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FTSE 100 LIVE: London shares lower as UK growth revised down to zero

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The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) and European stocks were mixed on Monday as Britain’s economy ground to a halt in the third quarter of the year, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

The downward revision came as the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) warned chancellor Rachel Reeves the UK economy is “headed for the worst of all worlds”.

Liz McKeown, director of economic statistics at the ONS, said: "The economy was weaker in the second and third quarters of this year than our initial estimates suggested with bars and restaurants, legal firms and advertising, in particular, performing less well.

"The household saving ratio fell a little in the latest period, though remains relatively high by historic standards. Meanwhile real household disposable income per head showed no growth."

  • London’s benchmark index was 0.3% higher by midday trading.

  • Germany's DAX (^GDAXI) was treading water and the CAC (^FCHI) in Paris gained 0.1%.

  • The pan-European STOXX 600 (^STOXX) was up by 0.4%.

  • Wall Street is set for a positive start as S&P 500 futures (ES=F), Dow futures (YM=F) and Nasdaq futures (NQ=F) were all in the green.

  • The pound was 0.4% down against the US dollar (GBPUSD=X) at 1.2514.

  • Aviva (AV.L) has agreed a deal to buy rival insurer Direct Line (DLG.L) in a £3.7bn deal. The FTSE 100 insurer is set to purchase its smaller competitor after a £3.3bn was bid turned down in November.

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  • Gold prices fluctuate ahead of Christmas break

    Gold prices edged higher in early European trading before later declining positive momentum from the end of last week.

    Ricardo Evangelista, senior ActivTrades analyst, said:

  • Market movers at midday

    Well we're already in the afternoon, so let's have a look at what's happening in equity markets today despite news being thin on the ground.

    • Insurer Direct Line (DLG.L) jumped after agreeing to be bought by rival Aviva for £3.75bn.

    • The offer values each Direct Line Share at 275p, a premium of 73.3% to the closing price of 158.7p on 27 November.

    • Aviva (AV.L) said it plans to achieve annual pre-tax cost savings of at least £125m through job cuts, "economies of scale and increased efficiency".

    • Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: "Christmas has come early for Direct Line investors, as Aviva's £3.7bn buyout has officially been signed, sealed, and delivered. The terms of the deal remain unchanged from what was floated to the markets earlier this month, and the festive confirmation has wrapped up what many investors had already baked into expectations, leaving little surprise under the tree.

    • "This deal strikes a balance that seems to deliver value for both parties. Direct Line has been navigating choppy waters, with its market share steadily eroding and a history of missteps from previous management leaving the ship off course. While the new management team has been working to steady the vessel, even they couldn't deny that Aviva's offer was the golden ticket they'd struggle to replicate on their own. Though they've expressed confidence in their independent strategy, this proposal was simply too compelling to pass up.

    • "For Aviva, the price tag is sitting on the edge of what might be considered a bargain, but the strategic potential could prove to be a real cracker. Acquiring Direct Line cements Aviva's status as the heavyweight champion in the UK home and motor insurance markets. Beyond bolstering their market dominance, the deal unlocks opportunities to put the Direct Line transformation on the fast track, while capitalizing on the efficiency gains that come with increased scale. It's a bold move that could turn out to be a gift that keeps on giving."

  • Top trending global stocks of 2024

    In a year marked by record highs in markets and further uncertainty, here are some of the stocks that have reflected key trends and been closely monitored by investors.

    Strong earnings, particularly out of the major US technology companies, have helped drive market movements this year.

    The S&P 500 (^GSPC) hit the 6,000 points mark in November on the back of Donald Trump's US election win. The tech-heavy Nasdaq (^IXIC) also recently topped 20,000 for the first time.

    In addition to record earnings, central banks started to cut interest rates as inflation cooled, which has further fuelled market momentum.

    However, there have been elements of instability, with conflict in the Middle East and the continuation of the Russia-Ukraine war.

    Read more from Yahoo Finance UK

  • UK was slowest G7 economy in Q3

    This morning’s GDP downgrade means that the UK was the joint-slowest member of the G7 in the third quarter of the year, with no growth in July-September.

    Here’s the latest estimates from other leading advanced economies in Q3 2024:

    • US: grew by nearly 0.8%

    • France: grew by 0.4%

    • Japan: grew by 0.3%

    • Canada: grew by 0.3%

    • Germany: grew by 0.1%

    • Italy: stagnated

    GDP per head fell 0.2%, with only Canada doing worse.

  • Fixing the economy is a huge challenge, says Reeves

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves has warned that the government is facing a “huge” challenge to fix the UK economy.

    Reacting to this morning’s news from the ONS that the economy failed to grow in July-September, she said:

  • More landlords offer ‘bills included’ rentals

    More landlords are opting to offer bills included within their asking rent expectations.

    This has been deemed as a proactive approach to boosting EPC ratings to help improve profit margins and reduce energy bills.

    The analysis of current rental market listings by epIMS shows that:

    • 14% of all current rental properties on the market offer the cost of bills included within the monthly asking rent.

