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Passive investing in an index fund is a good way to ensure your own returns roughly match the overall market. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. That downside risk was realized by Janus International Group, Inc. (NYSE:JBI) shareholders over the last year, as the share price declined 33%. That contrasts poorly with the market return of 29%. Even if you look out three years, the returns are still disappointing, with the share price down31% in that time. Furthermore, it's down 20% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.
While the last year has been tough for Janus International Group shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.
Check out our latest analysis for Janus International Group
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Unfortunately Janus International Group reported an EPS drop of 20% for the last year. This reduction in EPS is not as bad as the 33% share price fall. This suggests the EPS fall has made some shareholders more nervous about the business. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 10.56.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
Dive deeper into Janus International Group's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Janus International Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 29% in the last year, Janus International Group shareholders lost 33%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Janus International Group (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.