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Last week's profit announcement from The Pennant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PNTG) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline numbers being robust. We did some digging and found some worrying underlying problems.
See our latest analysis for Pennant Group
One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Pennant Group issued 15% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Pennant Group's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
A Look At The Impact Of Pennant Group's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Pennant Group has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 737% in that time. In comparison, earnings per share only gained 662% over the same period. And at a glance the 69% gain in profit over the last year impresses. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 61% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.
In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So Pennant Group shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Pennant Group's Profit Performance
Pennant Group shareholders should keep in mind how many new shares it is issuing, because, dilution clearly has the power to severely impact shareholder returns. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Pennant Group's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. While it's really important to consider how well a company's statutory earnings represent its true earnings power, it's also worth taking a look at what analysts are forecasting for the future. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.