Petrobras Q1 Earnings Slump on Flat Production, Price Drop

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Petroleo Brasileiro S.A., or Petrobras PBR, announced first-quarter earnings per ADS of 62 cents, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 92 cents and falling from the year-ago profit of 75 cents. The underperformance can be attributed to lower downstream production and a decline in realized oil prices. 

Consolidated net income, which strips out one-time items, came in at $4,029 million compared with $5,420 million a year earlier. Petrobras’ adjusted EBITDA fell to $10,446 million from $12,127 million a year ago.

Brazil's state-run energy giant reported revenues of $21,073 million, which fell 11.3% from the year-earlier sales of $23,768 million and missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $21,639 million. 

Along with the first-quarter earnings announcement, PBR added that it plans to shell out RMB 2.1 billion in dividends and equity interests.

Coming back to earnings, let's take a deeper look at the recent performances of PBR’s two main segments: Upstream (Exploration & Production) and Downstream (or Refining, Transportation and Marketing).

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras Quote

Upstream

The Rio de Janeiro-headquartered company’s average oil and gas production during the first quarter reached 2,771 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBOE/d) — 80% liquids — compared to 2,776 MBOE/d in the same period of 2024.

Brazilian oil and natural gas production — constituting approximately 99% of the total output — remained essentially flat at 2,740 MBOE/d.

In the January to March period, the average sales price of oil (or the average Brent crude price) fell 9.1% year over year to $75.66 per barrel. The decrease in crude prices, together with stagnant production, had a negative effect on upstream unit sales. Overall, the segment’s revenues declined to $15,067 million in the quarter under review from $16,077 million in the year-ago period. 

As far as the bottom line is concerned, it was further dented by an uptick in pre-salt lifting costs (which rose 12.7% from the year-ago period to $7.08 per barrel). Consequently, the upstream unit recorded a net income of $4,987 million, down 14.7% from first-quarter 2024 earnings of $5,846 million.

Downstream (or Refining, Transportation and Marketing)

Revenues from the segment totaled $19,989 million, 9.9% lower than the year-ago figure of $22,190 million, due to lower production volumes. Petrobras' downstream unit recorded a profit of $367 million, which fell sharply from earnings of $775 million in the first quarter of 2024. Apart from a decline in production volume, the unit’s income was affected by lower utilization.