e-mail link, what happened? So we have the entire organizational context on the data that we have that allows us to go back and make the e-mail product spectacularly better.
So we think there are many, many new swim lanes which will get discovered as we deploy XSIAM our customers. We've seen early examples of exposure management and e-mail management. We think those are the first two use cases. But I think there's many use cases that eventually we think something like XSIAM becomes the underlying security fabric of enterprises.
Hamza Fodderwala
Brian Essex, JPMorgan; Keith Weiss, Morgan Stanley.
Brian Essex
Great. Hamza, congrats on the move from me as well. I was wondering if you could unpack Nikesh, the details behind the product revenue growth, really strong quarter of growth there. And I heard Dipak's comment that approaching 40% software in terms of mix. But I was wondering if maybe you can shed some light on how much of that is share shift? How much of that is pricing increase? And how much of that might be refresh?
Nikesh Arora
Brian, as you know that our product revenue growth is a combination of hardware and software. So it's not just the hardware part I think the core hardware business still continues to grow at -- I sound like a broken record. I've always maintained 5% to 8%. And I think the core hardware business is still growing at 5% to 8%. We highlighted sulfur firewalls in our prepared remarks for a reason.
We think the sulfur firewall business is going to inflect. And I said this, and I want to reemphasize that. In the last six months, you always ask what changed this quarter. What changed this quarter is there is so much buzz about AI that even the people who are reluctant to deploy AI are dipping their tools on it. Now it's fascinating is if you want to stay on the bleeding edge of AI innovation, it's all coming cloud delivered, right?
If you want to do an on-day implementation, it's about six months behind because there's no Gemini for on-prem, they'll open the eye for on-prem. There's no lambda or on-prem. You can deploy lambda on on-prem, but you have to be very smart, technically to go put all the bells and whistles required. So even the most reluctant organizations are going to have to move to the cloud, to be able to leverage the AI model that are coming out fast and furious.
Now at the moment you say, I have to go in the cloud, I have to go deploy a real time in the cloud, you have to secure it. And today, we have the best technology and allowed basis for cloud network traffic in our software firewalls. So part of what we're seeing is the software for our business is beginning to inflect which is underpinning both the transformation from hardware to software, but also bolstering our product revenue at Palo Alto.
Hamza Fodderwala
Keith Weiss, Morgan Stanley.
Keith Weiss
Excellent.
Nikesh Arora
Keith, why did they pick your third?
Keith Weiss
I know it's a good question.
Nikesh Arora
This does not what you get.
Keith Weiss
That being said, Hamza, if you ever realize you made the wrong decision, there's always room it's never too late. I never too late to come back. But congratulation guys on a really solid quarter. I wanted to kind of expand on the next question on what you were talking about in terms of the -- the AI imperative. And what that opportunity means for Palo Alto Networks?
When you're talking to customers that are looking to secure these new AI infrastructures, is this just about errors or is there a wider opportunity? What is it like pull through from the Palo Alto portfolio when people are looking to secure this new surface area? And to what degree does this help give you guys confident in the growth in like the next-generation ARR into next year? That's where I hear the most concrete too aggressive for next year. Is it AI? Is it platformization like the elements that give you confidence in that out your forecast?
Nikesh Arora
That's it. So I think if you take the software firewall example and extend it, so our conversations now are beginning with, well, we've got to secure this AI implementation. And I highlighted, we had a Board meeting last week and our Infosec team presented how much AI are we using within Palo Alto. I was amused and amazed to find we have 35 models under evaluation and deployment right now at Palo Alto. It's not one model, it's 35 models because they use various models, but different things.
Now we talk about 35 models, our Board starts getting were about in my god, how are you securing these models because they could be from anywhere. And what you discover is that to be able to secure those models, you actually effectively have to envelop them with a runtime firewall or AI firewall, which is actually an extension of our software firewall capabilities, right?
So what's going to happen the AI firewall is going to do a pull-through on the software firewall. And customers are going to lose the distinction between AI traffic and traditional cloud traffic, call it, traditional thought traffic. So what's happening to see is we are beginning to see the faster adoption of cloud firewalls because of the AI trend, which is like I highlighted, Brian, in terms of how that is driving some of the hardware to software transformation.
So the transformation we've sort of been slowly chugging along last five, six years, moving to a more balanced portfolio, but harder software is getting accelerated, which will cause the NGS ARR shift from hardware to software because that depletes our traditional ARR and increases our NGS ARR. So there's sort of tailwinds associated with that on the NGS ARR front from a software for perspective.
And Keith, one of the other things I'll say is that we do a lesson in cloud. In cloud security, we dwelled too long on the peace time capabilities, cloud security or the posture capabilities of Prisma Cloud. But in the firewall sort of AI business, we've actually double down on the product capability. So we are aggressively starting with runtime security, which actually was 18 months later in the cloud security industry, right?
