Reported results exceed all previously guided operational metrics
Company initiates guidance on GAAP profitability for the full year 2025; expects to be GAAP Net Income profitable in 2nd quarter of 2025
Fair market value of investment portfolio marked down by $156 million, with $229 million of credit-related impairments and a positive reclassification of $79 million in Other Comprehensive Income, net of non-controlling interests
Company does not expect investments from 2021-2023 vintages to have a material impact on its performance going forward
NEW YORK & TEL AVIV, Israel, February 13, 2025--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: PGY) ("Pagaya", the "Company" or "we"), a global technology company delivering artificial intelligence infrastructure for the financial ecosystem, today announced financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024.
For additional information, view Pagaya's fourth quarter 2024 letter to shareholders here.
"We delivered another quarter of strong operating and financial results, with all key metrics ahead of guidance and enter 2025 on the strongest footing in our history, while addressing legacy issues," said Gal Krubiner, co-founder and CEO of Pagaya Technologies. "We have bolstered our balance sheet flexibility, cash flow generation and operating leverage and are positioned to demonstrate our earnings power and sustainable revenue growth in 2025 and onward. We have re-marked our investments in loans & securities including the 2021 - 2023 vintages, and no longer expect them to have a material impact on our performance going forward. Pagaya is fully self-funded, with inaugural GAAP profitability guidance, and we look forward to demonstrating long-term value for our shareholders, our lending and funding partners, and US consumers."
Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Highlights
All comparisons are made versus the same period in 2023 and on a year-over-year basis unless otherwise stated.
Record network volume of $2.6 billion in 4Q’24 (at the high-end of outlook of ~$2.4 billion to $2.6 billion), grew by 9% year-over-year, driven primarily by Personal Loans. Network volume increased by 17% in FY’24 to a record $9.7 billion.
Continued partner growth and expanded enterprise relationships, including addition and expansion of the OneMain partnership and addition of Avvance, the POS lending solution offered by U.S. Bank and Elavon.
The Company raised $6 billion across 17 asset-backed securitizations ("ABS") in 2024 and was once again the number one personal loan ABS issuer in the US by issuance size, with a funding base of over 130 institutional investment firms.
The Companyexecuted its 3rd pass-through securitization of 2024 in December for $100 million, a total of $250 million during the year. The Company announced a forward flow agreement with Blue Owl in February totaling $2.4 billion over 24 months, its second large forward flow, together totaling ~$2 billion in annual funding capacity. Completed term loan upsizing with improved terms and additional corporate lending partners, part of previously-announced refinancing transactions to reduce interest expense and unlock additional balance sheet liquidity.
Record total revenue and other income of $279 million in 4Q’24 (exceeding outlook of ~$257 to $272 million), increased 28% year-over-year, driven primarily by 31% growth in fee revenue. Total revenue and other income increased by 27% in FY’24 to $1.03 billion.
GAAP operating income of $32 million grew by $21 million year-over-year in 4Q’24 and by $91 million for FY’24.
Record revenue from fees less production costs ("FRLPC") as a % of network volume improved 132 basis points year-over-year to 4.5% in the fourth quarter.
Record operating leverage in 4Q’24, core operating expense represented 49% of FRLPC, from 52% last quarter and 67% in the year-ago quarter, the lowest level since going public.
Net loss attributable to Pagaya shareholders of ($238) million in 4Q’24, and ($401) million for FY’24, was impacted by non-cash items such as fair value adjustments and share-based compensation expense.
Record adjusted EBITDA of $64 million in 4Q’24 (exceeding outlook of ~$49 to $59 million), grew 88% year-over-year with adjusted EBITDA margin up 728 basis points to 23.0%. Adjusted EBITDA increased to a record $210 million in FY’24 from $82 million in FY’23.
Adjusted net income of $13 million in 4Q’24 and $67 million for FY’24, excluding non-cash items such as share-based compensation and fair value adjustments.