    • This number of rental properties offering bills included within the asking rent has increased by 57% in the last year alone when just 12% of all rental market listings came with the cost of bills included.

    • Further research by epIMS shows that, for those landlords offering a bills included rental, improving the energy efficiency of their property could see them dramatically increase their profit margins.

    • As per new government guidelines, landlords will also be required to hold a mandatory rating of C by 2030 anyway and so making improvements now helps them get ahead of this compliance requirement.

  • Heathrow cancels flights amid strong winds

    Strong winds disrupted UK travel yesterday as Heathrow said around 100 flights had been cancelled ahead of Christmas.

    A Heathrow spokesperson said "a small number" of flights had been cancelled "due to strong winds and airspace restrictions".

    The airport advised passengers to check with their airline for the latest information about their flight.

    A spokesperson for British Airways said that "adverse weather" and "restrictions" on the number of flights able to take off and land had led to "a small number of cancellations".

    They added:

    The weather has also led to the "widescale cancellation" of ferry services across the Irish Sea and along the Scottish coast, road closures to high-sided vehicles and rail disruption.

    A yellow warning for ice in north-east Scotland is in force until 10am on Monday morning.

  • ECB very close to hitting inflation goal

    European Central Bank (ECB) president Christine Lagarde said the eurozone was getting "very close" to reaching the central bank's medium-term inflation goal.

    According to an interview published by the Financial Times today, Lagarde said that the central bank would cut interest rates further if inflation continued to ease towards its 2% target, as curbing growth was no longer necessary.

    She opposed retaliation by Europe to tariff threats made by incoming US President Donald Trump.

  • January spending squeeze on the horizon

    A survey by the British Retail Consortium (BRC), which represents UK retailers predicted that a "January spending squeeze on the horizon" for consumers.

    It said "public confidence in the state of the economy took a nosedive" this month, according to its consumer sentiment survey.

  • UK GDP revised down to 0%

    UK economic growth came in weaker than initially estimated between July and September, according to official figures on Monday.

    The Office for National Statistics revised down its estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the third-quarter of this year, to 0%, down from 0.1% previously expected.

    The latest GDP quarterly national accounts report also shows that real GDP per head fell by 0.2% in the period, and is 0.2% lower compared with the same quarter a year ago.

    On an output basis there was no growth in the services sector in the latest quarter, whilst a 0.7% increase in construction was offset by a 0.4% fall in production.

    Liz McKeown, ONS director of economic statistics, said:

    The ONS also revised down its estimate for growth in April-June to 0.4%, down from 0.5% growth estimated earlier.

  • Where are house prices rising?

    The cost of the average home is increasing across all regions and countries ranging from a 0.7% bump in the South East to 6.8% in Northern Ireland.

    In England, the average price rose by 3% year on year to £309,000, while in Wales it was up by 4% to £222,000.

    Scotland saw prices increase by 5.5% to £197,000. In Northern Ireland, the average house price rose by 6.2% to £191,000 year on year, the ONS said.

    "It remains a buyer’s market and signs of increased caution amongst home buyers will keep UK house price growth in check over 2025," Zoopla said.

  • Average house price hits £267,500 ahead of stamp duty deadline

    The housing market remains cautious heading into 2025, despite a rush of sales agreed in an attempt to take advantage of the stamp duty discount.

    According to Zoopla data, prices returned to growth in November, with the average house price at £267,500, 1.9% higher than a year ago.

    The data tracks that of the Office for National Statistics, which reported earlier this week that UK house prices increased by £10,000 in the year to October with the average property costing £292,000.

    The sales pipeline is also around 30% higher than this time last year, the housing platform said, with 283,000 homes worth £104bn set to progress to a sale in 2025.

    Part of the reason for the rush can be attributed to the fact that, from 1 April 2025, stamp duty discounts afforded to buyers expire.

    Despite this movement, however, buyers have become more price-sensitive since the Autumn Budget, agreeing sales price at 3.6% below the asking price, up from 3.2% in July.

    Read more from Yahoo Finance UK

  • Aviva and Direct Line agree £3.7bn insurance tie-up

    Aviva (AV.L) has agreed a deal to buy rival insurer Direct Line (DLG.L) in a £3.7bn deal. The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) insurer is set to purchase its smaller competitor after a £3.3bn was bid turned down in November.

    The companies had been locked in talks ahead of a Christmas Day deadline.

    A deal between the two firms would create a significant force in the motor insurance sector, estimated to cover more than a fifth of the total UK market.

    Aviva chief executive Amanda Blanc said the deal is “excellent news” for both companies’ customers.

    The takeover will see Aviva pay 129.7 pence in cash and 0.2867 of its own shares for each Direct Line share.

    It will also pay up to 5p in dividend payments per share to Direct Line shareholders as part of the deal.

  • Coming up

    Good morning, and welcome to our markets live blog. With only just a few days before Christmas, it's set to be a quieter one.

    Here's a look at what's on the agenda for today:

    • 7am: UK GDP quarterly national accounts, UK: July to September 2024

    • 1.30pm: Chicago Fed National Activity Index

    • 3pm: CB report on US consumer confidence