Mississippi Development Bank -- Moody's confirms Aa3 on Lamar County, MS's GO Bonds

Rating Action: Moody's confirms Aa3 on Lamar County, MS's GO Bonds

Global Credit Research - 02 Dec 2020

New York, December 02, 2020 -- Moody's Investors Service has confirmed the Aa3 rating on Lamar County's $6.5 million of outstanding general obligation bonds. This action concludes our review from October 1, 2020 when we placed the county's ratings under review due to insufficient information.

RATINGS RATIONALE

The Aa3 rating reflects the county's satisfactorily sized and modestly growing full value and solid income measures. The rating also incorporates the county's stable financial profile inclusive of reserves that will remain solid in fiscal 2020 despite the impacts of the economic downturn. The county's fiscal 2019 audit remains unavailable and is a key weakness relative to issuers that are able to produce timely financial reports. However, our review of unaudited fiscal 2019 financials indicates that the county's fiscal position has not materially changed since our last review in Oct 2019. The county's debt and pension burdens are manageable and also factored into the rating.

We regard the coronavirus outbreak as a social risk under our ESG framework, given the substantial implications for public health and safety. The coronavirus crisis is not a key driver for this rating action. We do not see any material immediate credit risks for Lamar County due to the county's solid financial reserves. This view will change if the local or state authorities opt to enact significant economic restrictions in response to a worsened public health situation. However, there is no indication that officials are considering such action at this time. The situation surrounding coronavirus is rapidly evolving and the longer term impact will depend on both the severity and duration of the crisis. If our view of the credit quality of Lamar County changes, we will update the rating and/or outlook at that time.

RATING OUTLOOK

Outlooks are generally not assigned to local governments with this amount of debt outstanding.

FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OF THE RATING

- Material expansion of taxable base

- Increase in wealth and resident income levels

- Strengthening of financial reserves

FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO A DOWNGRADE OF THE RATING

- Material reduction of the tax base

- Economic weakening resulting in significant job or income loss

- Operating deficits leading to lower reserves

LEGAL SECURITY

The county's GO bonds are issued by the Mississippi Development Bank and are secured by a pledge of the Lamar County's County Bond. The County Bond is a general obligation of the county, secured by an ad valorem tax, levied against all taxable property in the city without limitation as to rate or amount.