Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (LW) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Challenges with ...

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Fri, Dec 20, 2024, 12:00 AM 4 min read

Net Sales: Declined 8% compared to the year-ago quarter.
Volume: Declined 6%, primarily due to declining restaurant traffic and customer share losses.
Price Mix: Declined 2% compared to the prior-year quarter.
Adjusted EBITDA: Decreased by $95 million to $282 million.
Adjusted Gross Profit: Declined by $135 million.
Adjusted SG&A: Declined by $12 million to $165 million.
North America Sales: Declined 8% versus the prior-year quarter.
International Sales: Declined 6% versus the prior-year quarter.
Cash and Revolving Credit: Ended the quarter with $80 million in cash and $1.2 billion available under the revolving credit facility.
Net Debt: $4 billion, with a leverage ratio of 3.4 times.
Cash from Operations: Nearly $430 million generated in the first half of the year.
Capital Expenditures: $486 million in the first half of the year, targeting $750 million for fiscal 2025.
Shareholder Returns: $52 million returned in cash dividends during the quarter.
Updated Net Sales Target: Reduced to $6.35 billion to $6.45 billion.
Updated Adjusted EBITDA Target: Reduced to $1.17 billion to $1.21 billion.
Dividend Increase: Quarterly dividend increased by $0.01 to $0.37 per share.

Warning! GuruFocus has detected 2 Warning Sign with LW.

Release Date: December 19, 2024

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (NYSE:LW) announced a leadership transition with Mike Smith taking over as President and CEO, indicating a well-planned succession strategy.
The company is proactively addressing the challenging operating environment by implementing a restructuring plan aimed at cost savings and operational efficiency.
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (NYSE:LW) plans to significantly reduce capital expenditures in the coming years, focusing on modernization and environmental projects, which is expected to improve free cash flow.
The company has increased its share repurchase authorization by $250 million, providing flexibility for opportunistic buybacks.
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (NYSE:LW) continues to maintain a strong liquidity position with $1.2 billion available under its revolving credit facility.

Negative Points

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (NYSE:LW) reported an 8% decline in net sales for the second quarter, driven by weak restaurant traffic and competitive pressures.
The company experienced a 6% decline in volume, attributed to customer share losses and a challenging international market environment.
Adjusted EBITDA decreased significantly by $95 million compared to the prior-year quarter, primarily due to unfavorable price mix and higher manufacturing costs.
The company has reduced its financial targets for fiscal 2025, reflecting a more competitive environment and lower-than-expected performance.
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (NYSE:LW) faces ongoing challenges with manufacturing inefficiencies and lower asset utilization, impacting profitability.

Q & A Highlights

Q: What is Lamb Weston's view on its structural or normalized EBITDA margin given the current capacity utilization projections? A: Thomas Werner, President and CEO, stated that assuming all announced capacity comes online, the go-forward EBITDA margin is expected to be in the range of 19% to 20%. Bernadette Madarieta, CFO, added that they plan to expand margins by pricing to offset inflation over the longer term, but in the short- to medium-term, they expect 19% to 20% EBITDA margins.

Q: Why haven't other industry players made similar decisions to curtail production or close less efficient facilities? A: Thomas Werner explained that Lamb Weston is managing its business based on the current environment and anticipates that other industry players may take actions, but it remains to be seen. Bernadette Madarieta added that they expect the industry to be generally balanced in the long term, based on continued category growth and positive French fry attachment rates.

Q: Can you elaborate on the pressures in the international business, particularly in Europe and Asia? A: Thomas Werner noted that in Europe, the initial high-cost potato crop and competitive market have made it difficult to pass inflation costs to customers. In Asia, the market is more competitive than anticipated, partly due to ERP challenges that affected customer relationships. Bernadette Madarieta added that increased capacity in Asia has turned it into more of an export market.

Q: How aggressive will Lamb Weston be with its expanded share buyback program? A: Bernadette Madarieta stated that with increased free cash flow expected in the second half of the year, Lamb Weston plans to opportunistically buy back shares. The increased authorization of $250 million provides flexibility for share repurchases.

Q: What are the reasons for weak consumer demand, and is there any impact from GLP-1 weight loss drugs? A: Bernadette Madarieta explained that in the US, demand decline is primarily due to inflation and reduced restaurant traffic, with consumers trading down to smaller servings. Internationally, restaurant traffic has slowed due to price inflation. They have not seen a significant impact from GLP-1 drugs on demand.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

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