We are out of the gate with a run time capability. And as you can see with our acquisition of Protect.AI, we're not going to let this one go. We will relentlessly innovate and make sure that we don't get side-swiped by any vendor in the market.
Hamza Fodderwala
Joe Gall, Jefferies; Gabriel, Goldman Sachs.
Joseph Gallo
Congratulations, Hamza, on your new role. Nikesh, you briefly alluded to executing through geopolitical volatility. You're the first off quarter [cyberman] to report. Can you just elaborate on your conversations with CIOs, CSOs? Is it back to business as usual after the first couple of weeks of April? Or is there still a lot of uncertainty? Maybe just kind of talk through the pipeline conversations and what's embedded in 4Q guide?
Nikesh Arora
That's a great question, Joe. I don't -- the reason I didn't dwell on it in our prepared remarks is because April was an anomalous month. I think we're back to normal in a way. But there was, as you can imagine, not too far long ago, there were conversations around tariffs around the world. There were all kinds of supply chain shocks that were anticipated, which did cause some of our customers to think, oh, my God, what's going to happen. Next time I ship a car across the border, it's going to be twice as expensive or I can't ship anything what am I doing over there?
So you saw that little sort of uncertainty in the market, which happened to be in the last month of our quarter. So that's why I'm particularly delighted that our teams got their heads down and executed. It was not an easy quarter to execute -- had we not had the tariff conversation or geopolitical tensions, it much easier to sell through it, but we had our lessons from the pandemic, we had our lessons from supply chain crisis. So we had to go back and push shorts and execute the same practices that we did then.
And we're kind of like on the same sort of cadence now in Q4 because we are trying to stay ahead of the curve because I don't think many of our customers change their plans from a transformation perspective. But there was a pause for a few days where they were trying to figure out where the market goes. And thankfully, as you see, that we seem to have overcome that as a global economy, so there's a little more, I'd say, stability in the business climate, and there was towards the -- sort of, I'll say, the early to mid-part of April, but our teams did execute through it. So I'm very proud of that.
Hamza Fodderwala
Gabriela Borges, Goldman Sachs; Matt Hedberg, RBC.
Gabriela Borges
Nikesh, I wanted to follow up on your comment on from cloud. Maybe just a little bit more on how you think about the AI product portfolio evolving from here. How do you think about what this looks like a couple of years out, the mix between organic and inorganic? And on your plan being pipeline, how do you think about including a fall from being lit logged in AI technologically specifically given how quickly the technology is evolving?
Nikesh Arora
Thanks, Gabby, for the question. I think in the cloud world, if you go back five years ago, which is when I'd say five or six years ago when the whole cloud security evolution started, there was an over-indexation and focus on cloud posture. Trying to understand what's going on, trying to understand what the integrations are, trying to understand how do you configure GCP, how do you consider configure AWS, et cetera.
And there was a whole slurry of companies, the Dome9, Evident, RedLock, Twistlock, all the companies that some of us bought and turn into our sort of core cloud portfolios. But there's a lot less focus on run time because everybody was experimenting, everybody is trying to figure out what to do with cloud and deploying it.
So clearly, that's where the market was. That's where all of us are focused. But I think we did ourselves a disservice by not indexing harder on the run time scenarios, which is where eventually the market has evolved as you can see, now we see more action in cloud detection and response and cloud SIAMs than we see in cloud posture. And over time, cloud posture is getting commoditized.
Every vendor in our industry has a cloud posture module, whether you're in SASE here in endpoint detection or your cloud security matter. So it's a very commoditized industry and you've seen pricing sort of get rationalized because of many players in the market and it being an extension of many existing categories.
In AI, I think we're going to see an accelerated version of that because AI is moving a lot faster than any other technology transformation that's happened. And we are sort of -- is very lucky than good sometimes, and we were lucky that we deployed native firewalls in every public cloud provider that allows us to expand that capability because we want to watch AI transactions midstream in line, you have to be where the traffic is. The traffic is in the cloud service providers, right? If you think about it, 90% of AI implementations are running through cloud service providers, not on-prem.
If that's the case, that traffic has to be looked at, it has to be bidirectional traffic because these things are going to have a brain of their own, right? They're going to have agency. When that happens, you have to look at what that brain is doing because sometimes it can be erratic. So from that perspective, AI runtime security becomes a very important pillar. And we sat around the team and have had done a really good job on our AI firewall and then you discover it.
