Pandora’s CEO explains how the jewelry maker kept growing amid economic slowdown: Recession ‘could actually be positive for us’

Most retailers experienced the toll of dwindling consumer confidence, supply chain disruptions in China, and economic uncertainty in 2022.

This translated to job cuts at H&M, Missguided’s collapse, Best Buy store closures, and Revlon filing for bankruptcy.

But for Pandora, the self-titled world's biggest jewelry brand, 2022 was a record-breaking year.

The Danish jewelry maker, known for its charm bracelets, reported record-high revenue of DKK 26.5 billion ($3.8 billion) for the year-end, sending its shares up more than 10% when it posted its earnings on Feb. 8.

Despite continued macroeconomic and geographical tensions, Pandora’s CEO Alexander Lacik remains optimistic about the year ahead.

The brand’s initial guidance for 2023 is -3% to 3% organic growth, with Lacik predicting that the “most likely outcome is the midpoint in that range”.

“For the first time, in my career, I am saying that flat is okay,” Lacik said, with the caveat that “if the backdrop is the marketplace in which I conduct my business is shrinking, that actually means that even if I'm flat, I'm actually growing my market share.”

Looking to next year, Lacik added: “We have a well-oiled machine, we understand the triggers of our business.” Speaking exclusively to Fortune, he revealed the three C’s (or rather, “tangible revenue drivers”) that will help Pandora grow amid economic uncertainty: Charms, collaborations and concept stores.

Charms: The gift that keeps on giving

For Pandora its charms are the gift that keeps on giving, making up around 70% of its earnings.

Lacik estimates that Pandora annually sells 10 million charm bracelets—which then need embellishing with Pandora’s charms, creating a recurring revenue stream.

For every joyous occasion in life, be it a 21st birthday, an engagement or a trip to New York, Pandora has packaged these moments in the form of charms for its bracelet wearers.

Unsurprisingly, being able to look at your wrist and remember a happier time is universally appealing, transcending language or cultural barriers.

It’s why, as Lacik claims, half of Pandora’s customers are returning customers.

The remainder of those buying charms are purchasing a gift for loved ones—and Lacik thinks that a recession may boost this trend.

“People don't stop gifting just because times are tough,” Lacik insists while adding that consumers instead hold back on expensive purchases.

It’s why Pandora’s positioning as an “affordable luxury” (a charm will set you back around $60) is increasingly appealing as a “small splurge” during economic hardship.