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Q1 2025 O'Reilly Automotive Inc Earnings Call

In This Article:

Participants

Jeremy Fletcher; Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President; O'Reilly Automotive Inc

Brad Beckham; Chief Executive Officer; O'Reilly Automotive Inc

Brent Kirby; President; O'Reilly Automotive Inc

Michael Lasser; Analyst; UBS

Simeon Gutman; Analyst; Morgan Stanley

Greg Melich; Analyst; Evercore ISI

Chris Bottiglieri; Analyst; BNP Paribas Exane

Robert Ohmes; Analyst; Bank of America

Kate McShane; Analyst; Goldman Sachs

Christopher Horvers; Analyst; JPMorgan

Presentation

Operator

Welcome to the O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., first-quarter 2025 earnings call. My name is Matthew, and I will be your operator for today's call. (Operator Instructions)
I'll now turn the call over to Jeremy Fletcher, Mr. Fletcher, you may begin.

Jeremy Fletcher

Thank you, Matthew. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. During today's conference call, we will discuss our first-quarter 2025 results and our outlook for the remainder of the year. After our prepared comments, we will host a question-and-answer period.
Before we begin this morning, I would like to remind everyone that our comments today contain forward-looking statements, and we intend to be covered by and we claim the protection under the Safe Harbor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. You can identify these statements by forward-looking words such as estimate, may, could, will, believe, expect, would, consider, should, anticipate, project, plan, intend, or similar words. The company's actual results could differ materially from any forward-looking statements due to several important factors described in the company's latest annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024, and other recent SEC filings. The company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement made during this call.
At this time, I would like to introduce Brad Beckham.

