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Q3 2025 Amcor PLC Earnings Call

In This Article:

Participants

Tracey Whitehead; Head of Investor Relations; Amcor PLC

Peter Konieczny; Chief Executive Officer; Amcor PLC

Michael Casamento; Executive Vice President - Finance, Chief Financial Officer; Amcor PLC

Ghansham Panjabi; Senior Research Analyst; Robert W. Baird & Co Inc

Anthony Pettinari; Analyst; Citi

Daniel Kang; Analyst; CLSA

Matt Roberts; Analyst; Raymond James

Jaobk Cakarnis; Analyst; Jarden Australia

George Staphos; Analyst; BofA Global Research

Brook Campbell-Crawford; Analyst; Barrenjoey

John Purtell; Analyst; Macquarie Group

Mike Roxland; Analyst; Truist Securities

Keith Chau; Analyst; MST Financial

Nathan Reilly; Analyst; UBS

Sam Seow; Analyst; Citi

Cameron McDonald; Analyst; E&P

Arun Viswanathan; Analyst; RBC Capital Markets

Presentation

Operator

Well, good day, everyone, and welcome to Amcor's Fiscal 2025 third-quarter results conference. This conference is being recorded.
At this time, I would like to hand things over to Ms. Tracey Whitehead, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, ma'am.

Tracey Whitehead

Thank you, operator, and thank you, everyone, for joining Amcor's fiscal '25 third-quarter earnings call. Joining the call today is Peter Konieczny, Chief Executive Officer; and Michael Casamento, Chief Financial Officer.
Before I hand over, let me note a few items. On our website, amcor.com, under the Investors section, you'll find today's press release and presentation, which we'll discuss on the call. Please be aware that we'll also discuss non-GAAP financial measures and related reconciliations can be found in that press release and the presentation.
Remarks will also include forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views an assumptions. The second slide in today's presentation lists several factors that could cause future results to be different than current estimates. Reference can be made to Amcor's SEC filings, including our statement on Form 10-K and 10-Q for further details.
Please note that during the question-and-answer session, we request that you limit yourself to a single question and then rejoin the queue if you have any additional questions or follow-up.
With that, over to you, PK.

