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It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. That downside risk was realized by Grit Real Estate Income Group Limited (LON:GR1T) shareholders over the last year, as the share price declined 20%. That contrasts poorly with the market decline of 9.4%. We wouldn't rush to judgement on Grit Real Estate Income Group because we don't have a long term history to look at.
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
View our latest analysis for Grit Real Estate Income Group
Grit Real Estate Income Group wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.
In the last year Grit Real Estate Income Group saw its revenue grow by 35%. We think that is pretty nice growth. Unfortunately that wasn't good enough to stop the share price dropping 20%. You might even wonder if the share price was previously over-hyped. However, that's in the past now, and it's the future that matters most.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Grit Real Estate Income Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Grit Real Estate Income Group, it has a TSR of -15% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!