Jim Cramer on Devon Energy Corporation (DVN): ‘Don’t Get Overly Excited About The Stock’s Immediate Prospects’
We recently compiled a list of the 10 Stocks That Have Jim Cramer’s Attention. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN) stands against the other stocks that have Jim Cramer's attention.
On a recent episode of Mad Money, Jim Cramer notes that after a significant rally in the past two weeks, the market took a hit ahead of the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting in Jackson Hole. The Dow fell 170 points, the S&P dropped 43 points, and the NASDAQ tumbled 1.67%. This downturn marks a return to reality, which can be harsh.
“After the monster move we’ve had in the last two weeks, that’s why, on the eve of the big Federal Reserve powwow in Jackson Hole, the averages got slammed. It’s back to reality, and reality can sting.”
Previously, after a dramatic unwind of the Yen carry trade, the market quickly collapsed but then rebounded strongly over eight days. According to Cramer, during that period, anything that was doing well surged, and there was optimism that anything struggling would improve once the Fed started cutting rates. However, that optimism has faded.
“If you remember, after the sudden unwind of the Yen carry trade, the market experienced a sharp decline followed by a remarkable 8-day rebound. During that time, stocks that were performing well surged, and there was hope that struggling stocks would improve once the Fed began cutting rates. However, that was then, and this is now.”
Now, we’re experiencing what Cramer refers to as the “buyer’s remorse” phase. Stocks that had risen on hope alone are now falling sharply. Even the prospect of the Fed stepping in hasn’t been enough to prevent the decline.
“Since the winning streak ended, we’re entering what I call the “buyer’s remorse” phase. Stocks that had been climbing based on hope alone are now falling hard. Even the prospect of Fed intervention isn’t enough to prevent this decline. The selling might be exaggerated because the Fed is set to speak in Jackson Hole, and Wall Street has already factored in the possibility of a September rate cut—beyond that, it’s unlikely the Fed will announce multiple rate cuts, as some bulls hope.”
Cramer dismisses the first two explanations for the current market weakness: the idea that the Fed’s actions are too late or that the Fed can’t fix the economy. He believes the Fed’s interventions still have a significant impact, although companies with poor balance sheets might struggle.
“There are also concerns that the Fed might be too late to make a difference, or that traders fear a potential Democratic sweep in November could lead to higher corporate tax rates—bad for earnings—and increased scrutiny on price gouging in supermarkets and drugstores.
I don’t fully buy into the first two explanations. Not everything can be saved by the Fed, as some companies aren’t very sensitive to economic changes. Also, it’s never too late for a rate cut; delays might occur, but the turn is not canceled, except for companies with poor balance sheets. Those companies, burdened with debt, deserve to struggle if they can’t manage their obligations effectively.”
The third explanation, political concerns, seems more plausible to Cramer. He points out that investors initially saw President Biden as less favorable to the stock market due to his pro-labor stance. However, recent discussions suggest that a potential Harris presidency might be even more challenging for businesses. Harris is seen as critical of companies raising prices and could push for measures against price gouging, which might be difficult to achieve.
“The third, politics-is-trickier. Before this week, many investors saw President Biden as unfavorable to the stock market due to his pro-labor stance. However, Vice President Harris, coming from California with ties to the tech industry and connections like her brother-in-law Tony West, General Counsel at Uber, was thought to be more business-friendly.
Recent discussions suggest that a Harris presidency might be even tougher on businesses than Biden’s administration. There is a strong focus on criticizing food and drug companies for raising prices, even though the Biden administration attempted to control the prices of some heavily used drugs. Harris’s potential efforts to curb price gouging might face challenges, as large retailers like Walmart and Costco have already done a great job of pushing suppliers to reduce prices to pre-COVID levels.”
Cramer is also concerned about a recent prediction from market expert Larry Williams, which adds to his apprehension about the market’s future.
“On the campaign trail, Harris might not recognize the distinction between good and bad actors, opting instead to broadly criticize big businesses for taking advantage of the pandemic. These factors might explain some of today’s market weakness, but what concerns me most is a recent prediction from market expert Larry Williams. I respect Larry’s insights and prefer not to contradict him.
Jim Cramer said Larry Williams predicted that the rally was “kaput.” This term, implying that the rally might be over, is especially worrying considering it was used after the eighth day of gains. Despite this winning streak, the market didn’t surpass its previous highs. Larry’s charts also indicated that the S&P 500 might face difficulties in the coming week, particularly due to Nvidia, which he considers a crucial stock in the market.
“Larry sent us his thoughts on Monday, and he used a term that made me concerned. He said that the rally was “kaput.” Mind you, this was on the eighth day. The word “kaput” has some ominous connotations, right? Especially because we didn’t take out the highs of the averages despite the 8-day win streak. Worse, Larry’s charts showed tough sledding for the S&P 500 next week, led by the most important stock in the entire market—maybe the most important stock I’ve ever seen.”
Jim Cramer notes that with the market currently overbought—reflected in the S&P short-range oscillator reading of plus five—Larry’s view that the rally could be over seems plausible. Wall Street’s favorite GPU maker experienced a sharp drop recently, despite its strong performance leading up to the quarter. The stock’s sudden reversal was difficult to watch.
“Given that the market’s overbought—plus five on the S&P short-range oscillator that I follow—the idea that the rally is kaput has some resonance. It doesn’t help that Nvidia ran up rapidly into the quarter and expectations have gotten out of hand. The stock did a horrible reversal today—just painful to watch.”
Our Methodology
In this article, we analyze a recent episode of Jim Cramer’s Mad Money, where he highlighted ten stocks. We also review hedge fund opinions on these stocks and rank them based on hedge fund ownership, from the least to the most.
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A group of technicians in hazmat suits inspecting a natural gas storage tank.
Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 52
Jim Cramer recently shared his thoughts on Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN), highlighting his positive view on the company’s strategic acquisitions. However, he cautioned that with natural gas prices low and oil prices struggling to stay above $60, investors should temper their expectations about the stock’s short-term performance.
“I like Devon Energy, especially considering its strategic acquisitions. However, with natural gas prices low and oil prices struggling to stay above $60, don’t get overly excited about the stock’s immediate prospects.”
Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN), a leading U.S. independent oil and gas producer, is poised for continued growth thanks to its significant operations in major shale basins like the Delaware Basin, Eagle Ford, and Powder River Basin. The company’s Q2 2024 earnings report demonstrated strong performance, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.56 and revenue of $4.6 billion, an 8% increase from the previous year. This growth was driven by a rise in production volumes to 325,000 barrels per day and favorable commodity prices. Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN)’s focus on efficient operations and high-margin assets has enabled it to maintain robust cash flow despite fluctuating oil prices.
Recent developments further support a positive outlook for Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN). Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN) has increased shareholder returns with a $0.72 per share variable dividend and a substantial share repurchase program, buying back about $500 million in shares during the quarter. These actions highlight Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN)’s strong financial health and confidence in its future. Additionally, Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN)’s disciplined approach to capital allocation—focusing on high-return projects and maintaining a conservative spending strategy—has resulted in a solid balance sheet with low net debt-to-EBITDA ratios.
Overall DVN ranks 6th on our list of the stocks that have Jim Cramer's attention. While we acknowledge the potential of DVN as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than DVN but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.