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NZME Limited (NZSE:NZM), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NZSE. The company is now trading at yearly-high levels following the recent surge in its share price. Less-covered, small caps sees more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Let’s take a look at NZME’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
View our latest analysis for NZME
What Is NZME Worth?
According to our price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. In this instance, we’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. We find that NZME’s ratio of 16.49x is trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 16.18x, which means if you buy NZME today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe NZME should be trading in this range, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Furthermore, it seems like NZME’s share price is quite stable, which means there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s priced similarly to industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
What kind of growth will NZME generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. NZME's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 74%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? NZM’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at NZM? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?