Customers wanted to understand the veracity of the models, they want them scan, they want to persist in red teaming and say, oh, my god, it's going to take us six months to bit. Let's look at who's the best market we want to protect. Lucky, the founders found a fit with our team in terms of how they were going to work with us, and we're going to close that acquisition. And that team is actually going to run our AI security business.
Hamza Fodderwala
Matt Hedberg, RBC; Shaul Liao.
Matthew Hedberg
Congrats on the results, guys. I had a question for Lee. Walking around RSA really increasingly like it was an AI conference versus a cyber conference. And you guys talked about $400 million in AI ARR, which is great. I guess my question is, from a genic world, talk about why Palo Alto is best positioned to help customers think through that, which is a -- obviously, a whole new paradigm shift. But talk about some of the foundational aspects that you feel really good about from that from an agentic perspective?
Lee Klarich
Yes. Great question. I think two years ago, RSA was AI. A year ago, it was AI security. And this year, it was Agentic AI, right? We're cycling through the different forms of AI. Look, with Agentic AI, I think the way I think about it starts with this idea that AI is going to move from being a sort of helper function to having autonomy, like it's going to be able to take actions on its own.
Obviously, those actions will be metered out and increased over time as trust is built up. And when you think about that in concept, one of the -- there's a few key building blocks that are going to have to be present. And one of those is it's not just going to be sort of an open-ended let AI kind of create and do whatever it wants to, there'll have to be certain guardrails and constraints on that from an enterprise perspective and certainly from a cybersecurity perspective.
And so -- the first aspect of that then that positions us very well is our breadth and strength is everything related to automation, right? Our X4 platform has over 1,000 integrations. We know how to integrate with all the different systems in the enterprise. We know how to programmatically approach this in a consistent reliability.
What happens then if we put an AI engine behind that, and that's the agentic piece that can actually start to actually create and evolve and improve and learn over time. So no one else has that really same level of integration and automation capabilities that can be paired with AI.
The second piece is on a net headrest every customer I talked to was the sort of the permission infrastructure for how do you make sure that these agentic systems are actually allowed to do what they're allowed to do. And the -- our footprint in understanding the interconnectedness of all the different applications and enterprise put us at in a very good place to be able to understand it permissioning and the security implications of that. And so, we shared this in two forms.
One, what we're doing at Christmas errors to secure agentic systems; and two, we gave a preview of agentics which is going to be our approach to building agentic platforms for our customers, and I'm excited about both of those.
Hamza Fodderwala
Shaul Eyal, Cowen; Jonathan Ho, William Blair.
Shaul Eyal
Congrats on solid results. Congrats to Hamza leading his first call. Nikesh, back to QRadar and talent, and I get these are two different products after core, both seem to be exceeding their targets internally, both should continue to show great results. From where you sit, would you rank them as Palo Alto's probably better acquisitions over the course of the past four or five years? Where is the bigger TAM opportunity longer term?
Nikesh Arora
I think the -- you step back and you think five years out, I think five years out, security will be delivered on top of a large security data lake by some version of machine learning in AI. I think the traditional approach to security of writing policies and writing rules and writing human set of controls at the edge is going to fail.
Because AI will be incessantly banging at those edges trying to find the loopholes and the misconfiguration in the way humans have not secured the perimeter. If you believe that, and you say that the way to make sure that your perimeter is secured, is look at all the data, analyze it, pattern recognize it and have your agents, the same agents that Matt was asking about, those the agents should go back and say, I found a misconfiguration at the edge, let me go fix it, right?
Why should that not happen? Why should security in the future be some security analysts writing a policy pain, saying, do this for traffic and do the stretch GPS, et cetera. So by definitive, it means you should have some version of agentic AI securing a perimeter five years from now. That requires that agentic AI to have the access to all the data across all your end points, right? It doesn't mean you have to have the same end point.
It doesn't mean you have to have Prisma Access Browser or SASE or Palo Alto SASE, you can have anything you have Zscaler, Nets go, Palo Alto, whoever you want. But at the end of the day, the data has to get to one place. Now what's happened is we've been collecting data recently in a new paradigm for the incident respond use case. Well, guess what? That same data can be used for the policy remediation use case or protect your perimeter use case.
So I think the evolution of security will be people will go to a harmonized security data lakes, which we used to multiple activities. And I think we're seeing the beginning of that. And I think three to five years when you look back and say, that was obvious. It's not obvious today because people are still going to sell best-of-breed products at the perimeter protected. But how can you protect the perimeter if you only have a singular lens on the problem.
If you only see what you see with your product, how can you protect the perimeter, you have to see the entire enterprise to understand where the relative opportunities where the relative mistakes are, I think that's where security goes in two to five years. So in that context, I think Prisma Access Browser is a great edge device which actually be very interesting and useful because you have full visibility of the interactions of the endpoint or the human perhaps or the agent perhaps in that use case.
