We recently published a list of 10 Best Stocks to Buy Now For the Long Term. In this article, we are going to take a look at where The Progressive Corporation (NYSE:PGR) stands against other best stocks to buy now for the long term.
What’s Next for the Equity Markets?
The US equity markets have started to show signs of recovery after weeks of volatility due to the tariff situation. On March 21, J.P Morgan Management’s Global Investment Strategist, Alan Wyne released his market update noting that this was the first weekly gain after four weeks for the US equity markets. While highlighting the current market condition Wyne highlighted that this improvement follows the Federal Reserve’s decision to leave interest rates unchanged while revising growth forecasts downward and increasing near-term inflation expectations. The Fed has emphasized that tariff-related inflation is likely transitory. Futures markets anticipate two interest rate cuts this year, with a 50% chance of a third, sparking demand in Treasury markets. On the other hand, yields on the 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes dropped by 7 and 9 basis points, respectively. Moreover, European stocks have continued to outperform, supported by Germany’s new legislation exempting defense spending exceeding 1% of GDP from borrowing restrictions. Wyne suggests that this policy could unlock significant fiscal spending across the Eurozone. The Stoxx 50 index is up 0.2% for the week and has gained 11% year-to-date.
While the S&P 500 is hovering near correction territory, marking five years since its COVID-19 drawdown. Wyne noted that the risks appear evenly distributed between bullish and bearish outlooks. On one hand, the bears argue that softer economic data and rising consumer inflation expectations could worsen with tariff escalations, potentially leading to stagflation. On the other hand, bulls counter that weak sentiment data does not necessarily reflect hard economic indicators such as employment and retail sales, which remain robust. Wyne highlighted that bulls point out that long-term inflation expectations are still anchored near the Fed’s target, mitigating risks of a wage spiral. He pointed out that historically speaking, investing during sentiment troughs has yielded strong returns in subsequent months.
Lastly, closing his market outlook with some investment advice, Wyne suggests that balancing risks by maintaining strategic asset allocation might be a viable strategy. He added that investors should use equities for long-term capital appreciation and fixed income for hedging during slowdowns. In addition, tactical adjustments can help capitalize on emerging opportunities while adding resilience through assets like gold and infrastructure investments. Wyne stressed that despite market volatility since the COVID-19 drawdown, the S&P 500 has risen over 150%, which underscores the importance of staying invested through uncertainties.
Our Methodology
To curate the list of the 10 best stocks to buy now for the long term we reviewed financial media reports and blue chip ETFs. From these sources, we picked stocks from multiple sectors including financials, energy, technology, consumer staples, and more. We finally selected stocks with a history of stable operations. Additionally, we checked their 10-year revenue growth rates and only considered companies with a growth rate of at least 7%. The list is ranked in ascending order of the number of hedge funds holding each stock, sourced from Insider Monkey’s Q4 2024 database.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
Is The Progressive Corporation (NYSE:PGR)The Best Stocks to Buy Now For the Long Term?
A team of accountants in a boardroom, discussing strategic moves of an insurance company.
The Progressive Corporation (NYSE:PGR) is an insurance holding company that operates through various subsidiaries and affiliates, offering a range of insurance products. It operates through three main segments including Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, and Property.
On March 19, William Blair analyst Adam Klauber maintained a Buy rating on the stock. Klauber highlighted that The Progressive Corporation’s (NYSE:PGR) February results suggest it is on track to achieve an EPS of more than $16 in 2025, exceeding the market consensus of $15.6. The company reported a robust monthly EPS of $1.73, supported by significant growth in personal auto policies in force, which rose by 22% in February. In addition to the growth in auto PIF, the company also improved its auto loss ratio to 63%, marking its best monthly result since 2020. Moreover, the combined ratio for February was 83%, reflecting a notable improvement from the prior year.
Klauber believes that The Progressive Corporation’s (NYSE:PGR) $16.07 EPS estimate for 2025, based on a combined ratio of 89% is achievable and potentially conservative. It is one of the best stocks to buy now for long term.
Artisan Mid Cap Value Fund stated the following regarding The Progressive Corporation (NYSE:PGR) in its Q4 2024 investor letter:
” On the positive side, our financials holdings delivered strong absolute and relative returns in 2024, and each of our biggest contributors—First Citizens, M&T Bank and Progressive—was in the financials sector. We exited The Progressive Corporation (NYSE:PGR), one of the largest personal auto insurers in the US, this quarter after a long holding period that began in 2007. As a long-time holding, Progressive is an example of how we put our process into motion. We were able to purchase it at an attractive price, but most of our holding period return came from the value created by the business itself. We recognized the strength of its business model demonstrated by consistent free cash flow generation and above average returns on equity and had a high regard for management, which had a proven track record of pricing discipline through the cycle and prudent capital allocation. Due to its success, Progressive’s market capitalization now exceeds the upper limit of our mid-cap investment universe.”
Overall, PGR ranks 8th on our list of best stocks to buy now for the long term. While we acknowledge the potential of PGR as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than PGR but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
