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Is I.Kloukinas-I.Lappas's (ATH:KLM) Share Price Gain Of 205% Well Earned?

It hasn't been the best quarter for I.Kloukinas-I.Lappas S.A. (ATH:KLM) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 12% in that time. In contrast, the return over three years has been impressive. Indeed, the share price is up a very strong 205% in that time. It's not uncommon to see a share price retrace a bit, after a big gain. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for I.Kloukinas-I.Lappas

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During three years of share price growth, I.Kloukinas-I.Lappas moved from a loss to profitability. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

ATSE:KLM Past and Future Earnings, September 25th 2019
ATSE:KLM Past and Future Earnings, September 25th 2019

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of I.Kloukinas-I.Lappas's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Dividend Lost

It's important to keep in mind that we've been talking about the share price returns, which don't include dividends, while the total shareholder return does. Many would argue the TSR gives a more complete picture of the value a stock brings to its holders. I.Kloukinas-I.Lappas's TSR over the last 3 years is 244%; better than its share price return. Although the company had to cut dividends, it has paid cash to shareholders in the past.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that I.Kloukinas-I.Lappas has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 61% in the last twelve months. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 12% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares - and the price they paid.