MGIC (MTG) Up 8.7% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

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A month has gone by since the last earnings report for MGIC Investment (MTG). Shares have added about 8.7% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.

Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is MGIC due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.

MGIC Investment Q3 Earnings Surpass Estimates on Higher Revenues

MGIC Investment reported third-quarter 2024 operating net income per share of 77 cents, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 15%. Moreover, the bottom line increased 20.3% year over year.

The quarterly results reflected higher new insurance written and improved net investment income, partially offset by lower insurance in force.

MGIC Investment recorded total operating revenues of $306 million, which increased 3% year over year on higher net investment income, net premiums earned and other revenues. The top line matched the consensus mark.

Operational Update

Insurance in force decreased 0.5% from the prior-year quarter to $292.8 billion. The figure matched the Zacks Consensus Estimate as well as our estimate.

The insurer witnessed a 1.5% increase in primary delinquency to 25,089 loans.

Net premiums written decreased 0.2% year over year to $234 million. The figure was lower than our estimate of $237.3 million.

Net investment income increased 12.1% year over year to $62 million. Our estimate was $64.5 million. The Zacks Consensus Estimate was pegged at $64 million.

Persistency — the percentage of insurance remaining in force from one year prior — was 85.3%   as of Sept. 30, 2024, down from 86.3% in the year-ago quarter.

New insurance written was $17.2 billion, up 17.8% year over year.

Net underwriting and other expenses totaled $53.3 million, up 0.6% year over year.

For the quarter under review, the loss ratio was 4% compared with 0% for the third quarter of 2023.

Financial Update

Book value per share, a measure of net worth, increased 19% year over year to $20.66 as of Sept. 30, 2024.

Shareholder equity was $5.3 billion as of Sept. 30, 2024, up 4.3% from 2023-end.

MGIC Investment's PMIERs Available Assets totaled $6 billion, or $2.5 billion above its Minimum Required Assets as of Sept. 30, 2024.

Assets were $6.7 billion as of Sept. 30, 2024, up 2.1% from 2023-end. Debt was $644 million as of Sept. 30, 2024, up 0.1% from the 2023-end level.

Capital Deployment

The company bought back 5.2 million shares in the third quarter for $122.9 million. 

In the 12 months ended Sept. 30, 2024, MGIC Investment paid $650 million in dividends to the holding company.

In October, MTG repurchased an additional 2.9 million shares for $72.4 million.

The board also declared a dividend of 13 cents per share to shareholders to be paid on Nov. 21, 2024, to shareholders of record as of Nov. 7, 2024.