Price & Time: Key Levels to Watch After All the Data

GBP/USD breaks a pivotal level, while AUD/USD & GOLD consolidate below key resistance levels.

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Foreign Exchange Price & Time at a Glance:

Price & Time Analysis: EUR/USD

PT_GBP_body_Picture_4.png, Price & Time: Key Levels to Watch After All the Data
PT_GBP_body_Picture_4.png, Price & Time: Key Levels to Watch After All the Data

Charts Created using Marketscope – Prepared by Kristian Kerr

  • EUR/USD has come under steady pressure since failing late last week at the 8x1 Gann angle line of the year-to-date high near 1.3400

  • While above the 1.3240 level our near-term trend bias has to remain higher in the rate

  • There is Gann resistance at 1.3320, but over 1.3400/15 is really required to confirm a more important move higher

  • The near-term cyclical picture remains very muddled, though today is a minor turn window

  • The 4th square root progression of the year’s high at 1.3240 is key support in the medium-term and only a close below this level will turn us negative on the rate

EUR/USD Strategy: A little confused by the cyclical picture so still square.

Instrument

Support 2

Support 1

Spot

Resistance 1

Resistance 2

EUR/USD

1.3195

*1.3240

1.3285

1.3320

*1.3415

Price & Time Analysis: AUD/USD

PT_GBP_body_Picture_3.png, Price & Time: Key Levels to Watch After All the Data
PT_GBP_body_Picture_3.png, Price & Time: Key Levels to Watch After All the Data

Charts Created using Marketscope – Prepared by Kristian Kerr

  • AUD/USD remains in consolidation mode below a long-term retracement level at .9215

  • While over .9035 our near-term trend bias will remain higher in the Aussie

  • The .9215 area is immediate resistance, but a move through the 12th square root progression of the year’s high at .9295 is really needed to signal the start of a more powerful advance

  • A minor turn window is seen over the next couple of days

  • Weakness back under .9035 would undermine the burgeoning positive technical structure and turn us negative on the rate

AUD/USD Strategy: Like the long side while the Aussie is over .9035.

Instrument

Support 2

Support 1

Spot

Resistance 1

Resistance 2

AUD/USD

*0.9035

0.9100

0.9155

0.9215

*0.9295

Price & Time Analysis: GOLD

PT_GBP_body_Picture_2.png, Price & Time: Key Levels to Watch After All the Data
PT_GBP_body_Picture_2.png, Price & Time: Key Levels to Watch After All the Data

Charts Created using Marketscope – Prepared by Kristian Kerr

  • XAU/USD has moved steadily higher over the past week since finding good support at the 4th square root prgoression of the July high

  • While below key Fibonacci symmetry near 1350, however, our near-term bias will remain lower in the metal

  • On the downside the 1280 area remains a critical and weakness below on a closing basis is needed to propm a more serious move lower

  • Near-term cycles studies suggest early next week is a turn window

  • A close over 1350 will turn the technical outlook much more positive

XAU/USD Strategy: Short against 1350, may go with a stop and reverse on a break.