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Q1 2025 CenterPoint Energy Inc Earnings Call

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Presentation

Operator

Good morning and welcome to CenterPoint Energy's first-quarter earnings conference call with senior management. (Operator Instructions)
I will now turn the call over to Jackie Richert, Senior Vice President of Corporate Planning, Investor Relations and Treasurer. Ms. Richert.

Good morning and welcome to CenterPoint's first quarter 2025 earnings conference call. Jason Wells, our CEO; and Chris Foster, our CFO, will discuss the company's first quarter results.
Management will discuss certain topics that contain projections and other forward-looking information and statements that are currently based on management's beliefs, assumptions, and information currently available to management. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially based on various factors, as noted within our Form 10-Q and other SEC filings, as well as our earnings materials. We undertake no obligation to revise or update publicly any forward-looking statements.
We reported $0.45 of earnings per share for the first quarter of 2025 on a GAAP basis. Management will be discussing certain non-GAAP measures on today's call. When providing guidance, we use the non-GAAP EPS measure of diluted adjusted earnings per share on a consolidated basis referred to as non-GAAP EPS.
For information on guidance methodology and reconciliation of the non-GAAP measures used in providing guidance, please refer to our earnings news release and presentation on our website. We use our website to announce material information.
This call is being recorded. Information on how to access the replay can be found on our website. Now, I'd like to turn the call over to Jason.

