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Pending home sales slump nearly 8% in April

Pending home sales declined sharply last month as buyers retreated from the market due to rising interest rates.

A National Association of Realtors (NAR) index tracking homes under contract retreated almost 8% monthly and more than 7% annually in April. Pending home sales are a forward-looking indicator of the housing market — properties with signed contracts typically close a month or two later.

April's sluggish transaction volume reflected a waning appetite from rate-sensitive homebuyers who saw rates rise by more than a quarter point last month, topping 7%.

"The impact of escalating interest rates throughout April dampened home buying, even with more inventory in the market," said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the NAR. "But the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cut later this year should lead to better conditions, with improved affordability and more supply."

Pending sales fell across all four US regions on both a monthly and annual basis. The Midwest and the West saw the sharpest declines, at nearly 10% and 9%, followed by the South at 8% and the Northeast at 4%.

Read more: Mortgage rates back over 7% — is this a good time to buy a house?

MIAMI - FEBRUARY 11:  A for sale sign is seen in front of a home on February 11, 2011 in Miami, Florida. Today, the Obama administration revealed plans to reform the government-controlled mortgage buyers Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which included winding down some of their programs that help home buyers.  (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)
A for-sale sign is seen in front of a home in Miami. (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images) · Joe Raedle via Getty Images

The housing triple threat: Mortgage rates, inventory, and prices

The average mortgage rate surged last month, reaching 7.17% after climbing for multiple consecutive weeks in April.

"Unfortunately, the rising mortgage rates occurred during what is typically a busy time in the housing market, potentially giving pause to prospective homebuyers as they weigh their purchasing decisions," said Jiayu Xu, an economist at Realtor.com.

High rates have also choked supply. The NAR reported that the total unsold inventory was 1.21 million units at the end of April, or a 3.5-month supply. A balanced housing market has around 6 months of supply. While supply increased 16% over the past 12 months, it remains historically low.

"We've got an environment where we're at historic lows of inventory. Even though it's rising, we're still at lower than 40% than where we were pre-pandemic," Jason Waugh, president of Coldwell Banker Affiliates, told Yahoo Finance.

Meanwhile, the share of homes sold above asking reached nearly 35% in April, according to Redfin, pushing home prices to a record high in March.

The S&P CoreLogic Case Shiller — an index tracking national home prices — increased 6.5% annually in March. Multiple US cities, including New York, Cleveland, and Los Angeles, saw annual prices gain at or near 9%. San Diego gained 11% year over year.