u-blox Holding AG (VTX:UBXN), which is in the semiconductor business, and is based in Switzerland, saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the SWX. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine u-blox Holding’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.
Check out our latest analysis for u-blox Holding
What's the opportunity in u-blox Holding?
According to my relative valuation model, the stock seems to be currently fairly priced. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that u-blox Holding’s ratio of 26.33x is trading in-line with its industry peers’ ratio, which means if you buy u-blox Holding today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that u-blox Holding’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
Can we expect growth from u-blox Holding?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a negative profit growth of -7.8% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for u-blox Holding. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? Currently, UBXN appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on UBXN, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on UBXN for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help gel your views on UBXN should the price fluctuate below its true value.