Monsanto, once M&A instigator, now in awkward role as possible target

Monsanto is displayed on a screen where the stock is traded on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 9, 2016. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid · Reuters

By Karl Plume and Ludwig Burger

(Reuters) - A year after Monsanto Co sparked a massive consolidation race in the agrochemical industry by bidding for a rival, the world's largest seed company now finds itself in the uncomfortable role of takeover target.

Monsanto shares rallied as much as 12 percent on Thursday on new reports that Bayer AG and BASF SE were interested in the St. Louis-based company, highlighting the drive for more marriages in the sector.

Bloomberg News reported Bayer was exploring a bid for Monsanto, while financial news website Street Insider reported that BASF was looking at a Monsanto acquisition.

Monsanto, Bayer and BASF all declined to comment.

Talk of such deals has swirled for months as Monsanto faced mounting corporate woes and rivals met with advisers to weigh various deal combinations.

Both Bayer and BASF have been exploring tie-ups with Monsanto for several months, but valuation concerns have made a deal elusive, people familiar with the matter told Reuters on condition of anonymity.

The sources said both were concerned about the price Monsanto shareholders would want, emboldened by recent deals.

Consolidation has been spurred by high inventories and low prices for agricultural commodities.

ChemChina agreed in February to acquire Switzerland's Syngenta AG for $43 billion after Dow Chemical Co and DuPont inked a deal to combine into a $130 billion company in December.

Still, some analysts were skeptical such a deal involving Monsanto would go through, or were even necessary for Bayer or BASF even though combining businesses would be complementary.

"This is a rumor of a speculation of a company talking to an investment bank doing M&A," said Bernstein analyst Jonas Oxgaard said. "It doesn't get any more vague than that."

ANNUS HORRIBILIS

As recently as a month ago Monsanto's management denied the likelihood of any near-term deals. Chief Executive Officer Hugh Grant said on an analyst call the company no longer saw large-scale M&A as an opportunity. Smaller research and development or commercial partnerships were more likely.

That was just the latest headline in an annus horribilis.

Before Thursday's merger talk boosted its stock, Monsanto's market cap had fallen 28 percent in the past 12 months as its four largest rivals announced bids to merge.

On top of that, U.S. regulators delayed approval of a key new weed killer, dicamba, and glyphosate, the herbicide key to its Roundup weedkiller, was labeled a probable carcinogen by the World Health Organization.

U.S. securities regulators said in February the company would pay $80 million in a settlement over accounting violations.