As per BlackRock, European equity gains have managed to outpace the US to start 2025. Despite this, the asset manager expects the US to reclaim leadership this year as the corporate earnings strength and the AI theme broaden out. The US equities have long exceeded the performance of their global peers. BlackRock expects that this has been made possible because of deeper capital markets and relative deregulation which promote risk-taking. The US can keep its edge, despite the S&P 500 lagging so far this year.
Markets to Broaden Out in 2025, Says BofA
As per Savita Subramanian, head of US Equity and Quantitative Strategy for BofA Global Research, the market has been broadening out. Last year and the year before that, the mega-cap tech companies managed to outperform the rest of the S&P. However, in the current year, broader market trends are visible. As per Subramanian, higher productivity and reshoring of manufacturing to the US are the 2 positive forces that are expected to fuel potential market growth beyond the tech sector.
As per Reuters, the volatility is expected to increase due to tariff announcements, policy changes from President Donald Trump, and job cuts, resulting in uncertainty. Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial in Troy, Michigan, has a year-end forecast for the S&P 500 of 6,500 as his “base case.”
BlackRock expects that mega-cap tech and other AI-linked stocks will keep driving the US equity returns, mainly as and when the AI adoption grows. That being said, there are signs of earnings strength broadening beyond technology. The analysts now anticipate tech to post 18% earnings growth this year in comparison to 11% for the broader index. As per the LSEG data, this is a smaller gap versus 2024.
Overall, strong economic growth, broadening of earnings growth and a quality tilt underpin the firm’s conviction and overweight in US stocks as compared to other regions. The valuations for the big tech are backed by healthy earnings, and less lofty valuations for several other sectors. As per Kristy Akullian, CFA, Head of iShares Investment Strategy, there are tailwinds potentially favoring US equities over the rest of the world, mainly large-cap companies. The relatively easy financial conditions, healthy consumer balance sheets, and the expectations of deregulation and tax cuts continue to support the positive view.
Our Methodology
To list the 12 Undervalued Wide Moat Stocks to Buy According to Analysts, we used a screener and sifted through several media reports to choose companies having an economic moat and that analysts see upside to. Next, we filtered out the ones that trade at a forward P/E of less than ~20.0x. Finally, the stocks are arranged in ascending order of their average upside potential, as of February 28.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
Why PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) Surged On Friday?
A close-up of a customer using the company's e-commerce platform whilst shopping online.
PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PDD), is a multinational commerce group, which is engaged in owning and operating a portfolio of businesses. The company's economic moat stems from its network effect. Its continuing investments in its ecosystem, including merchant support and logistics enhancements, could yield significant long-term benefits. Its business model focuses on providing deals that are better when more people tend to participate.
PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PDD)’s team purchase model tends to encourage users to invite others to indulge in group purchases to get lower prices. There will be a creation of a positive feedback loop—more buyers joining in will attract sellers, which in turn, increases the range of services and products available to users. Overall, as PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PDD) continues to build the user base, attract more sellers and improve the user engagement, the network effect is expected to drive a growth cycle and value creation.
Also, improvements in logistics and fulfillment capabilities can result in faster delivery times and better customer satisfaction, fueling customer loyalty and repeat purchases. Through its investments in merchant support systems, PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PDD) can attract and retain high-quality sellers, enhancing product offerings and improving the marketplace quality. Baron Funds, an investment management firm, released its Q3 2024 investor letter. Here is what the fund said:
“During the third quarter we re-initiated a small investment in PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PDD). We believe the company is truly unique in the global e-commerce landscape, with an innovative business model, and very strong growth prospects. Founded in 2015 as Pinduoduo, the company has grown into China’s second-largest e-commerce player, capturing over 20% market share. PDD’s Consumer-to-Manufacturer (C2M) model, which connects manufacturers directly to consumers eliminated intermediaries, allowing for ultra-low prices that attract price-sensitive consumers and small merchants. Its discovery-based, algorithm-driven shopping experience has created a highly engaging platform, driving user and merchant growth in a virtuous cycle. We expect PDD to continue gaining share in China given its dominance in the value-for-money segment, growing branded product offerings at affordable prices, and high operational efficiency. PDD’s network effects and cost advantage, supported by its lean structure and efficient C2M model, are set to grow as it scales, both domestically and internationally. Its cross-border e-commerce platform, Temu, launched in September 2022, has rapidly become one of the world’s fastest-growing apps. Leveraging China’s excess capacity and PDD’s supply-chain efficiency, Temu wields strong pricing power over Chinese suppliers and attracts overseas consumers with competitively priced products. While still in early stage, Temu has achieved 2% of the global ex-China e-commerce market and a variable breakeven in the U.S. market, underscoring PDD’s focus on sustainable growth. Despite its rapid growth and profitability, PDD trades at a double-digit free cash flow yield (despite losses from the early-stage international expansion through Temu), significantly below sector peers. While concerns over geopolitical tensions exist, we believe PDD’s growing competitive edge, strong cash flow, and disciplined management position it to create substantial long-term value for shareholders.”
Overall PDD ranks 3rd on our list of the undervalued wide moat stocks to buy according to analysts. While we acknowledge the potential of PDD as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some deeply undervalued AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for a deeply undervalued AI stock that is more promising than PDD but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
