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Earnings results often indicate what direction a company will take in the months ahead. With Q2 behind us, let’s have a look at Desktop Metal (NYSE:DM) and its peers.
Onshoring and inventory management–themes that grew in focus after COVID wreaked havoc on global supply chains–are tailwinds for companies that combine economies of scale with reliable service. Many in the space have adopted 3D printing to efficiently address the need for bespoke parts and components, but all companies are still at the whim of economic cycles. For example, consumer spending and interest rates can greatly impact the industrial production that drives demand for these companies’ offerings.
The 4 custom parts manufacturing stocks we track reported a softer Q2. As a group, revenues missed analysts’ consensus estimates by 5.1% while next quarter’s revenue guidance was 6.7% below.
After much suspense, the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate by 50bps (half a percent) in September 2024. This marks the central bank’s first easing of monetary policy since 2020 and the end of its most pointed inflation-busting campaign since the 1980s. Inflation had begun to run hot in 2021 post-COVID due to a confluence of factors such as supply chain disruptions, labor shortages, and stimulus spending. While CPI (inflation) readings have been supportive lately, employment measures have prompted some concern. Going forward, the markets will debate whether this rate cut (and more potential ones in 2024 and 2025) is perfect timing to support the economy or a bit too late for a macro that has already cooled too much.
Luckily, custom parts manufacturing stocks have performed well with share prices up 16.6% on average since the latest earnings results.
Weakest Q2: Desktop Metal (NYSE:DM)
Originating from a research lab at MIT, Desktop Metal (NYSE:DM) offers 3D printers, production materials, and software to many industries.
Desktop Metal reported revenues of $38.93 million, down 26.9% year on year. This print fell short of analysts’ expectations by 14.4%. Overall, it was a disappointing quarter for the company with a miss of analysts’ earnings estimates.
“Since the beginning of 2022, Desktop Metal has worked tirelessly to align our cost structure with macroeconomic realities, making hard decisions about the business. By the end of Q1 we had delivered nine quarters of non-GAAP opex reduction and brought our cash burn down dramatically. I am proud of the progress we have shown,” said Ric Fulop, Founder and CEO of Desktop Metal.
Desktop Metal delivered the weakest performance against analyst estimates and slowest revenue growth of the whole group. Unsurprisingly, the stock is down 4.5% since reporting and currently trades at $4.69.