What Kind Of Risk And Return Should You Expect For Surefire Resources NL (ASX:SRN)?

If you are looking to invest in Surefire Resources NL’s (ASX:SRN), or currently own the stock, then you need to understand its beta in order to understand how it can affect the risk of your portfolio. The beta measures SRN’s exposure to the wider market risk, which reflects changes in economic and political factors. Not all stocks are expose to the same level of market risk, and the market as a whole represents a beta of one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, and those with a beta less than one is generally less volatile.

View our latest analysis for Surefire Resources NL

What is SRN’s market risk?

Surefire Resources NL has a beta of 3.41, which means that the percentage change in its stock value will be higher than the entire market in times of booms and busts. A high level of beta means investors face higher risk associated with potential gains and losses driven by market movements. According to this value of beta, SRN can help magnify your portfolio return, especially if it is predominantly made up of low-beta stocks. If the market is going up, a higher exposure to the upside from a high-beta stock can push up your portfolio return.

Could SRN's size and industry cause it to be more volatile?

A market capitalisation of AUD $2.40M puts SRN in the category of small-cap stocks, which tends to possess higher beta than larger companies. Furthermore, the company operates in the metals and mining industry, which has been found to have high sensitivity to market-wide shocks. So, investors should expect a larger beta for smaller companies operating in a cyclical industry in contrast with lower beta for larger firms in a more defensive industry. This supports our interpretation of SRN’s beta value discussed above. Next, we will examine the fundamental factors which can cause cyclicality in the stock.

ASX:SRN Income Statement Oct 7th 17
ASX:SRN Income Statement Oct 7th 17

How SRN's assets could affect its beta

During times of economic downturn, low demand may cause companies to readjust production of their goods and services. It is more difficult for companies to lower their cost, if the majority of these costs are generated by fixed assets. Therefore, this is a type of risk which is associated with higher beta. I examine SRN’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets to see whether the company is highly exposed to the risk of this type of constraint. SRN's fixed assets to total assets ratio of higher than 30% shows that the company uses up a big chunk of its capital on assets that are hard to scale up or down in short notice. Thus, we can expect SRN to be more volatile in the face of market movements, relative to its peers of similar size but with a lower proportion of fixed assets on their books. This is consistent with is current beta value which also indicates high volatility.