First Quarter 2025 Outlook
1Q’25
Network Volume
Expected to be between $2.5 billion and $2.7 billion
Total Revenue and Other Income
Expected to be between $280 million and $295 million
Adjusted EBITDA
Expected to be between $65 million and $75 million
GAAP Net Income
Expected to be between ($20) million and breakeven
Full Year 2025 Outlook
FY’25
Network Volume
Expected to be between $10.25 billion and $11.75 billion
Total Revenue and Other Income
Expected to be between $1.15 billion and $1.275 billion
Adjusted EBITDA
Expected to be between $265 million and $315 million
GAAP Net Income
Profitability expected in 2Q’25; between ($10) million and $40 million for FY’25
Webcast
The Company will hold a webcast and conference call today, February 13, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. A live webcast of the call will be available via the Investor Relations section of the Company’s website at investor.pagaya.com. To listen to the live webcast, please go to the site at least five minutes prior to the scheduled start time in order to register, download and install any necessary audio software. Shortly before the call, the accompanying materials will be made available on the Company’s website. Shortly after the call, a replay of the webcast will be available for 90 days on the Company’s website.
The conference call can also be accessed by dialing 1-877-407-9208 or 1-201-493-6784. The telephone replay can be accessed by dialing 1-844-512-2921 or 1-412-317-6671 and providing the conference ID# 13751027. The telephone replay will be available starting shortly after the call until Thursday, February 27, 2025. A replay will also be available on the Investor Relations website following the call.
About Pagaya Technologies
Pagaya (NASDAQ: PGY) is a global technology company making life-changing financial products and services available to more people nationwide. By using machine learning, a vast data network and an AI-driven approach, Pagaya provides comprehensive consumer credit and residential real estate solutions for its partners, their customers, and investors. Its proprietary API and capital solutions integrate into its network of partners to deliver seamless user experiences and greater access to the mainstream economy. Pagaya has offices in New York and Tel Aviv. For more information, visit pagaya.com.
Cautionary Note About Forward-Looking Statements
This document contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, that involve risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements generally are identified by the words "anticipate," "believe," "continue," "can," "could," "estimate," "expect," "intend," "may," "opportunity," "future," "strategy," "might," "outlook," "plan," "possible," "potential," "predict," "project," "should," "strive," "will," "would," "will be," "will continue," "will likely result," and similar expressions. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements, including statements regarding: The Company’s strategy and future operations, including the Company’s expectations regarding sustainable revenue growth and the Company’s ability to deliver consistent results for its lending partners and investors; the Company’s ability to continue to drive sustainable gains in profitability; the Company’s ability to achieve continued momentum in its business; the Company’s ability to achieve positive net cash flow in 2025; the Company’s ability to achieve GAAP net income profitability in the second quarter of 2025; the Company’s financial outlook for Network Volume, Total Revenue and Other Income, Adjusted EBITDA and GAAP net income for the first quarter of 2025 and the Company’s financial outlook for Network Volume, Total Revenue and Other Income, Adjusted EBITDA and GAAP net income for the full year 2025. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that may cause the Company's actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Risks, uncertainties and assumptions include factors relating to: the Company's ability to attract new partners and to retain and grow its relationships with existing partners to support the underlying investment needs for its securitizations and funds products; the need to maintain a consistently high level of trust in its brand; the concentration of a large percentage of its investment revenue with a small number of partners and platforms; its ability to sustain its revenue growth rate or the growth rate of its related key operating metrics; its ability to improve, operate and implement its technology, its existing funding arrangements for the Company and its affiliates that may not be renewed or replaced or its existing funding sources that may be unwilling or unable to provide funding to it on terms acceptable to it, or at all; the performance of loans facilitated through its model; changes in market interest rates; its securitizations, warehouse credit facility agreements; the impact on its business of general economic conditions, including, but not limited to rising interest rates, inflation, supply chain disruptions, exchange rate fluctuations and labor shortages; its ability to realize the potential benefits of past or future acquisitions; anticipated benefits and savings from our announced reduction in workforce; changes in the political, legal and regulatory framework for AI technology, machine learning, financial institutions and consumer protection; the ability to maintain the listing of our securities on Nasdaq; the financial performance of its partners, and fluctuations in the U.S. consumer credit and housing market; its ability to grow effectively through strategic alliances; seasonal fluctuations in our revenue as a result of consumer spending and saving patterns; pending and future litigation, regulatory actions and/or compliance issues and other risks that are described in and the Company’s Form 10-K filed on April 25, 2024 and subsequent filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. These forward-looking statements reflect the Company's views with respect to future events as of the date hereof and are based on assumptions and subject to risks and uncertainties. Given these uncertainties, investors should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements are made as of the date hereof, reflect the Company’s current beliefs and are based on information currently available as of the date they are made, and the Company assumes no obligation and does not intend to update these forward-looking statements.
