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M.P. Evans Group's (LON:MPE) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

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M.P. Evans Group PLC (LON:MPE) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 16th of June to $0.30. This takes the dividend yield to 4.8%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

Check out our latest analysis for M.P. Evans Group

M.P. Evans Group's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, M.P. Evans Group was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. This means that most of what the business earns is being used to help it grow.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 5.1% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 39%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

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AIM:MPE Historic Dividend April 8th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $0.128 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of $0.519. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 15% over that duration. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. M.P. Evans Group has impressed us by growing EPS at 27% per year over the past five years. Rapid earnings growth and a low payout ratio suggest this company has been effectively reinvesting in its business. Should that continue, this company could have a bright future.

We Really Like M.P. Evans Group's Dividend

Overall, we think this could be an attractive income stock, and it is only getting better by paying a higher dividend this year. The company is generating plenty of cash, and the earnings also quite easily cover the distributions. If earnings do fall over the next 12 months, the dividend could be buffeted a little bit, but we don't think it should cause too much of a problem in the long term. Taking this all into consideration, this looks like it could be a good dividend opportunity.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, M.P. Evans Group has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about. Is M.P. Evans Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.