Is There Now An Opportunity In Legend Holdings Corporation (HKG:3396)?

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Legend Holdings Corporation (HKG:3396), which is in the tech business, and is based in China, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the SEHK over the last few months, increasing to HK$17.76 at one point, and dropping to the lows of HK$8.86. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Legend Holdings's current trading price of HK$9.49 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Legend Holdings’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Legend Holdings

What is Legend Holdings worth?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 5.61x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 9.48x, which means if you buy Legend Holdings today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe Legend Holdings should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Legend Holdings’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Legend Holdings generate?

SEHK:3396 Past and Future Earnings April 10th 2020
SEHK:3396 Past and Future Earnings April 10th 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Legend Holdings’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 42%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 3396’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 3396? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?