Some of the unaudited financial information and data contained in this press release and Form 8-K, such as Fee Revenue Less Production Costs ("FRLPC"), FRLPC as a % of volume, Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Income, have not been prepared in accordance with United States generally accepted accounting principles ("U.S. GAAP"). To supplement the unaudited consolidated financial statements prepared and presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP, management uses the non-GAAP financial measures FRLPC, FRLPC as a % of volume, Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA to provide investors with additional information about our financial performance and to enhance the overall understanding of the results of operations by highlighting the results from ongoing operations and the underlying profitability of our business. Management believes these non-GAAP measures provide an additional tool for investors to use in comparing our core financial performance over multiple periods. However, non-GAAP financial measures have limitations in their usefulness to investors because they have no standardized meaning prescribed by U.S. GAAP and are not prepared under any comprehensive set of accounting rules or principles. In addition, non-GAAP financial measures may be calculated differently from, and therefore may not be directly comparable to, similarly titled measures used by other companies. As a result, non-GAAP financial measures should be viewed as supplementing, and not as an alternative or substitute for, our unaudited consolidated financial statements prepared and presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. To address these limitations, management provides a reconciliation of Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA to net income (loss) attributable to Pagaya’s shareholders and a calculation of FRLPC and FRLPC as a % of volume. Management encourages investors and others to review our financial information in its entirety, not to rely on any single financial measure and to view Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA in conjunction with its respective related GAAP financial measures.
Non-GAAP financial measures include the following items:
Fee Revenue Less Production Costs ("FRLPC") is defined as revenue from fees less production costs. FRLPC as a % of volume is defined as FRLPC divided by Network Volume.
Adjusted Net Income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to Pagaya Technologies Ltd.’s shareholders excluding share-based compensation expense, change in fair value of warrant liability, impairment, including credit-related charges, restructuring expenses, transaction-related expenses, and non-recurring expenses associated with mergers and acquisitions.
Adjusted EBITDA is defined as net income (loss) attributable to Pagaya Technologies Ltd.’s shareholders excluding share-based compensation expense, change in fair value of warrant liability, impairment, including credit-related charges, restructuring expenses, transaction-related expenses, non-recurring expenses associated with mergers and acquisitions, interest expense, depreciation expense, and income tax expense (benefit).
The foregoing items are excluded from our Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA measures because they are noncash in nature, or because the amount and timing of these items is unpredictable, is not driven by core results of operations and renders comparisons with prior periods and competitors less meaningful.
We believe FRLPC, FRLPC as a % of volume, Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA provide useful information to investors and others in understanding and evaluating our results of operations, as well as providing a useful measure for period-to-period comparisons of our business performance. Moreover, we have included FRLPC, FRLPC as a % of volume, Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA because these are key measurements used by our management internally to make operating decisions, including those related to operating expenses, evaluate performance, and perform strategic planning and annual budgeting. However, this non-GAAP financial information is presented for supplemental informational purposes only, should not be considered a substitute for or superior to financial information presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP and may be different from similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures used by other companies. The tables below provide reconciliations of Adjusted EBITDA to Net Loss Attributable to Pagaya Technologies Ltd., its most directly comparable U.S. GAAP amount.
In addition, Pagaya provides outlook for the first quarter and full year 2025 on a non-GAAP basis. The Company cannot reconcile its expected Adjusted EBITDA to expected Net Loss Attributable to Pagaya under "Full Year 2025 Outlook" without unreasonable effort because certain items that impact net income (loss) and other reconciling items are out of the Company's control and/or cannot be reasonably predicted at this time, which unavailable information could have a significant impact on the Company’s U.S. GAAP financial results.
