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Molson Coors Beverage Company TAP is expected to register top and bottom-line declines when it reports first-quarter 2025 earnings on May 8, before market open. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $2.4 billion, indicating a 6% decline from the prior-year reported figure. The consensus mark for earnings has moved down by a penny in the past 30 days to 80 cents per share, indicating a drop of 15.8% from the year-ago reported figure.
In the last reported quarter, this leading alcohol company delivered an earnings surprise of 15%. It has a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 18.1%.
What the Zacks Model Unveils for TAP
Our proven model conclusively predicts an earnings beat for Molson Coors this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. You can uncover the best stocks before they are reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
TAP currently has a Zacks Rank #3 and an Earnings ESP of +4.01%.
Molson Coors Beverage Company Price and EPS Surprise
Molson Coors Beverage Company price-eps-surprise | Molson Coors Beverage Company Quote
Trends to Drive Molson Coors’ Q1 Results
TAP has demonstrated strong brand resilience and consistent growth across its markets, driving sales momentum historically. In the United States, core power brands like Coors Light, Miller Lite and Coors Banquet continue to perform well, with Coors Banquet achieving notable volume growth and expanding market share. This momentum is expected to get reflected in the company’s first-quarter results.
Molson Coors’ Acceleration Plan has supported market share gains through innovation and premiumization. Strategic investments in core brands and expansion efforts have likely contributed to top-line growth in the quarter under review. TAP’s revitalization plan, focused on streamlining operations and reinvesting in brands, has driven sustainable growth. Investments in iconic brands and the above-premium beer segment, alongside expansion into adjacent markets, are expected to have positively impacted its performance.
TAP has enhanced digital capabilities across commercial, supply chain and workforce functions while expanding brewing and packaging operations in the U.K., driven by the success of its Madri brand.
Strong results in the EMEA and APAC segments, and growth in Canada within the Americas segment remain promising, supported by favorable net pricing, premiumization and higher brand volumes. Meanwhile, cost-saving initiatives focused on streamlining operations and reducing overheads have likely supported financial stability, and reinvestment in key marketing and sales efforts. This has been contributing to margin expansion.
However, challenges persist, including inflationary pressures on raw materials and manufacturing costs, as well as an unfavorable product mix. Management previously indicated that inflationary impacts on COGS would continue into the first quarter, and softness in the broader beer industry remains concerning.
On the last reported quarter’s earnings call, management noted that the global macroeconomic environment is evolving rapidly, creating uncertainty around the impacts of geopolitical tensions and shifting trade policies, factors that continue to influence consumer behavior. The company’s current guidance does not account for the potential effects of these developments, including the imposition of U.S. import tariffs or any retaliatory measures from other nations. A stronger U.S. dollar is expected to negatively impact reported results and underlying earnings per share growth.
For the first quarter of 2025, management anticipates incurring one-time transition and integration costs related to its partnership with Fever-Tree. These costs will be reflected in the company’s underlying financials, with final cost estimates to be determined in the near term.