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Philosophically, It Doesn’t Matter Whether Cryptos Are Securities; Practically, It Does

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I promised Twitter I would write about proof-of-stake and proof-of-work for this newsletter, but my computer (which kept restarting uncontrollably for a couple of days) and my immune system (which gave into a rhinovirus that deposited wet cement into my head) had other ideas.

Since a proper proof-of-stake and proof-of-work piece deserves a lot of careful, deep thought that I'm incapable of at the moment, let's instead focus on two players that are writing the narrative for us: Coinbase (COIN) and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

On July 26, it emerged that Coinbase was being probed by the SEC for allegedly listing securities. This news came on the heels of an insider-trading case brought against a Coinbase employee and two others on July 21 by the SEC and U.S. Justice Department. Making matters (somehow) worse, Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest off-loaded 1.4 million Coinbase shares on July 27.

Woof.

It has been tough sledding for Coinbase since it went public last April and the latest obstacle on its most recent downhill slide is securities law. Everyone’s favorite! No, I won’t make any assertions of if ether (ETH) is a security or not, but I will make the assertion that it doesn’t matter.

That (and maybe more …) below.

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So first, Coinbase. Coinbase is one of crypto’s non-token, real business success stories. Founded in 2012 as a means to easily and securely send, buy and receive bitcoin, Coinbase has since expanded far beyond its roots and now hopes to become the “Amazon of assets” and “list every asset out there in crypto that's legal.” It went public in April 2021 and it was a huge deal, debuting on Nasdaq with a valuation of around $100 billion.

Turns out that COIN going public marked the top of not only crypto markets but also the company. Aside from its dismal stock price performance (down 81%; see below, compared with bitcoin price), Coinbase is also losing in the court of public opinion.

Coinbase stock vs. bitcoin price performance since COIN’s direct listing (TradingView)
Coinbase stock vs. bitcoin price performance since COIN’s direct listing (TradingView)

Coinbase and the court of public opinion

Earlier this month, I wrote about how Coinbase going public led to an imperative on consistent, infinite earnings or revenue growth, which further led to an immense expansion in headcount. This all culminated in:

“...an absolute public relations nightmare when Coinbase cut back on hiring in May, which rolled into rescinding new job offers. The blowback in turn led to a pointed tweet thread from co-founder and CEO Brian Armstrong urging dissenters to quit, following an employee petition to remove executives from the company, which was then followed promptly by the exchange laying off 18% of its workforce.”