Price & Time: Gold Breaks 1400 So What Next?

Gold takes out key levels while AUD/USD remains pinned down by important Gann resistance. USD/JPY up move stalls.

To receive other reports from this author via e-mail, sign up to Kristian’s e-mail distribution list via this link.

Foreign Exchange Price & Time at a Glance:

Price & Time Analysis: USD/JPY

PT_Gold_breaks_body_Picture_4.png, Price & Time: Gold Breaks 1400 So What Next?
PT_Gold_breaks_body_Picture_4.png, Price & Time: Gold Breaks 1400 So What Next?

Charts Created using Marketscope – Prepared by Kristian Kerr

  • USD/JPY traded to its highest level in three weeks on Friday before encountering resistance near the 4th square root progression of the year-to-date high in the 99.25 area

  • The near-term trend bias is positive and will remain so while above 96.90

  • The 99.25 level is now a near-term upside pivot with traction above opening the way for a test of key resistance at 99.95

  • The latter half of this week is a medium-term cycle turn window

  • A confluence of Fibonacci retracements near 97.50 is intermediate support, but only weakness below last week’ low near 96.90 would alter the positive technical outlook in the rate

USD/JPY Strategy: like the long side whilst over 96.90.

Instrument

Support 2

Support 1

Spot

Resistance 1

Resistance 2

USD/JPY

96.90

97.55

98.60

99.25

*99.95

Price & Time Analysis: AUD/USD

PT_Gold_breaks_body_Picture_3.png, Price & Time: Gold Breaks 1400 So What Next?
PT_Gold_breaks_body_Picture_3.png, Price & Time: Gold Breaks 1400 So What Next?

Charts Created using Marketscope – Prepared by Kristian Kerr

  • AUD/USD recovery off the 78.6% retracement of the month-to-date range at .8930 has been unimpressive

  • While over .8930 our near-term trend bias will remain positive

  • A move through Gann resistance at .9040 is deseperately needed to set up a more important move higher

  • However, medium-term cycle studies turn negative around the middle of the week

  • A close under .8930 will undermine the burgeoning postive structure and turn us negative on the Aussie

AUD/USD Strategy: Small longs favored while over .8930

Instrument

Support 2

Support 1

Spot

Resistance 1

Resistance 2

AUD/USD

*0.8845

*0.8930

0.8930

*0.9040

0.9085

Price & Time Analysis: EUR/GBP

PT_Gold_breaks_body_Picture_2.png, Price & Time: Gold Breaks 1400 So What Next?
PT_Gold_breaks_body_Picture_2.png, Price & Time: Gold Breaks 1400 So What Next?

Charts Created using Marketscope – Prepared by Kristian Kerr

  • EUR/GBP has moved slowly higher since finding support a couple of weeks ago at the 4x1 Gann angle line of the year’s high in the .8500 area

  • While under the 4th square root progression of the year’s high near .8625 our near-term trend bias will remain lower in the cross

  • The .8530 area is a near downside pivot, but weakness below major support at around .8485 is really needed to set off a more important decline in the rate

  • Cycle studies suggest that the middle of the week is a likely turn window in the cross

  • A close over Gann resistance at .8625 will alter the negative technical outlook and focus higher