The U.S. economy added more jobs than expected in October even as the Federal Reserve pressed on with the central bank's most aggressive monetary tightening campaign in decades.
Here are the highlights from the Labor Department's monthly jobs report released Friday, compared to consensus estimates from Bloomberg:
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Non-farm payrolls: +261,000 vs. +195,000 expected
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Unemployment rate: 3.7% vs. 3.6% expected
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Average hourly earnings, month-over-month: +0.4% vs. +0.3% expected
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Average hourly earnings, year-over-year: +4.7% vs. +4.7% expected
September’s payroll reading was also upwardly revised to 315,000 from 263,000 previously reported.
Employment data has moderated in recent months, but hiring remained strong in October despite efforts by the Federal Reserve to tamp down an extraordinarily tight labor market that has placed upward pressure on wages and contributed to decades-high inflation.
"The bottom line here is that the labor market is softening, but has not yet reached the point where the data are screaming at the Fed to stop tightening," Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist Ian Shepherdson wrote in a note. "But if these trends continue, as we expect, markets will start to push the Fed — and especially Chair Powell — to rethink the idea of continued hikes next year."
Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% over the month, higher than the prior reading and Wall Street expectations. On an annual basis, wages held at 4.7%, on par with estimates.
Friday's figure effectively serves as a catalyst for Fed policymakers to proceed with further rate hikes, particularly after messaging from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday that indicated slight moderations in the data were not enough for a pause on increases given the tight labor conditions.
“Although job vacancies have moved below their highs and the pace of job gains has slowed from earlier in the year, the labor market continues to be out of balance, with demand substantially exceeding the supply of available workers,” Powell said on Wednesday when addressing reporters after the FOMC delivered another 0.75% rate increase.
The labor force participation rate in ticked down slightly last month to 62.2% from 62.3% the prior month.
At the industry level, the largest gains were seen across health care, professional and technical services, and manufacturing, the Labor Department said in its release.
Jobs in health care rose by 53,000 after last month's gain brought the industry back to its February 2020 level. Employment in the sector has increased by an average of 47,000 per month so far in 2022, compared to 9,000 per month last year.