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Pagaya Technologies recently shared its guidance for 2025, highlighting expected growth in revenue and network volume. This future-facing optimism may have contributed to the company's share price increasing by 25% over the last month. Despite reporting a significant net loss for the fourth quarter of 2024, the company showed substantial revenue growth, which investors might find encouraging. Additionally, Pagaya anticipates profitability by the second quarter of 2025, which could be a positive signal for investors. This potential for an improved financial outlook appears to have resonated with investors, even as broader markets were affected by concerns over newly imposed tariffs, leading to a 2.5% market decline in the past week. In contrast to the broad market pressures, Pagaya's detailed guidance might have provided some reassurance, sparking interest as companies generally strive for stability and growth, potentially factoring into its recent share price increase.
Unlock comprehensive insights into our analysis of Pagaya Technologies stock here.
Over the last year, Pagaya Technologies experienced a total shareholder return of a 32.40% decline, underperforming both the US Software industry and the broader US market, which saw returns of 4.4% and 15.3%, respectively. One contributing factor to this performance was high volatility in the company's share price over the past three months. Additionally, while Pagaya showed significant revenue growth, it remains unprofitable with a substantial net loss recorded in every quarterly result of 2024. This unprofitability likely weighed heavily on investor sentiment over the year.
The company’s trading value was appealing based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio of 0.8x, considerably lower than the US Software industry average of 4.8x and the peer average of 3.5x. Despite the attractive valuation, the forecasted earnings growth of the company and its unprofitable status may have contributed to the negative sentiment impacting longer-term returns. Meanwhile, key partnerships with entities like OneMain Financial and Castlelake, L.P. showcased potential strategic growth opportunities for Pagaya's future.