Novozymes investors bet on biofuel and agricultural breakthroughs

(Repeats story from late Friday, no changes to text)

* Shares trade at 37 times earnings vs. peer average of 21 times

* Unproven business areas key to high growth expectations

* Oil price and subsidies uncertainty have slowed biofuel progress

* Biotech farming field trials show promise

* Major breakthroughs not expected before 2019 -CEO

By Teis Jensen

COPENHAGEN, May 8 (Reuters) - Investors have high hopes for Novozymes and the enzymes it makes to improve chemical processes in a variety of industries, but analysts warn of pitfalls in a growth strategy reliant on a biofuel sector still in its infancy and unproven farming biotechnology.

Having built on mother company Novo's work in the 1940s to produce biological catalysts by fermenting them in large tanks, with its earliest products used to soften leather, Novozymes is now the world leader in enzymes that replace chemical agents in detergents and speed production of food, animal feed and corn-based bioethanol fuel.

The business has flourished since being spun off from Novo Nordisk in 2000, but to meet investors expectations it now needs widespread take-up of advanced bioethanol and success in development of microbial products to produce pest-resistent high-yield crops.

"The main risk is if those two new business areas do not take off and start to have some impact by 2020," said analyst Michael Jorgensen, of Alm. Brand Bank.

Reuters data shows Novozymes shares trade at about 37 times the past 12 months' earnings, against a peer group average of 21 times. That high valuation suggests investors are clinging to a target of double-digit sales growth to 2020 even though the company downgraded its forecast in January to 8-10 percent, Jorgensen said.

SLOW PROGRESS

Unlike conventional bioethanol, which is already used widely in the United States and Brazil, advanced bioethanol is based on biomass that is inedible to humans, such as corn cobs.

Novozymes has developed enzymes to dissolve such biomass to sugars that can be turned into ethanol, but low oil prices and uncertainty over future subsidies have proved a deterrent for potential investors in new plants.

"The birth of this industry has taken longer than we had hoped and even expected," Sebastian Soderberg, head of Novozymes' biomass conversion business, said at an investor meeting on Wednesday.

The company has said its goal of delivering enzymes to 15 biomass conversion plants by 2017 will be delayed. Six plants are operational worldwide and 20 more are planned, Soderberg said.

Given that the Danish company provides more than half the enzymes used to produce today's bioethanol, it is also expected to become a leading supplier for the second-generation industry, alongside closest rivals Dupont and DSM.