Are Primero Group Limited’s (ASX:PGX) High Returns Really That Great?

Today we'll look at Primero Group Limited (ASX:PGX) and reflect on its potential as an investment. Specifically, we'll consider its Return On Capital Employed (ROCE), since that will give us an insight into how efficiently the business can generate profits from the capital it requires.

First of all, we'll work out how to calculate ROCE. Then we'll compare its ROCE to similar companies. And finally, we'll look at how its current liabilities are impacting its ROCE.

What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

ROCE measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Generally speaking a higher ROCE is better. Ultimately, it is a useful but imperfect metric. Renowned investment researcher Michael Mauboussin has suggested that a high ROCE can indicate that 'one dollar invested in the company generates value of more than one dollar'.

So, How Do We Calculate ROCE?

Analysts use this formula to calculate return on capital employed:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

Or for Primero Group:

0.25 = AU$8.4m ÷ (AU$63m - AU$30m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2018.)

Therefore, Primero Group has an ROCE of 25%.

See our latest analysis for Primero Group

Does Primero Group Have A Good ROCE?

ROCE can be useful when making comparisons, such as between similar companies. In our analysis, Primero Group's ROCE is meaningfully higher than the 20% average in the Construction industry. I think that's good to see, since it implies the company is better than other companies at making the most of its capital. Setting aside the comparison to its industry for a moment, Primero Group's ROCE in absolute terms currently looks quite high.

ASX:PGX Past Revenue and Net Income, April 10th 2019
ASX:PGX Past Revenue and Net Income, April 10th 2019

It is important to remember that ROCE shows past performance, and is not necessarily predictive. ROCE can be misleading for companies in cyclical industries, with returns looking impressive during the boom times, but very weak during the busts. ROCE is, after all, simply a snap shot of a single year. What happens in the future is pretty important for investors, so we have prepared a free report on analyst forecasts for Primero Group.

Do Primero Group's Current Liabilities Skew Its ROCE?

Current liabilities are short term bills and invoices that need to be paid in 12 months or less. Due to the way ROCE is calculated, a high level of current liabilities makes a company look as though it has less capital employed, and thus can (sometimes unfairly) boost the ROCE. To check the impact of this, we calculate if a company has high current liabilities relative to its total assets.