Can NJ achieve gas car sales ban by 2035? Electric vehicle registrations may be indicator

There were 338 electric vehicles (EVs) registered in New Jersey in 2012.

As of June 30 of this year, according to the New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection, there were 123,723.

And if Gov. Phil Murphy has his way, the sale of gasoline-fueled light-duty vehicles – those weighing less than 10,000 pounds – in New Jersey would be gone by 2035.

Whether that goal can be achieved is a matter of contention.

With EVs accounting for only 1.88% of the total number of registrations, there's still a long way to go.

One spark may be that EV sales are on the rise.

According to the New Jersey Coalition of Automobile Dealers (NJCAR), EVs accounted for 9.3% of new vehicle registrations in New Jersey in the first quarter of 2023.

And dealerships are making major investments to prepare for the sale and service of EVs. NJCAR reports that dealerships spent $169 million in 2022 and 2023, an average of $338,000 per dealer, to get ready for a possible market surge.

The state is hoping it will happen.

More: No more NJ gas-powered new car sales by 2035: Will Gov. Murphy's ban be practical?

Though the DEP has mounted an aggressive campaign to convince state residents to "Drive Green," ultimately it will be the drivers in the country's most crowded state who will determine whether that goal is met.

Auto dealers "want to sell what consumers want to buy," said Jim Appleton, president of NJCAR, a nonprofit organization founded in 1918 serving more than 500 neighborhood new car and truck dealerships throughout the state. Car dealerships are a $40 billion a year business in New Jersey that employ 37,000 workers.

Appleton said consumers' hesitancy about buying EVs focuses on two factors – affordability and reliability.

"Many are still put off by the high price," he said. Prices for electric vehicles start about $42,000 to $43,000, but there are state and federal incentives to buy electric vehicles and there is no sales tax in New Jersey, bringing the cost down to under $30,000.

But like many government programs, the incentives are not easily understood.

The other factor, Appleton said, are questions about reliability and the ability to find charging stations.

"Consumers are not necessarily comfortable with the answers they're getting," said Appleton, who has annually driven an EV 30,000 miles for years and "rarely has to charge away from home." He said he drives for about 300 miles on one charge.

Many times, a consumer will come into a dealership excited about buying an EV, then goes home, sleeps on it, then comes back the next day and buys a hybrid, Appleton said.