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MCH upgrades Oracle, MongoDB ahead of earnings on cloud, AI growth

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Investing.com -- Monness, Crespi, Hardt upgraded Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL) and MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB), both to "Neutral" from "Sell" given the growth opportunities in cloud and generative AI despite ongoing challenges.

For Oracle, the brokerage expects the company to meet its third-quarter fiscal 2025 revenue estimate of $14.56 billion, up 10% year-over-year, and non-GAAP EPS of $1.54. While Oracle has potential in AI and cloud, the note flagged concerns over valuation, capital expenditures, and competition.

Monness, Crespi, Hardt said Oracle represents a high-quality company with the opportunity to participate in a cloud transformation and benefit from the gen AI trend, but flagged a stretched valuation, an unsustainable capex spending, fierce competition, transition in software, and a fragile macro environment.

MongoDB, which is set to report fourth-quarter results on March 5, is projected to post $547 million in revenue, up 19% year-over-year, and EPS of $1.06.

Brokerage noted continued pressure on MongoDB’s cloud database service, Atlas (NYSE:ATCO), which has seen growth slow for 11 consecutive quarters. “No other cloud product unit within our software universe, and Big Tech coverage, has undergone a losing streak as protracted as MongoDB Atlas during this cycle,” analyst said.

Despite macroeconomic uncertainty and competition, the firm acknowledged both companies' positioning within long-term industry trends.

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