Thank you, Jackie, and good morning, everyone. On today's call, I'd like to address four key areas of focus. First, I'll touch on our first quarter financial results. Second, I will discuss the improvements we have made in advance of the upcoming hurricane season in support of our goal to build and operate the most resilient coastal grid in the country. Third, I'll provide a brief update on our regulatory progress through the first quarter and touch on a few recent filings at Houston Electric. And lastly, I'll provide an update on the continued significant and diversified low growth in our Houston Electric Service territory which is driving an increase of $1 billion to our capital investment plan through 2030.
Now, starting with our first quarter results. This morning, we announced non-GAAP EPS of $0.53 for the first quarter. As a quick reminder and as Chris will cover in more detail, I want to emphasize that our incremental revenue from capital recovery mechanisms will be more weighted to the second half of the year as we were unable to access those mechanisms consistent with our historical schedules last year given our rate case activity.
We anticipated this profile when we initiated our guidance, and we are reaffirming our 2025 non-GAAP EPS guidance range from $1.74 to $1.76 which equates to 8% growth at the midpoint from our delivered 2024 non-GAAP EPS of $1.62. Over the long term, we continue to expect to grow non-GAAP EPS at the mid to high end of our 6% to 8% range annually through 2030. We also expect to grow dividends per share in line with earnings growth over the same period of time.
I would like to now discuss the improvements we have made in advance of the upcoming hurricane season. As many of you recall, immediately after Hurricane Beryl, we introduced our Greater Houston Resiliency Initiative to significantly accelerate resiliency investments to reduce the number of outages during extreme weather events, as well as to help restore service more quickly when those outages occur.
I'm proud of the progress our crews have made. By June 1, we will double the number of grid automation devices on our system. We'll replace 26,000 poles designed to withstand extreme winds and trim or remove over 6,000 miles of high-risk vegetation since we launched this initiative last August.
It is important to note that much of this work is being performed in parallel with our base workload plan. In fact, taken altogether, we will have completed what amounts to an extra one and a half years of work on top of our base work plan in the last nine months.
I want to thank the team here at CenterPoint for acting with urgency to improve customer outcomes as we head into the 2025 hurricane season. We remain committed to working towards our goal of being the most resilient coastal grid in the country.
Now, turning to my third key area of focus, a brief overview of our regulatory progress, including some recent filings at Houston Electric. Before I touch on any specific regulatory filing, I want to put into perspective what our teams have accomplished over the last 18 months.
Last year, 5 of our now 7 service territories were subject to a rate case proceeding that represented nearly 90% of our enterprise rate base. As of today, we have received final orders in 3 and are now awaiting another for a Minnesota gas business where we've already reached an all-party settlement.
After the conclusion of the last rate case for our Ohio gas business, we expect that over 80% of our enterprise rate case will not be subject to a general rate case proceeding for about another four years. This significantly de-risk regulatory profile provides a solid foundation for our financial plan through the remainder of the decade.
I now want to briefly touch on a few filings in our Houston Electric Service territory. Chris will provide updates on filings in our other jurisdictions in his section.
I'll start with our most recent filing related to our temporary generation units. Last week, we made a filing to remove the unamortized rate base of our large temporary generation units. As a result, average residential customers will see a reduction in their electric delivery charges, which over time, will equate to a monthly savings of up to $2. This plan was publicly supported by several key stakeholders at a recent legislative hearing.
Second, I want to provide an update on our system resiliency plan filing. As you may recall, we refiled our system resiliency plan at the end of January. The contents of that filing were informed broadly by our extensive stakeholder engagement after Hurricane Beryl. We heard loud and clear that our stakeholders wanted a more resilient grade delivered at an accelerated pace.
We believe the investments included in our updated filing are responsive to that feedback as well as the feedback we've received from interveners from our initial filing. We look forward to further discussing the merits of our plan during a mutually agreed to mediation, which is scheduled for next week. Absent a settlement in this docket, the PECT has a statutory deadline of mid-September to show its final order.
Lastly, I want to touch upon our upcoming cost determination filing related to the storm cost recovery for Hurricane Beryl and other storms. Within the next two weeks, we anticipate making our cost determination filing to seek recovery of the $1.1 billion of cost incurred to restore over $2 million outages as a result of Hurricane Beryl. In addition, this filing will also include approximately $100 million of restoration costs related to two subsequent storms.
Approximately 90% of the Hurricane Beryl related costs are related to 2,000 CenterPoint frontline personnel and nearly 13,000 mutual aid workers who traveled from approximately 30 states over a nine-day period. Notably, their work led to restoration times that were in line or better than other Texas peers as well as peers outside of Texas that experienced similarly damaging storms.
The securitization mechanism for Texas Utilities continues to be an important and constructive storm cost recovery tool for both customers and utilities. It mitigates the customer bill impact of system damage from severe weather while also providing liquidity to utilities to continue to efficiently fund capital investments for the benefit of customers.
We look forward to working with stakeholders towards a constructive resolution of this upcoming filing. As I mentioned, Chris will cover the details of our other regulatory filings in his section.
Finally, I want to discuss the recent low growth trends in our Houston Electric Service territory and provide some additional color on the $1 billion increase to our capital investment plan through 2030.
As you may recall on our last quarter call, we outlined what we believe to be a conservative forecast of a 10 gigawatt increase by 2031 in peak load on our Houston Electric system. We continue to see positive trends that only bolster our confidence in this forecasted low growth figure.
Notably, since we submitted our forecast to ERCOT at the end of January, our load interconnection queue has grown by another 7 gigawatts through 2031. This represents a nearly 20% increase in load interconnection requests in a little more than two months. This significant increase is driven by a diverse set of low growth factors including industrial customer demand, data centers, and transportation electrification projects.
At this time, we are not increasing our forecast of a peak load increase of 10 gigawatts by 2031, which, as a reminder represents about a 50% increase in peak demand on our system over the next six years. However, these new data points provide us even stronger conviction in our submitted forecasts. This tremendous growth potential will undoubtedly require additional capital investment in the electric transmission system, which as we alluded to in the fourth quarter call, we believe to be at least an incremental $3 billion of capital investment by the end of the decade, with likely more thereafter.
While the total forecasted capital investment and exact timing are still being refined and will be influenced by the PECT recommendation on the high voltage standard, we plan to incorporate the increased capital investment in our guidance over the course of this year, starting with today's increase of $1 billion. This initial $1 billion increase in our capital investment guidance, which now takes our total investment plan to $48.5 billion through 2030 reflects nearly a dozen transmission projects we will be submitting to ERCOT's regional planning group in the coming weeks.
We will continue working with stakeholders on the final transmission voltage standard and anticipating providing additional updates to our capital investment guidance over the next two quarters. In addition to these electric transmission investment opportunities, we continue to see a robust set of incremental capital investment opportunities in our Houston Electric Service territory, as well as other jurisdictions.
In Houston Electric, we see the potential capital investment opportunities as we partner with the city of Houston on its downtown revitalization program, which will require substantial investment to support both growth and modernization of our underground electric system and our downtown substations. We will also evaluate additional resiliency investments towards the latter part of the decade as we continue to aim to be the most resilient coastal grid in the United States.
We also have a number of incremental capital investment opportunities outside of our Houston Electric business. One example relates to our Texas gas business, which relies on third parties to move our own gas throughout the greater Houston region.
We believe there's an investment opportunity to build a localized high-pressure distribution network around the city of Houston, similar to what we've constructed in our Minnesota gas service territory that could result in significant savings for our customers. Investments related to this project will likely begin next year and extend well into the next decade. We are excited to share more about all of these capital investment opportunities in the third quarter of this year, when we plan to provide a new comprehensive ten-year plan.
These examples of capital investment opportunities across our business further strengthen our conviction that we have one of the most tangible, long-term growth plans in the industry. We believe that the growth in Houston Electric Service territory in combination with the capital investment opportunities and our other businesses will continue to drive growth for years to come.
Equally important, this growth will also provide a sustainable platform for our customers whose charges will continue to benefit from the ever-growing population and economic activity. We are privileged to serve all of the communities across our four-state footprint, and we continue to focus on executing for the benefits of our customers and all of our stakeholders. And with that, I'll hand it over to Chris.