Middle Market Business Leaders Cautiously Optimistic Despite Continued Uncertainty

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New data from Citizens captures how middle market companies are responding to economic and policy headwinds into 2025

PROVIDENCE, R.I., March 12, 2025--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Middle market leaders are navigating uncertainty while poised to make key longer-term investments in technology, talent, and growth according to propriety research on the views of C-Suite executives released by Citizens today.

"Business leaders came into the year with a generally upbeat feeling about the economy, and that sentiment remains, despite macroeconomic volatility," said Don McCree, senior vice chair and head of commercial banking, Citizens. "As businesses navigate an evolving market and regulatory backdrop, our experienced bankers stand ready to help clients anticipate challenges and achieve their goals."

The two surveys, which surveyed middle market business leaders between January and February, were designed to capture the challenges and opportunities for middle market businesses in 2025 and beyond:

  • The Citizens Business Leaders Survey polled decision makers at mid-size U.S. businesses about their outlook for economic conditions and assessment of key business inputs in the year ahead and;

  • The Middle Market Business Challenges Survey highlighted challenges that middle market companies face as it relates to workforce development and sustainability.

Concerns Persist But Businesses Plan to Hire and Invest More in 2025

The Business Leaders Survey found middle market companies are heading into 2025 fully aware that uncertainty isn’t going anywhere - but they’re not sitting still. More than half (56%) of middle market business leaders expect their companies to hire more personnel this year, while 57% plan to invest more in growth than they did in 2024. Only 10% of leaders expected their organization to reduce personnel in 2025.

The results underscore a sense of cautious optimism about the business outlook for 2025, as 83% of leaders believe their business is in a better financial position now than it was a year ago - an outlook that stands in sharp contrast to the broader economic indicators dominating headlines.

The willingness to invest comes even as inflation, interest rates and tariffs weigh heavily on decision making. While inflation was the number one concern for business leaders, at 59%, a plethora of other factors gave leaders pause. Respondents identified interest rates (44%), tariffs (42%), financial market volatility (39%), a possible recession (34%) and increased taxes (33%) as other key factors representing the greatest risk to companies’ financial performance in 2025.