Brad Beckham

Thanks, Jeremy. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the O'Reilly Auto Parts first-quarter conference call. Participating on the call with me this morning are Brent Kirby, our President; and Jeremy Fletcher, our Chief Financial Officer. Greg Henslee, our Executive Chairman, and David O'Reilly, our Executive Vice Chairman, are also present on the call.
I'd like to begin today by thanking our over 93,000 team members for the hard work they put in during the first quarter to continue our track record of profitable growth, delivering a solid start to 2025. We held our annual leadership conference in January, and our theme and rally cry for this year is next level. Every single one of our leaders in every facet of our business are focused daily on how they can take their leadership, their ownership, and, in turn, our customer service and performance to the next level. It's incredible that O'Reilly has been a business for almost 70 years and the same fundamentals and next-level mindset that made our company successful in the early years are still what makes us great today.
While I believe our people and our culture are truly world-class today, our team absolutely never settles for the status quo. I cannot be more grateful to work with the team that is always on the hunt for ways to improve, get better and take our company to the next level. Delivering excellent customer service and building top-notch teams to continue our company growing is not easy work, and I want to commend our team members for the pride they take in our company and the commitment they hold to being the best team in the business.
Now I'd like to start our discussion on the first quarter by walking through the details of our comparable store sales results. Our comp growth of 3.6% in the quarter was at the high end of our expectations, and we are pleased with the solid start to the year. Both sides of our business performed well relative to our expectations, and our professional business was the larger driver of our total comp results with a mid-single-digit comp consistent with our expectations and ongoing trends. DIY was positive for the quarter with a low single-digit comp, and we were pleased to see our comp outperformance being driven by strong ticket counts relative to our expectations on both sides of the business. Next, I want to give some color on the cadence of our sales results as we move through the quarter.
We've noted many times that our first quarter can be our most volatile with variability in our business resulting from the type and severity of winter weather and from the timing of the onset of spring. The timing and magnitude of individual income tax refunds can also be a factor impacting our results through much of February and into March. While our results for the quarter, as a whole, were strong, we did see the choppiness in our business that is characteristic of first quarter from these impacts. Winter weather in January was largely as expected, but moving into February, we experienced more mixed weather patterns and some delays in the distribution of tax refunds. As we entered the last week of February, tax refunds caught up and coincided with favorable spring weather moving into March that supported strong volumes on both sides of the business through the end of the quarter. March was our strongest month of the quarter, and we produced solid results thus far into April.
On balance, we believe our underlying business and customer demand was steady throughout the quarter, and the month-to-month cadence is very much in line with what we would have expected given the weather we experienced and the timing of tax refunds. Although ticket count was the primary driver of our comp sales growth and outperformance in the quarter, average ticket was also a contributor to comps on both sides of the business. The dynamic of increasing complexity continues to be a stable driver of average ticket within our industry as better engineered and more complex parts continue to drive both higher product costs and resulting selling prices. Same SKU inflation was a minimal benefit on the quarter at less than 0.5%. This was slightly below our expectations on both sides of our business, primarily due to the normal puts and takes we see in rational competitive pricing in our industry.
I will discuss our thoughts on tariff developments in a moment, but I will note the tariff-related price changes had a very minimal impact to same-SKU inflation in the first quarter. Looking to the remainder of the year, we are maintaining our full-year comparable store sales guidance of 2% to 4%. Now I'd like to spend a minute discussing what is driving our sales results and how we're thinking about what is ahead of us this year.
During the first quarter, weather-related categories performed well, and we continue to see strength in maintenance categories such as oil and filters as consumers are prioritizing the maintenance of their existing vehicles. We also continue to see pressure in discretionary categories in line with trends over the last few quarters and a continued indicator to us that consumers are being cautious in a period of economic uncertainty. We saw solid results in failure-related hard part categories, and our customers continue to prioritize products that are higher quality on the value spectrum. We believe we're in a market where consumers are placing a high value on investments in their existing vehicles and will continue to be motivated to avoid the significant cost and monthly payment burden that comes with a new or replacement vehicle. The combination of these factors puts us in a backdrop that we would characterize as favorable for the industry and for O'Reilly yet carries a high degree of uncertainty.
There are several factors, namely tariffs and the ongoing international trade deliberations that have the potential to impose significant challenges on the consumer. Within the first quarter, most of this uncertainty was in the headlines and had yet to make its way to anything we would characterize as notable impact to our day-to-day business. As such, we have not made changes to the key assumptions behind our original comparable store sales guidance range of 2% to 4% that we discussed on our call in February. Tariffs certainly have the potential to impact the same-SKU inflation assumptions we have inherent within our guide. However, the high degree of uncertainty surrounding the duration, magnitude and timing of potential tariffs coupled with the changes we have already seen to previously announced tariffs, prevent us from prudently forecasting the inflationary impacts.
Additionally, we have not seen adverse impacts to consumers that could also come with rapid and sustained changes to the pricing environment, but we are cautious in our outlook given the broader uncertainties in the macroeconomic environment. Based on these considerations, we have maintained an unchanged sales guidance range that is supported by current business trends and volumes. Brent will cover the gross margin outlook during his prepared comments, but I will note that our margin outlook was developed under the same thought process. Over the long term, regardless of any potential for short-term disruptions in the broader macro environment, we stand by the fundamental drivers of our business, increasing miles driven on a growing and aging vehicle fleet by consumers that view transportation needs is critical to their day-to-day lives, provides a stable and supportive backdrop for our industry.
While tariffs may take up a significant bandwidth in the news, our teams are focused on what they do best, and that is getting incrementally better in executing our business model every single day in every single store. We have the absolute expectation that our industry-leading service and availability will take market share against any market backdrop, and internally, we certainly don't allow for excuses if results don't meet expectations. We have confidence in our industry, and we know that even after years of sustained profitable growth as a company, we still own a small fraction of the total addressable share. We believe we still have a ton of opportunity, and we intend to take market share both aggressively and profitably.
Before I wrap up, I wanted to also note that we are increasing our diluted earnings per share guidance to a range of $42.90 to $43.40. Our increase in EPS guidance is driven by our first quarter sales performance as well as a reduction in our expected tax rate and the impact of shares repurchased through the date of our earnings release yesterday. You might have also seen that we announced that our Board of Directors approved a 15:1 split of our common stock, subject to shareholder approval at our annual meeting this May. This would mark our fourth stock split in our company history, since going public in April of 1993 with our last split 20 years ago in 2005. Our primary motivation for a split, is to make our stock more accessible to our team members and enable them to acquire whole shares rather than fractions more readily through our employee stock purchase program.
Our stock purchase plan has been an excellent way for our team members to share-in the success of O'Reilly, allowing full-time team members to begin purchasing stock at a discount right at the beginning of their career with the company.
With the outstanding results our team has been able to achieve over the years and the corresponding growth in share price, we believe this is the right time to split our stock and encourage our team members to join in the next chapter of growth for O'Reilly.
As I wrap up my prepared comments, I would like to once again thank Team O'Reilly for your hard work and commitment to excellent customer service with a solid start to 2025.
Now I'll turn the call over to Brent.