Peter Konieczny

Thank you, Tracey, and thank you to all who have joined us for today's call. Today is a defining day for Amcor as we successfully closed our transformational combination with Berry Global earlier than we anticipated in a record time. Early close means we are now positioned to accelerate earnings growth through the delivery of significant synergies that are identified and within our control.
I want to thank the Amcor and Berry teams for their hard work and dedication over the past months. Together, they have navigated challenges and complexity to accomplish a truly remarkable outcome that positions Amcor for a faster start and synergy delivery and growth.
As always, on slide 3, we begin with safety, our number one priority. This commitment remains unchanged as we welcome 30,000 new colleagues to Amcor. Our total recordable incident rate, TRIR, fiscal year to date was 0.027, and 69% of our sites have remained injury-free for over a year. Our focus on workforce safety and the well-being of our people is resolute and we continue to achieve industry-leading performance.
Our key messages for today are on slide 4. First, we continue to deliver EPS growth in Q3, reflecting disciplined execution and resilience in a demand environment that became more variable and uncertain as the quarter progressed, particularly for our North American business.
Second, as I mentioned, the Berry combination closed ahead of schedule. It took less than six months from announcement to close, during which time we secured shareholder approvals, completed the necessary refinancing including a multi-billion dollar debt offering and obtained unconditional approval from regulators in all required jurisdictions. As a result, our earnings and cash flow guidance has also been updated to reflect expectations for the combined company in the fourth quarter.
And third, our early close also means we will enter fiscal '26 in an even better position. With confidence, the synergy run rate will start strong and built quickly through the year. The source of synergies has been identified, our execution plans are clearly set out and within our control, and synergies alone give us clear visibility to significant total earnings accretion of approximately 12%.
Turning to slide 5. As we begin integration, our focus is clear. deliver identified synergies and grow faster. Experience with previous acquisition tells us that having clear accountability and alignment from day one is critical to our success. This combination brought together two extraordinary pools of talent, and we are fortunate to have a team of leaders in place with significant functional, operational, and industry expertise.
Our business is organized around two segments. Amcor's global flexibles business is being led by Fred Stephan, who has many years of experience with a number being large-scale flexible packaging businesses. And Jean-Marc Galvez, former President of Berry's Consumer Packaging International division, is leading Amcor's Global Containers and Closures business. Fred and Jean-Marc are well supported by world-class functional leaders and dedicated integration teams, with separate work streams focusing on capturing costs, financial, and growth synergies.
Slide 6 provides a recap of the highly compelling rationale for this combination and the alignment with our strategy to become the packaging partner of choice for customers, while also delivering stronger, more consistent, and sustainable organic growth and further improving margins.
There are a number of growth unlocks now available. The combined company is a better business, with a complementary and broader portfolio of primary packaging solutions at scale across consumer goods and healthcare end markets.
In the context of a stronger, larger-scale company, we are now uniquely positioned to further refine our portfolio mix to focus even more on attractive, higher-value, faster-growing end markets. With further pruning, we will increase average growth rates, margins, and cash generation across the remaining portfolio, and we continue to advance our work on this review.
In addition, Amcor has exceptional and now enhanced capabilities in material science and innovation, providing opportunities to drive growth by effectively and efficiently leveraging our combined resources. With more than 1,500 R&D professionals and annual R&D investment of approximately $180 million, we can now optimize and redirect R&D spend, providing capacity to focus on solving the most complex functionality and sustainability challenges faced for our customers and consumers. Executing against these growth opportunities and delivering the significant identified synergies is largely within our control and will drive compelling near- and long-term value for shareholders.
Turning to synergies on slide 7. The work our integration teams have already completed gives us confidence in delivering $650 million of synergies, which will result in significant earnings growth over the next three years. Approximately 40% of total synergies, or $260 million, is expected to end at fiscal '26 earnings. A further $260 million of synergies will benefit earnings in fiscal '27, with a balance in fiscal '28, leading to total EPS accretion in excess of 35% over the three-year period.
In addition, we expect one-time cash benefits of $280 million from working capital improvements, which will fund costs to achieve.
Finally, on slide 8 and the compelling sustainable financial value we're creating. Including synergies, annual cash flow available to reinvest will exceed $3 billion each year by fiscal '28 and will enable us to maintain a strong investment-grade balance sheet, deploy additional cash to support higher levels of organic volume-driven growth, finance further M&A, and continue funding a compelling and growing dividend for Amcor's current annualized base of $51 per share.
With stronger cash generation and greater opportunities to invest, we also expect to increase long-term EPS growth and raise the outcomes under our shareholder value creation model to a new and higher level. Simply put, this combination is a game changer for Amcor's financial profile and provides self-help earnings growth opportunities at a time of increasing uncertainty in the macroenvironment.
Moving to slide 9 for a summary of our third-quarter financial results. Overall volumes were in line with last year with modest share gains offset by weaker consumer and customer demand. As Michael will cover in more detail, there were a number of puts and takes across our regions. Volume growth in the low- to mid-single-digit range in each of Europe, Asia Pacific, and Latin America was offset by weaker-than-anticipated consumer demand in our North American businesses, including North America beverage.
Notwithstanding the increasingly dynamic consumer environment, Q3 saw continued growth across key financial metrics with net sales of $3.3 billion and EBIT of $384 million, both marginally higher than last year. We also delivered another quarter of adjusted EPS growth, up 5% on a comparable basis, benefiting from a continued focus on cost as well as improving healthcare volumes which benefited price mix trends as anticipated.
I'll now turn the call over to Michael to cover the third-quarter result and our updated outlook in more detail.