Japan business sentiment perks up as hit from pandemic begins to ease

FILE PHOTO: An employee wearing a protective face mask and face guard works on the automobile assembly line during the outbreak of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) at the factory of Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corp. in Kawasaki · Reuters

By Leika Kihara and Tetsushi Kajimoto

TOKYO (Reuters) - Japanese business sentiment improved in July-September from a 11-year low hit three months ago, a key central bank survey showed, in a sign the economy is gradually emerging from the devastating hit from the coronavirus pandemic.

The data offers some hope for new Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga's efforts to achieve an economic revival from the crisis and pave the way for hosting next year's Tokyo Olympic Games.

But factory activity remained shaky and corporate capital expenditure plans were at their weakest since the 2009 global financial crisis, underscoring the challenge of pulling the world's third-largest economy sustainably out of its slump.

As the pandemic's pain persists, a ruling party heavyweight signalled Japan's readiness to compile a "large-scale, bold" additional spending package.

The headline index for big manufacturers' sentiment improved to minus 27 in September, off a 11-year low of minus 34 in June but worse than a median market forecast of minus 23, the Bank of Japan's closely watched "tankan" survey showed on Thursday.

While it showed many firms remain downbeat, it was the first sign of improvement in nearly three years.

"The big manufacturers' index turned out a little weaker than expected, reflecting an uneven recovery," said Takeshi Minami, chief economist at Norinchukin Research Institute.

"Capital expenditure may weaken in coming months as companies put off non-urgent spending plans amid slumping profits," he said.

Big non-manufacurers' sentiment also recovered to minus 12 from minus 17 in June, worse than a Reuters poll of minus 9 but the first improvement in five quarters.

Both manufacturers and non-manufacturers expect conditions to improve three months ahead, giving new premier Suga some breathing space.

But some sectors fared better than others in a sign of the patchy nature of the recovery. While carmakers and restaurants saw demand pick up as lockdown measures were eased, machinery makers continued to suffer from sluggish orders.

Big firms plan to raise their capital expenditure by just 1.4% in the current business year to March 2021, lower than a 3.2% increase projected in June.

Total spending plans by companies of all size and industry for the current fiscal year fell 2.7%, the biggest drop marked in any September survey since fiscal 2009, the tankan showed.

"With uncertainty over the pandemic looming, it's doubtful whether corporate sentiment will recover medium- to long-term," said Yuichi Kodama, chief analyst at Meiji Yasuda Research Institute.