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The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from Peabody Energy Corporation (NYSE:BTU) recently. We did some further digging and think they have a few more reasons to be concerned beyond the statutory profit.
View our latest analysis for Peabody Energy
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
Importantly, our data indicates that Peabody Energy's profit received a boost of US$105m in unusual items, over the last year. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Peabody Energy's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Peabody Energy's Profit Performance
As previously mentioned, Peabody Energy's large boost from unusual items won't be there indefinitely, so its statutory earnings are probably a poor guide to its underlying profitability. For this reason, we think that Peabody Energy's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Peabody Energy at this point in time. Be aware that Peabody Energy is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Peabody Energy's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.