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Paragon Banking Group PLC (LON:PAG), operating in the financial services industry based in United Kingdom, saw significant share price movement during recent months on the LSE, rising to highs of £4.73 and falling to the lows of £4.27. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Paragon Banking Group's current trading price of £4.35 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Paragon Banking Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Check out our latest analysis for Paragon Banking Group
Is Paragon Banking Group still cheap?
The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 4.73% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Paragon Banking Group today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth £4.15, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Paragon Banking Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What kind of growth will Paragon Banking Group generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 13% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Paragon Banking Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? PAG’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?