Petrobras Q3 Earnings Beat Despite a Decline in Production

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Petroleo Brasileiro S.A., or Petrobras PBR, announced third-quarter earnings per ADS of 93 cents, ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 82 cents and higher than the year-ago profit of 86 cents. The strong performance can be attributed to solid cost control measures.  

Recurring net income, which strips out one-time items, came in at $5,937 million compared with $5,577 million a year earlier. Petrobras’ adjusted EBITDA fell to $11,480 million from $13,551 million a year ago.

Brazil's state-run energy giant reported revenues of $23,366 million, which fell 8.6% from the year-earlier sales of $25,552 million due to lower downstream sales and oil realizations. However, it beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $22,838 million.

Along with the third-quarter earnings announcement, PBR added that it plans to shell out RMB 17.12 billion in dividends and equity interests.

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras Quote

Coming back to earnings, let's take a deeper look at the recent performances of PBR’s two main segments: Upstream (Exploration & Production) and Downstream (or Refining, Transportation and Marketing).

Upstream: The Rio de Janeiro-headquartered company’s average oil and gas production during the third quarter reached 2,689 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBOE/d) — 79% liquids — down from 2,877 MBOE/d in the same period of 2023.

Compared with the year-ago quarter, Brazilian oil and natural gas production — constituting approximately 99% of the total output — decreased 6.6% to 2,654 MBOE/d. The downside primarily reflected falling production rates in the pre-salt fields and other operational areas.

In the July to September period, the average sales price of oil (or the average Brent crude price) fell 7.6% year over year to $80.18 per barrel. The decrease in crude prices, together with lower production, had a negative effect on upstream unit sales. Overall, the segment’s revenues dropped to $15,383 million in the quarter under review from $17,922 million in the year-ago period. 

As far as the bottom line is concerned, it was further dented by an uptick in pre-salt lifting costs (which rose 8.7% from the year-ago period to $6.10 per barrel). Consequently, the upstream unit recorded a net income of $5,416 million, down 13.7% from third-quarter 2023 earnings of $6,275 million.

Downstream (or Refining, Transportation and Marketing): Revenues from the segment totaled $21,739 million, 8.2% lower than the year-ago figure of $23,691 million, due to lower volumes. Petrobras' downstream unit recorded a profit of $255 million, which compared unfavorably with earnings of $814 million in the third quarter of 2023. Apart from a decline in refined products sales and output, the unit’s income was affected by higher refining cost.