Rating Action: Moody's upgrades ratings on three classes of notes issued by JFIN CLO 2014-II Ltd.; actions conclude review
Global Credit Research - 17 Dec 2020
New York, December 17, 2020 -- Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") has upgraded the ratings on the following notes issued by JFIN CLO 2014-II Ltd. (the "CLO" or "Issuer"):
U.S. $25,000,000 Class B-1-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due 2026 (the "Class B-1-R Notes"), Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on October 17, 2018 Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
U.S. $2,500,000 Class B-2-R Senior Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes due 2026 (the "Class B-2-R Notes"), Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on October 17, 2018 Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
U.S. $34,800,000 Class C Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due 2026 (the "Class C Notes"), Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on December 8, 2020 Baa1 (sf) Placed Under Review for Possible Upgrade
The Class B-1-R Notes, Class B-2-R, and the Class C Notes are referred to herein, collectively, as the "Upgraded Notes."
These actions conclude the reviews for upgrade initiated on December 8, 2020 on the Class C Notes issued by the CLO. The CLO, originally issued in July 2014 and refinanced in June 2017, is a managed cashflow CLO. The notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. The transaction's reinvestment period ended in July 2018.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrade actions taken on the Upgraded Notes are primarily a result of applying Moody's revised CLO assumptions described in "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in December 2020. The primary changes to the modeling assumptions include the analytical treatment of corporate obligors whose ratings are on review downgrade or assigned a negative outook. Specifically, we now adjust the obligor's Moody's Default Probability Rating down by one notch if the obligor's rating is on review for possible downgrade and we make no adjustments if the obligor's rating has a negative outlook. Based on these updates, Moody's calculated WARF on the portfolio is now 3439 compared the the WARF of 4029 on trustee's November 2020 report [1].
The upgrade actions are also a result of deleveraging of the senior notes and an increase in the transaction's over-collateralization (OC) ratios since September 2020. The Class A-1A-R and Class A-1B-R notes have been paid down collectively by approximately 34.9% or $33.1 million since that time. Based on the trustee's 9 November 2020 report [2], the OC ratios for the Class A, Class B, and Class C notes are reported at 180.48%, 147.84%, and 120.32%, respectively, versus September 2020 levels of 160.47%, 136.65%, and 115.04%, respectively.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $229,197,110
Defaulted Securities : $18,729,629
Diversity Score: 51
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3439
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.26 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for LIBOR floors): 3.74%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.78%
Par haircut in OC tests: 4.64%
In consideration of the current high uncertainties around the global economy, and the ultimate performance of the CLO portfolio, Moody's conducted a number of additional sensitivity analyses representing a range of outcomes that could diverge, both to the downside and the upside, from our base case. Some of the additional scenarios that Moody's considered in its analysis of the transaction include, among others: additional near-term defaults of companies facing liquidity pressure; sensitivity analysis on deteriorating credit quality due to a large exposure to loans with negative outlook, and a lower recovery rate assumption on defaulted assets to reflect declining loan recovery rate expectations.
The coronavirus outbreak, the government measures put in place to contain it, and the weak global economic outlook continue to disrupt economies and credit markets across sectors and regions. Our analysis has considered the effect on the performance of corporate assets from the current weak US economic activity and a gradual recovery for the coming months. Although an economic recovery is underway, it is tenuous and its continuation will be closely tied to containment of the virus. As a result, the degree of uncertainty around our forecasts is unusually high.
We regard the coronavirus outbreak as a social risk under our ESG framework, given the substantial implications for public health and safety.
Factors that would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty in the performance of the related CLO's underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions that may change. In particular, the length and severity of the economic and credit shock precipitated by the global coronavirus pandemic will have a significant impact on the performance of the securities.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in December 2020 and available at https://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_1242167. Alternatively, please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions in the disclosure form. Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions can be found at: https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_79004.
The analysis relies on an assessment of collateral characteristics to determine the collateral loss distribution, that is, the function that correlates to an assumption about the likelihood of occurrence to each level of possible losses in the collateral. As a second step, Moody's evaluates each possible collateral loss scenario using a model that replicates the relevant structural features to derive payments and therefore the ultimate potential losses for each rated instrument. The loss a rated instrument incurs in each collateral loss scenario, weighted by assumptions about the likelihood of events in that scenario occurring, results in the expected loss of the rated instrument.
Moody's quantitative analysis entails an evaluation of scenarios that stress factors contributing to sensitivity of ratings and take into account the likelihood of severe collateral losses or impaired cash flows. Moody's weights the impact on the rated instruments based on its assumptions of the likelihood of the events in such scenarios occurring.
For ratings issued on a program, series, category/class of debt or security this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series, category/class of debt, security or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action, and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action, the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
The ratings have been disclosed to the rated entity or its designated agent(s) and issued with no amendment resulting from that disclosure.
These ratings are solicited. Please refer to Moody's Policy for Designating and Assigning Unsolicited Credit Ratings available on its website www.moodys.com.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.
Moody's general principles for assessing environmental, social and governance (ESG) risks in our credit analysis can be found at https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1243406.
At least one ESG consideration was material to the credit rating action(s) announced and described above.
The Global Scale Credit Rating on this Credit Rating Announcement was issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU and is endorsed by Moody's Deutschland GmbH, An der Welle 5, Frankfurt am Main 60322, Germany, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph 3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies. Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's office that issued the credit rating is available on www.moodys.com.
REFERENCES/CITATIONS
[1] Trustee report 9-Nov-2020
[2] Trustee report 9-Nov-2020
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Diana Situ Associate Lead Analyst 1 Structured Finance Group Moody's Investors Service, Inc. 250 Greenwich Street New York, NY 10007 U.S.A. JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376 Client Service: 1 212 553 1653 David Ham VP - Senior Credit Officer Structured Finance Group JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376 Client Service: 1 212 553 1653 Releasing Office: Moody's Investors Service, Inc. 250 Greenwich Street New York, NY 10007 U.S.A. JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376 Client Service: 1 212 553 1653
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