PAGAYA TECHNOLOGIES LTD. CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (UNAUDITED) (In thousands, except share and per share data)
Three Months Ended December 31,
Year Ended December 31,
2024
2023
2024
2023
Revenue
Revenue from fees
$
275,669
$
210,428
$
1,004,550
$
772,814
Other Income
Interest income
7,619
7,783
32,291
38,748
Investment (loss) income
(3,894
)
(167
)
(4,593
)
489
Total Revenue and Other Income
279,394
218,044
1,032,248
812,051
Production costs
158,204
134,482
597,652
508,944
Technology, data and product development (1)
18,601
17,550
76,571
74,383
Sales and marketing (1)
15,376
9,576
50,404
49,773
General and administrative (1)
55,474
45,784
240,781
203,351
Total Costs and Operating Expenses
247,655
207,392
965,408
836,451
Operating Income (Loss)
31,739
10,652
66,840
(24,400
)
Other expense, net
(272,280
)
(25,633
)
(487,962
)
(156,768
)
Loss Before Income Taxes
(240,541
)
(14,981
)
(421,122
)
(181,168
)
Income tax expense
16,585
5,056
24,576
15,571
Net Loss Including Noncontrolling Interests
(257,126
)
(20,037
)
(445,698
)
(196,739
)
Less: Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests
(19,204
)
(5,619
)
(44,292
)
(68,301
)
Net Loss Attributable to Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
$
(237,922
)
$
(14,418
)
$
(401,406
)
$
(128,438
)
Per share data:
Net loss per share:
Basic and Diluted (3)
$
(3.20
)
$
(0.24
)
$
(5.66
)
$
(2.14
)
Non-GAAP adjusted net income (2)
$
13,225
$
12,389
$
66,866
$
16,556
Non-GAAP adjusted net income per share:
Basic (3)
$
0.18
$
0.20
$
0.94
$
0.28
Diluted (3)
$
0.17
$
0.20
$
0.83
$
0.27
Weighted average shares outstanding:
Basic (3)
74,334,181
61,292,498
70,879,807
60,038,893
Diluted (3)
75,914,852
63,133,967
83,929,801
61,693,526
(1) The following table sets forth share-based compensation for the periods indicated below:
Three Months Ended December 31,
Year Ended December 31,
2024
2023
2024
2023
Technology, data and product development
$
1,710
$
3,460
$
8,695
$
12,375
Selling and marketing
5,072
2,237
14,666
13,216
General and administrative
8,863
8,046
38,136
45,464
Total
$
15,645
$
13,743
$
61,497
$
71,055
(2) See "Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures." (3) Share amounts have been retroactively adjusted to reflect the 1-for-12 reverse share split effected on March 8, 2024.
PAGAYA TECHNOLOGIES LTD. CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION (In thousands)
December 31, 2024
December 31, 2023
Assets
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
$
187,921
$
186,478
Restricted cash
18,595
16,874
Fees and other receivables
112,222
79,526
Investments in loans and securities
7,797
2,490
Prepaid expenses and other current assets
24,944
18,034
Total current assets
351,479
303,402
Restricted cash
20,002
19,189
Fees and other receivables
29,182
34,181
Investments in loans and securities
756,322
714,303
Equity method and other investments
21,933
26,383
Right-of-use assets
36,876
55,729
Property and equipment, net
37,974
41,557
Goodwill
23,062
10,945
Intangible assets
12,821
2,550
Prepaid expenses and other assets
1,421
137
Total non-current assets
939,593
904,974
Total Assets
$
1,291,072
$
1,208,376
Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity
Current liabilities:
Accounts payable
6,992
1,286
Accrued expenses and other liabilities
45,362
28,562
Current maturities of operating lease liabilities
6,453
6,931
Current portion of long-term debt
17,750
—
Secured borrowing
109,079
37,685
Income taxes payable
9,858
461
Total current liabilities
195,494
74,925
Non-current liabilities:
Warrant liability
893
3,242
Revolving credit facility
—
90,000
Long-term debt
303,567
—
Exchangeable notes
146,342
—
Secured borrowing
67,010
234,028
Operating lease liabilities
30,611
43,940
Long-term tax and deferred tax liabilities, net
31,359
22,242
Total non-current liabilities
