In This Article:
As you might know, MYR Group Inc. (NASDAQ:MYRG) recently reported its full-year numbers. Revenues were US$3.4b, approximately in line with whatthe analysts expected, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) crushed expectations, coming in at US$1.83, an impressive 24% ahead of estimates. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
Check out our latest analysis for MYR Group
Following last week's earnings report, MYR Group's four analysts are forecasting 2025 revenues to be US$3.42b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to soar 234% to US$6.26. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$3.54b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$5.88 in 2025. If anything, the analysts look to have become slightly more optimistic overall; while they decreased their revenue forecasts, EPS predictions increased and ultimately earnings are more important.
The consensus price target fell 7.7% to US$167, with the analysts signalling that the weaker revenue outlook was a more powerful indicator than the upgraded EPS forecasts. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values MYR Group at US$190 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$153. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that MYR Group's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 1.6% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 13% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 7.7% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that MYR Group is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.
The Bottom Line
The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around MYR Group's earnings potential next year. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.