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PayPal is Trading Dirty Cheap at 11.86X P/E: Buy or Hold the Stock?

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PayPal PYPL shares are trading cheap, as suggested by the Value Score of B.

In terms of forward 12-month P/E, PYPL stock is trading at 11.86X compared with the Zacks Financial Transaction Services industry’s 22.34X. The stock is cheaper than competitors, including Visa V, Mastercard MA and Apple AAPL. 

Shares of Visa, Mastercard and Apple are currently trading at P/E of 27.39X, 31.51X and 26.46X, respectively.

PYPL’s P/E Ratio (F12M)

 

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

However, PayPal shares have dropped 25.7% year to date, which can be attributed to intensifying competition in the fintech industry from the likes of Visa, Mastercard, Apple Pay, Adyen and others. A challenging macroeconomic environment with growing risk of a recession attributed to U.S. President Donald Trump’s plan to levy tariffs on trade partners, including China, Canada and Mexico, is expected to remain an overhang on the stock.

PayPal shares have underperformed Visa, Mastercard and Apple year to date. While shares of Visa and Mastercard have returned 7% and 2.5%, respectively, Apple shares have dropped 17.8%.

PYPL Stock’s Performance

 

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

Although PayPal’s cheap valuation is noteworthy, is it worth buying at current prices? Let’s dig deep to find out.

PYPL’s Strong Portfolio to Aid Prospects

Portfolio strength has been helping PayPal maintain deep and trusted relationships with merchants and consumers. Its two-sided platform helps develop direct financial relationships with customers and merchants. PYPL’s investments in improving branded checkout, person-to-person (P2P) and Venmo helped in driving total active accounts. 

Strong adoption of Fastlane is expected to boost future volumes as PYPL ink deals with NBCUniversal, Roku and StockX. PayPal expects transaction margin in dollar terms (ex-interest on customer balances) to grow at least 5% in 2025 and high-single-digit growth for 2027. Over the long term, this is expected to grow at more than 10%.

Fastlane, which enhances the guest checkout experience by allowing users to complete their purchase in one click, is a noteworthy addition to the portfolio. PayPal’s partnership with Adyen, Global Payments, and Pfizer is expected to attract more merchants to Fastlane. The solution is not only improving conversion for PayPal’s merchants but also making more shoppers familiar with PayPal. Roughly 75% of Fastlane consumers are new or dormant PayPal users, while 25% of Fastlane users never had a PayPal account.

PayPal is expanding value-added services to boost the merchant experience. In the fourth quarter of 2024, PYPL launched FX-as-a-service, which is an automated currency conversion, and the platform is already live on Meta Platforms. PYPL’s network tokens for automated billing capabilities are live with merchants, including Instacart, Mint Mobile, and Poshmark. Expanding value-added services is expected to drive transaction margin in dollar terms. PayPal Everywhere, which was launched in September 2024, is driving significant increases in debit card adoption and opening new categories of spend.