Who Just Ramped Up Their Shares In Ramkrishna Forgings Limited (NSE:RKFORGE)?

In This Article:

Ramkrishna Forgings Limited manufactures and sells open and closed die forgings of carbon and alloy steel, micro alloy steel, and stainless steel forgings in India and internationally. Ramkrishna Forgings’s insiders have invested 100.00k shares in the large-cap stocks within the past three months. A well-known argument is that insiders investing more in their own companies’ shares sends an optimistic signal. The MIT Press (1998) published an article showing that stocks following insider buying outperformed the market by 4.5%. However, it may not be sufficient to base your investment decision merely on these signals. I’ve analysed two possible reasons driving the insiders’ decision to ramp up their investment of late.

Check out our latest analysis for Ramkrishna Forgings

Which Insiders Are Buying?

NSEI:RKFORGE Insider Trading September 23rd 18
NSEI:RKFORGE Insider Trading September 23rd 18

More shares have been bought than sold by Ramkrishna Forgings insiders in the past three months. In total, individual insiders own over 2.89 million shares in the business, which makes up around 8.88% of total shares outstanding.

. The entity that bought on the open market in the last three months was Riddhi Portfolio Private Limited. Although this is an institutional investor, rather than a company executive or board member, the insights gained from direct access to management as a large investor would make it more well-informed than the average retail investor. In this specific instance, I would classify this investor as a company insider.

Is Future Growth Outlook As Bullish?

NSEI:RKFORGE Future Profit September 23rd 18
NSEI:RKFORGE Future Profit September 23rd 18

On the surface, Ramkrishna Forgings’s future looks positive.

Digging deeper into the line items, analysts anticipate a strong double-digit revenue growth next year, which appears to flow through to larger earnings growth expectations. This could indicate significant cost-cutting activities or a high degree of economies of scale which may have a compounding impact in the future.

If insiders recognised this, a signal of their confidence may be their higher shareholdings in the company. Or they may simply view the share price is currently too low compared to the share’s intrinsic value.

Did Insiders Buy On Share Price Volatility?

Another factor we should consider is whether the timing of these insider transactions coincide with any significant share price movements. This means, if insiders believe shares were heavily undervalued recently, this would provide a prime opportunity to buy more irrespective of its growth outlook.

Within the past three months, Ramkrishna Forgings’s share price traded at a high of ₹764.35 and a low of ₹593.05. This suggests moderate volatility with a share price movement of 28.88%.