But you're going to need something in the back to try and make sense of the data and be able to respond in real time. And I think that's where the underpinning of the next-generation SIAMs of the world is going to be.
Hamza Fodderwala
Joel Fishbein, Truist; Andy Nowinski, Wells Fargo.
Joel Fishbein
Can you talk a little bit about the enterprise browser and why Talend has seen the inflection that it has? And does this perhaps help your platform approach, particularly around the AI opportunity?
Lee Klarich
Yes, absolutely. So the key if you think about this from a Secure Browser perspective is it's a niche sort of use case when it is disconnected from everything else, right? You have a user, the browse Internet, you secure it, that is interesting. When we deliver it and are able to integrate it with our platform, it completely transforms that from being a sort of one-off use case to being an everything use case. We can now secure users traffic to the Internet.
We can secure their connections to SASE. We can secure their actions private applications with the recent announcements where we can even secure their connections to things that are not even browser-based. And so the -- what I just described is enabled by us delivering it as part of a comprehensive platform as opposed to stand-alone solution now.
We can deliver stand-alone, and we have some customers that are starting there as a first step toward broader adoption, which that's part of the flexibility and how our platforms work, but the comprehensive solution is really what's driving the inflection point as we see it.
And then to your point around how AI factors in, we're finding that through the secure browser, we're able to then deliver a differentiated solution to our customers for securely adopting AI, where they get better security and a better user experience when adopting AI because we can embed a lot of the security controls directly in the browser, which just makes it a lot easier from an adoption perspective.
Hamza Fodderwala
Sorry about that, Jonathan.
Joel Fishbein, Truist; Nowinski, Wells Fargo.
Joel Fishbein
Hamza, congrats. Nikesh, I guess, a follow-up to Shaul's question, or your answer to Shaul's question, a pretty powerful statement about the data like security. I'm curious about how you view threat intelligence and the importance of sharing threat intelligence in this AI era and protecting against the bad guys. I'd love to hear your thoughts on that.
Nikesh Arora
Look, we've always had a belief that threat Intelligence should be share the most part. There's obviously certain exceptions. But generally speaking, we've been opened we're one of the founding members of the Cyber Threat Alliance, which is focused on doing just that even amongst security vendors, so with our competitors. I actually think the to a certain extent the advent of AI and attacker AI is going to have an interesting impact on this.
A lot of threat intelligence is oriented toward the idea that if I know about a specific attack, a specific piece of a specific IOC, I can build a protection for that specific thing. And in the advent of AI, more and more attacks are going to be novel attacks. They're going to be new and different and it becomes much more important that protections then are AI-based.
Now these AI-based protections will be informed by threat intelligence, but it will be less of a direct correlation. It will become much more important that what is being shared with threat intelligence perspective actually becomes more about attack techniques and approaches and that's actually going to require a bit of a change to the threat intelligence space.
So, that'll need to happen or need to play out, it'll be interesting to see how that that shift manifests itself.
Hamza Fodderwala
Andy Nowinski, Wells Fargo.
Andrew Nowinski
To go to one here. You guys had solid growth in platformization customers. I think you now have 1,250 that have deployed a platform. That's a small percentage of your total installed base of over 70,000 customers. So I'm wondering, is there any way to look at the percentage of ARR that those platform customers account for because I would guess that they account for a much higher percentage of ARR than the 2% they account for in your installed base. I'm really trying to understand the importance of the growth in these platform customers relative to reaching your $15 billion ARR target.
Nikesh Arora
So let's recap Andy. I think we had said we want to get to 2,500 to 3,500 platformizations. And we believe when we get there at the current trajectory of ARR per platform deals, we're going to get close to our $15 billion target. And that assumes somewhere between 60% to 70% of our NGS ARR is made up of these platform customers. Does that make sense?
Andrew Nowinski
Yes, certainly.
Nikesh Arora
That's our math. So you can do the math now yourself and say, what does that mean? 70% of $15 billion hard to compute then you can divide that by 2,500 to 3,500 whichever you like and see the average ARR per deal. And then we'll tell you if you work that back 5%, 6% a year over the next five years, you'll say, wow, that must be the average platform dealer that Palo Alto has, give or take.
Hamza Fodderwala
Okay. Great. With that, we will conclude the Q&A portion of this call. I will now turn it back to Nikesh for his closing remarks.
Nikesh Arora
Again, thank you, everyone, again, for joining us for our earnings call. We look forward to seeing many of you at upcoming investor events. I also want to thank our customers, partners and as I said, our employees for powering through what was a tumultuous April, but we think now it's business as usual, all of us are heads down trying to execute on our big $4 billion-plus a quarter in Q4. Thanks again.