579,782
393,452
Total Liabilities
775,276
468,377
Redeemable convertible preferred shares
74,250
74,250
Shareholders’ equity:
Ordinary shares
—
—
Additional paid-in capital
1,282,022
1,101,914
Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income
(11,488
)
444
Accumulated deficit
(944,043
)
(542,637
)
Total Pagaya Technologies Ltd. shareholders’ equity
326,491
559,721
Noncontrolling interests
115,055
106,028
Total shareholders’ equity
441,546
665,749
Total Liabilities, Redeemable Convertible Preferred Shares, and Shareholders’ Equity
$
1,291,072
$
1,208,376
PAGAYA TECHNOLOGIES LTD. CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (In thousands)
Year Ended December 31,
2024
2023
Cash flows from operating activities
Net loss including noncontrolling interests
$
(445,698
)
$
(196,739
)
Adjustments to reconcile net income (loss) to net cash used in operating activities:
Equity method loss (income)
4,593
(488
)
Depreciation and amortization
28,753
19,127
Share-based compensation
61,497
71,055
Fair value adjustment to warrant liability
(2,349
)
1,842
Impairment loss on investments in loans and securities
414,014
134,510
Gain on sale of investment in loans and securities
(7,922
)
—
Write-off of capitalized software
3,245
2,475
Debt issuance costs amortization
3,739
—
Loss (gain) on foreign exchange
4,189
(1,320
)
Other non-cash items
367
—
Change in operating assets and liabilities:
Fees and other receivables
(24,004
)
(20,740
)
Prepaid expenses and other assets
(9,239
)
12,912
Right-of-use assets
1,115
3,854
Accounts payable
5,678
(448
)
Accrued expenses and other liabilities
6,861
(17,770
)
Operating lease liability
522
(3,712
)
Income taxes
21,159
5,019
Net cash provided by operating activities
66,520
9,577
Cash flows from investing activities
Proceeds from the sale/maturity/prepayment of:
Investments in loans and securities
227,771
172,061
Equity method and other investments
31
—
Cash and restricted cash acquired from Darwin Homes, Inc.
—
1,608
Payments for the purchase of:
Investments in loans and securities
(693,941
)
(566,173
)
Intangible assets
(5,500
)
—
Property and equipment
(17,737
)
(20,189
)
Equity method and other investments
(175
)
—
Acquisition of Theorem Technology, Inc., net of cash acquired
(9,094
)
—
Net cash used in investing activities
(498,645
)
(412,693
)
Cash flows from financing activities
Proceeds from sale of ordinary shares, net of issuance costs
89,956
—
Proceeds from issuance of redeemable convertible preferred shares, net
—
74,250
Proceeds from long-term debt
341,845
—
Proceeds from exchangeable notes
152,000
—
Proceeds from secured borrowing
265,656
338,472
Proceeds received from noncontrolling interests
63,960
19,955
Proceeds from revolving credit facility
59,000
130,000
Proceeds from exercise of stock options
3,305
4,334
Proceeds from issuance of ordinary shares from the Equity Financing Purchase Agreement
11,865
27,892
Distributions made to noncontrolling interests
(9,820
)
(43,767
)
Payments made to revolving credit facility
(149,000
)
(55,000
)
Payments made to secured borrowing
(361,428
)
(206,390
)
Payments made to long-term debt
(14,000
)
—
Debt issuance costs
(16,651
)
—
Settlement of share-based compensation in satisfaction of tax withholding requirements
—
(650
)
Net cash provided by financing activities
436,688
289,096
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash
(586
)
(515
)
Net increase (decrease) in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash
3,977
(114,535
)
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash, beginning of period
222,541
337,076
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash, end of period
$
226,518
$
222,541
PAGAYA TECHNOLOGIES LTD. RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES (UNAUDITED) ($ in thousands, unless otherwise noted)